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Igalo vs Grbalj Result & Analysis

Date: 22/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Igalo
Igalo
Vs
42%
34%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Igalo win✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grbalj win✗ Miss
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W10W11D01L21W02L00D01L21WA·BOK27/11H·NIK03/12A·GRB05/03H·ZET11/03A·MLA18/03H·KOM25/03A·OTR29/03H·MLA01/04A·BER08/04H·BOK12/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.071.000.861.151.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.111.000.900.701.381.38
vs Weaker (9)1.001.221.251.250.801.20
Clean sheet %22% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L01L11D10W00D20W03L01L23LA·MLA27/11A·BER04/12H·IGA05/03A·BOK18/03H·ZET25/03A·MLA29/03H·KOM01/04A·OTR08/04H·MLA12/04H·BER16/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.040.931.000.771.08
vs Stronger (20)0.851.100.800.900.901.30
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (7)0.860.861.251.250.330.33
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.4%
Under 1.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.2%
Under 2.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.7%
Under 3.5
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.6%
No
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.1%
1-0 ✓
15.9%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
Igalo goals ↓
Grbalj goals →
01234
017%11%4.5%1.1%0.2%
116%14%4.9%1.2%0.2%
29.4%7.1%2.7%0.7%0.1%
33.4%2.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%
40.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Igalo goals (down), columns = Grbalj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Igalo is 0.11 points better than Grbalj in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Igalo is 0.26 goals better than Grbalj in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 0.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Igalo is 0.09 goals worse than Grbalj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W00D01L00D02L00D00D10WA·BOK27/11H·NIK03/12A·GRB05/03H·ZET11/03A·MLA18/03H·KOM25/03A·OTR29/03H·MLA01/04A·BER08/04H·BOK12/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.250.170.920.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.350.220.111.120.62
vs Weaker (8)0.500.500.330.330.600.60
Clean sheet %68% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D01L01L00D00D00D03L00D12LA·MLA27/11A·BER04/12H·IGA05/03A·BOK18/03H·ZET25/03A·MLA29/03H·KOM01/04A·OTR08/04H·MLA12/04H·BER16/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.480.210.430.380.54
vs Stronger (20)0.300.500.100.300.500.70
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (7)0.290.430.500.750.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IgaloIgalo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W00D11D00D21W00D00D01L11DA·BOK27/11H·NIK03/12A·GRB05/03H·ZET11/03A·MLA18/03H·KOM25/03A·OTR29/03H·MLA01/04A·BER08/04H·BOK12/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.680.750.670.230.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.650.670.560.250.75
vs Weaker (8)0.500.751.001.000.200.60
Clean sheet %48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D10W10W00D20W00D01L11DA·MLA27/11A·BER04/12H·IGA05/03A·BOK18/03H·ZET25/03A·MLA29/03H·KOM01/04A·OTR08/04H·MLA12/04H·BER16/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.560.710.570.380.54
vs Stronger (20)0.550.600.700.600.400.60
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.750.500.330.33
Clean sheet %59% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Igalo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Igalo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igalo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.571.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
IGA wins
1
Draws
1
GRB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Igalo vs Grbalj · H/A from IGA
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23AGrbalj Vs IGA0-1
12/10/22HIGA Vs Grbalj1-2
21/08/22AGrbalj Vs IGA1-1

IgaloIgalo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/23HIGA Vs Bokelj2-1
08/04/23ABerane Vs IGA1-0
01/04/23HIGA Vs Mladost DG0-0
29/03/23AOtrant-Olympic Vs IGA2-0
25/03/23HIGA Vs Kom2-1
18/03/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs IGA1-0
11/03/23HIGA Vs Zeta1-1
05/03/23AGrbalj Vs IGA0-1
03/12/22HIGA Vs Nikšić3-1
27/11/22ABokelj Vs IGA3-0

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HGRB Vs Berane2-3
12/04/23HGRB Vs Mladost DG0-1
08/04/23AOtrant-Olympic Vs GRB3-0
01/04/23HGRB Vs Kom2-0
29/03/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB0-0
25/03/23HGRB Vs Zeta1-0
18/03/23ABokelj Vs GRB1-1
05/03/23HGRB Vs Igalo0-1
04/12/22ABerane Vs GRB1-0
27/11/22AMladost DG Vs GRB1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Igalo
Igalo
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.26
HomeWDWDW1.50
AwayLWLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%23%
AVG goals2.151.862.46
Over 1.5 %70%64%77%
Over 2.5 %37%29%46%
Over 3.5 %11%7%15%
Scored1.071.001.15
Conceded1.070.861.31
BTTS56%57%54%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.15
HomeLWWLL1.21
AwayWLDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%23%
AVG goals1.891.931.85
Over 1.5 %56%50%62%
Over 2.5 %30%14%46%
Over 3.5 %7%14%0%
Scored0.850.930.77
Conceded1.041.001.08
BTTS41%29%54%
Clean Sheet33%36%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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