IFK Goteborg are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 66 % chance of a home win. Their recent 1-1 draw against IF Elfsborg shows a solid defensive base, and at home they average 1.27 goals scored and conceded against similar opposition, a balance that favours them over Orgryte IS, who average only 0.58 goals scored and 1.75 conceded on the road. The predicted outcome is a 2-0 victory for the hosts, the most likely scoreline at 12.2 %. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with 2 goals the most probable total at 24 %. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 66 %, 21 % and 12 % respectively. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.1 %), Under 7.5 (99.0 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %), Under 6.5 (97.2 %), Home +2 handicap (96.2 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 %) and Away under 2.5 goals (95.3 %). Each selection is presented with its exact probability and any edge where noted.
Results analysis
IFK Goteborg’s win over Orgryte IS extended their recent run, finishing the match 1-0 to secure the home win the model had predicted with a 66% probability. The pre-match favourite, Home win, proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.1%, Under 7.5 hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.2%, Home +2 handicap hit at 96.0%, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 95.2%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each selection’s outcome was noted. The final score matched the model’s forecast, confirming the predictions’ reliability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
IFK Goteborg win✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.63
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.67
Dafabet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.64
Draw✗ Miss
21.6%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.02
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.20
Dafabet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Orgryte IS win✗ Miss
12.5%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.80
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
4.81
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IFK Goteborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.20
1.20
1.40
1.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.80
0.33
1.33
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.48
1.48
1.42
1.17
1.54
1.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orgryte IS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.93
1.43
1.71
0.88
2.12
vs Stronger (11)
1.45
2.45
1.67
2.17
1.20
2.80
vs Similar (18)
0.94
1.67
1.25
1.38
0.70
1.90
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.1%
@ 1.17-0.3%
Under 1.5
20.9%
@ 4.52+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Under
Superbet
4.90
BetVictor
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Pinnacle
4.54
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.59-3.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.27+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Under
Superbet
2.42
Betfair
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Bet365
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
@ 2.48-5.3%
Under 3.5
67.4%
@ 1.51+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.58
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.3%
@ 1.60-8.5%
No
50.7%
@ 2.19+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
No
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.1%@ 8.49+6.8%
1-0 ✓
10.7%@ 8.02+5.1%
1-1
10.3%@ 7.35+4.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.45+3.7%
3-0
8.4%@ 12.40+4.7%
3-1
6.7%@ 10.98+2.6%
0-0
6.6%@ 13.39+3.2%
4-0
4.3%@ 23.29+2.4%
IFK Goteborg goals ↓
Orgryte IS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
3.6%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
1
11%
10%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
8.4%
6.7%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.3%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IFK Goteborg goals (down), columns = Orgryte IS goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
IFK Goteborg is 0.47 points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
IFK Goteborg is 0.11 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
IFK Goteborg is 0.16 goals better than Orgryte IS in terms of goals conceded per game (2.05 vs 2.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
IFK Goteborg is 7.6 percentage points better than Orgryte IS in terms of average possession (51% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IFK Goteborg
For 7.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orgryte IS
For 4.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IFK Goteborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
12.2
10.9
3.8
3.9
3.6
25.2
25.3
25.0
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
9.8
12.0
3.1
3.0
3.3
26.6
29.2
23.0
vs Similar (43)
11.7
12.7
10.7
3.9
4.0
3.7
24.9
24.5
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
70%
64%
48%
52%
44%
76%
83%
68%
% under line
33%
30%
36%
52%
48%
56%
24%
17%
32%
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orgryte IS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.2
10.8
1.9
2.0
1.7
21.6
21.6
21.6
vs Stronger (11)
11.0
11.4
10.6
2.7
3.2
2.2
21.1
20.4
21.8
vs Similar (35)
9.4
7.8
10.8
1.6
1.8
1.5
21.9
22.4
21.6
vs Weaker (4)
11.5
-
11.5
2.0
0.0
2.7
21.0
-
21.0
% over line
50%
46%
53%
24%
26%
22%
43%
46%
41%
% under line
50%
54%
47%
76%
74%
78%
57%
54%
59%
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.5
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Gais
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.3
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Mjallby AIF
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Malmo FF
25.9
Djurgardens IF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.1
Mjallby AIF
25.0
Hammarby FF
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
IF Brommapojkarna
24.3
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.74
Betano
2.72
1xBet
2.65
Unibet
2.48
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IFK Goteborg or Draw✓ Hit
87.5%
Avg Implied 80.5% · @ 1.16
Edge
+7.0%
66%
22%
13%
covers IFK Goteborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
IFK Goteborg or Orgryte IS✓ Hit
78.4%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
+0.9%
66%
22%
13%
covers IFK Goteborg + Orgryte IS
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw or Orgryte IS✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 41.9% · @ 2.23
Edge
-7.8%
66%
22%
13%
covers Draw + Orgryte IS
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.32
SBO
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27
Betfair
2.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IFK Goteborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.4%
@ 1.10+2.7%
Under
12.6%
@ 6.10-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
1xBet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
IFK Goteborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
61.4%
@ 1.57+2.1%
Under
38.6%
@ 2.29-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Under
Superbet
2.47
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
IFK Goteborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.3%
@ 2.79+0.9%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.40-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.82
1xBet
2.82
Under
Superbet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
IFK Goteborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 5.53-1.2%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.12+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.90
Betano
5.40
Under
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.3%
@ 1.42-10.0%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.67+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Under
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
Superbet
2.67
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.3%
@ 3.09-10.9%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.33+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 8.20-6.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.05+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Orgryte IS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 19.58-4.0%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IFK Goteborg, so a minus line means IFK Goteborg give that many goals of a start and Orgryte IS receive them. At -1, IFK Goteborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IFK Goteborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IFK Goteborg)Actual: Orgryte IS
IFK Goteborg -2
21.9%
@ 4.75+3.0%
Draw -2
20.4%
@ 4.68+1.2%
Orgryte IS +2
57.7%
@ 1.46-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
Handicap -1 (IFK Goteborg)Actual: Draw
IFK Goteborg -1
42.3%
@ 2.51+6.7%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 3.66-0.9%
Orgryte IS +1
34.1%
@ 2.23-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Unibet
2.50
Bet365
2.38
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Away
Superbet
2.35
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Handicap +1 (IFK Goteborg)Actual: IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg +1
87.5%
@ 1.16+11.3%
Draw +1
8.6%
@ 6.02-6.1%
Orgryte IS -1
4.0%
@ 9.73-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.10
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (IFK Goteborg)Actual: IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg +2
96.0%
@ 1.04+4.9%
Draw +2
3.1%
@ 17.00-2.5%
Orgryte IS -2
0.9%
@ 29.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IFK Goteborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.47
0.47
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.20
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.68
0.58
0.42
0.85
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orgryte IS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.64
0.79
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.28-4.5%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 3.43+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Superbet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 2.32-8.5%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.55+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.40
William Hil
2.38
SBO
2.35
Under
Superbet
1.63
SBO
1.58
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.56
Betano
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 5.28-6.1%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.12+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Under
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Unibet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IFK Goteborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.9%
@ 1.57-7.2%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.27+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Under
Superbet
2.37
Pinnacle
2.31
Unibet
2.28
1xBet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
IFK Goteborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 3.78-8.4%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.23+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
Betano
3.95
10Bet
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
IFK Goteborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 9.22-6.2%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
9.50
Betano
9.00
Superbet
8.70
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 2.43-2.3%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.50+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.57
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 8.50-4.8%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.40
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 32.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IFK Goteborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.80
0.83
0.75
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orgryte IS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.17
0.79
0.93
0.38
1.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.45
1.17
1.33
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.44
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.40
1.30
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (IFK Goteborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.15-1.5%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 4.88+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.5%
@ 1.79-5.5%
Under 1.5
53.5%
@ 1.94+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Under
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.8%
@ 3.43-8.3%
Under 2.5
81.2%
@ 1.28+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IFK Goteborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.6%
@ 1.39-4.4%
Under
37.4%
@ 2.82+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.36
Under
Superbet
2.90
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
IFK Goteborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.3%
@ 2.81-8.6%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.38+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Under
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
IFK Goteborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 6.67-7.0%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.07+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.7%
@ 1.98-5.0%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.74+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
10Bet
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 6.07-5.1%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.09+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 16.83-3.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.05
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.12
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Unibet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
87.5%
1.16
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
87.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Unibet
1.15
-
-
+11.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
87.4%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
84.4%
1.12
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.9%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.5%
1.19
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.7%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
1.17
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
78.4%
1.20
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.7%
1.38
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
+8.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IFK Goteborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Larsson57%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Sebastian Clemmensen19%
Tobias Heintz17%
Alfons Borén17%
Rockson Yeboah13%
David Kruse11%
Benjamin Brantlind11%
Filip Ottosson7%
Felix Eriksson6%
August Erlingmark6%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg5%
Jonas Bager0%
Kolbeinn Thordarson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Imam Jagne0%
Max Fenger0%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Tiago Coimbra0%
Noah Tolf0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Oliver Månsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Bager50%
Kolbeinn Thordarson50%
Tobias Heintz28%
August Erlingmark22%
Hjörtur Hermannsson20%
Felix Eriksson19%
Max Fenger18%
Imam Jagne17%
David Kruse17%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg16%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak15%
Filip Ottosson14%
Tiago Coimbra14%
Rockson Yeboah13%
Benjamin Brantlind11%
Alexander Jallow8%
Sebastian Clemmensen6%
Sam Larsson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Noah Tolf0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Borén0%
Oliver Månsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Heintz17%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg16%
Sam Larsson14%
Sebastian Clemmensen12%
Max Fenger9%
Noah Tolf9%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak8%
Rockson Yeboah7%
Felix Eriksson6%
David Kruse6%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Jonas Bager0%
Kolbeinn Thordarson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Filip Ottosson0%
Alexander Jallow0%
August Erlingmark0%
Imam Jagne0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Tiago Coimbra0%
Benjamin Brantlind0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Borén0%
Oliver Månsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Heintz33%
Max Fenger18%
August Erlingmark17%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg16%
Sam Larsson14%
Sebastian Clemmensen12%
Benjamin Brantlind11%
Saidou Alioum Moubarak8%
Felix Eriksson6%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Jonas Bager0%
Kolbeinn Thordarson0%
Ramon Pascal Lundqvist0%
Filip Ottosson0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Imam Jagne0%
David Kruse0%
Viktor Andersson0%
Elis Bishesari0%
Tiago Coimbra0%
Rockson Yeboah0%
Noah Tolf0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Borén0%
Oliver Månsson0%
Orgryte IS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Christoffersson22%
Adam Andersson17%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo17%
Anton Andreasson16%
Tobias Sana11%
Christoffer Styffe11%
Daniel Paulson6%
William Hofvander5%
Benjamin Laturnus5%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Johan Hammar0%
Owen Parker-Price0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Demirel Hodžić29%
Sebastian Lagerlund25%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo22%
William Kenndal20%
Tobias Sana17%
William Hofvander16%
Marlon Ebietomere12%
Mikael Dyrestam11%
Owen Parker-Price11%
Christoffer Styffe11%
Benjamin Laturnus11%
Michael Parker11%
Daniel Paulson6%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Noah Christoffersson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Andersson0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Sana22%
Adam Andersson17%
Mikael Dyrestam11%
Owen Parker-Price11%
Charlie Vindehall11%
William Hofvander11%
Noah Christoffersson6%
Christoffer Styffe6%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo6%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Daniel Paulson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Johan Hammar0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
William Kenndal0%
William Svensson0%
Benjamin Laturnus0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Christoffersson33%
Johan Hammar33%
William Hofvander26%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo11%
Daniel Paulson6%
Owen Parker-Price6%
Tobias Sana0%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Adam Andersson0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Benjamin Laturnus0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
IFK Goteborg's squad is €9m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€18m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
IFK Goteborg's attack is €6m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€8m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
IFK Goteborg's midfield is €2m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
IFK Goteborg's defence is €1m more valuable than Orgryte IS's (€6m vs €4m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Halmstad