This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.73
1.30
3.07
1.00
2.40
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
2.70
1.48
3.00
1.00
2.46
1.85
vs Weaker (7)
2.86
0.71
3.20
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.9%
No
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-3 ✓
5.1%
0-2
5.1%
0-1
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
IF Elfsborg goals ↓
Sirius goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
4.6%
5.1%
3.1%
1.4%
1
4.2%
10%
8.4%
5.1%
2.3%
2
4.3%
7.7%
7.0%
4.3%
1.9%
3
2.4%
4.3%
3.9%
2.4%
1.1%
4
1.0%
1.8%
1.6%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IF Elfsborg goals (down), columns = Sirius goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.78
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.18
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
IF Elfsborg is 0.58 points worse than Sirius in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.28
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.41
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
IF Elfsborg is 1.05 goals worse than Sirius in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 2.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.06
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
IF Elfsborg is 0.42 goals better than Sirius in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
IF Elfsborg is 0.2 percentage points worse than Sirius in terms of average possession (48% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IF Elfsborg
For 3.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sirius
For 5.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IF Elfsborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.4
3.0
3.0
3.1
24.3
22.6
26.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
10.2
9.8
10.7
3.2
3.0
3.5
24.1
22.4
26.3
vs Weaker (13)
9.4
9.3
9.5
2.5
2.5
2.4
24.9
24.3
25.2
% over line
56%
55%
57%
38%
40%
36%
77%
64%
90%
% under line
44%
45%
43%
62%
60%
64%
23%
36%
10%
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.8
11.3
2.6
2.4
2.9
25.4
24.4
26.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
11.1
10.9
11.2
2.7
2.5
2.9
25.3
24.5
26.1
vs Weaker (10)
10.9
10.0
11.8
2.3
1.8
3.0
25.9
24.2
27.5
% over line
74%
67%
81%
38%
32%
44%
88%
81%
95%
% under line
26%
33%
19%
62%
68%
56%
12%
19%
5%
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.4
Sirius
11.0
Orgryte IS
10.8
AIK Stockholm
10.8
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Vasteras SK FK
10.6
Mjallby AIF
10.5
Djurgardens IF
10.3
Gais
10.2
Malmo FF
10.2
Degerfors IF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.1
Kalmar FF
10.1
Hammarby FF
10.0
Halmstad
10.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.7
BK Hacken
4.4
IFK Goteborg
4.4
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.8
Malmo FF
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.4
Halmstad
3.4
Kalmar FF
3.4
Sirius
3.2
Orgryte IS
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
IFK Goteborg
26.6
Djurgardens IF
26.3
Sirius
25.3
Mjallby AIF
25.2
Hammarby FF
25.1
Gais
24.8
Degerfors IF
24.8
Malmo FF
24.8
Vasteras SK FK
24.4
BK Hacken
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
Halmstad
23.9
IF Elfsborg
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.6%
Under 21.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IF Elfsborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.47
0.73
0.20
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.71
0.45
0.73
0.10
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.44
0.50
0.75
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.40
1.53
0.27
1.07
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.26
0.52
1.30
0.40
1.23
0.62
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IF Elfsborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.87
1.27
0.60
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.00
1.18
0.55
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.56
1.50
0.75
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sirius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sirius
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.90
1.53
0.73
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.43
0.96
1.70
0.60
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.71
1.20
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Elfsborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IF Elfsborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IF Elfsborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sirius over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IF Elfsborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leo Östman26%
Ari Sigurpálsson25%
Arbër Zeneli19%
Julius Magnusson17%
Frederik Ihler14%
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara13%
Taylor Silverholt8%
Niklas Hult6%
Simon Olsson6%
Simon Hedlund0%
Rasmus Wikström0%
Per Frick0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Julius Beck0%
Altti Hellemaa0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Rufai Mohammed0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Holmén27%
Altti Hellemaa20%
Rasmus Wikström18%
Julius Magnusson17%
Simon Olsson17%
Frederik Ihler14%
Julius Beck13%
Arbër Zeneli12%
Niklas Hult11%
Taylor Silverholt8%
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara7%
Ari Sigurpálsson6%
Thomas Isherwood5%
Isak Pettersson5%
Leo Östman5%
Simon Hedlund0%
Per Frick0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Rufai Mohammed0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara20%
Julius Magnusson17%
Taylor Silverholt15%
Julius Beck13%
Arbër Zeneli12%
Niklas Hult11%
Frederik Ihler7%
Rufai Mohammed7%
Simon Hedlund6%
Simon Olsson6%
Thomas Isherwood5%
Rasmus Wikström0%
Per Frick0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Altti Hellemaa0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Leo Östman0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Momoh Ibrahim Kamara33%
Julius Magnusson11%
Taylor Silverholt8%
Niklas Hult6%
Simon Hedlund0%
Arbër Zeneli0%
Rasmus Wikström0%
Simon Olsson0%
Per Frick0%
Thomas Isherwood0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Sebastian Holmén0%
Ari Sigurpálsson0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Frederik Ihler0%
Buhari Ibrahim0%
Julius Beck0%
Altti Hellemaa0%
Gottfrid Rapp0%
Rufai Mohammed0%
Leo Östman0%
Frode Aronsson0%
Ozor Victor Okeke0%
Sven Ossian Nordvall0%
Sirius
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
R. Ure67%
Isak Bjerkebo58%
Mohamed Soumah25%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Tobias Anker12%
Henrik Castegren12%
M. Lindberg11%
V. Svensson11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Matthias Nartey0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Heier28%
Oscar Krusnell22%
Tobias Anker19%
Mohamed Soumah19%
Neo Jönsson18%
M. Lindberg11%
D. Celic11%
Victor Ekstrom10%
Joakim Persson8%
C. Nildén7%
Odera Samuel Adindu7%
V. Svensson5%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
R. Ure0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
August Ljungberg0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Isak Bjerkebo26%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
Oscar Krusnell17%
Joakim Persson17%
M. Lindberg16%
V. Svensson16%
R. Ure13%
M. Heier11%
Tobias Anker6%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isak Bjerkebo58%
R. Ure20%
August Ljungberg20%
Neo Jönsson18%
V. Svensson5%
Oscar Krusnell0%
S. Sandberg0%
Henrik Castegren0%
M. Lindberg0%
Joakim Persson0%
Tobias Anker0%
M. Heier0%
Noel Milleskog0%
Mohamed Soumah0%
D. Celic0%
C. Nildén0%
Victor Ekstrom0%
Matthias Nartey0%
Odera Samuel Adindu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
IF Elfsborg's squad is €11m less valuable than Sirius's (€17m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
IF Elfsborg's attack is €13m less valuable than Sirius's (€5m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
IF Elfsborg's midfield is €1m less valuable than Sirius's (€4m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
IF Elfsborg's defence is €3m more valuable than Sirius's (€7m vs €4m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad