Iğdır FK vs Amed Result & Analysis

The contest between I\u011fd\u0131r FK and Amed is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The odds are close: a 32% chance of a home victory, 29% for a draw, and 39% for the visitors to come out on top. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.9% probability. I\u011fd\u0131r FK, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.31 conceded, while Amed, on the road, scores 1.0 and concedes 0.86 against comparable teams. The model’s selections include an 84.6% chance of over 2.5 cards, an 80.2% chance of under 11.5 corners, a 76.9% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 74.8% chance of under 3.5 goals, a 73.5% chance of over 1.5 goals, and a 70.5% chance of under 10.5 corners. Both sides have struggled recently - I\u011fd\u0131r FK have lost two of their last five, while Amed are coming off a defeat - adding to the uncertainty.

The draw shocked everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise. I\u011fd\u0131r FK and Amed finished level at 3-3, a result that overturned the model’s 39% probability for an away triumph. The model’s call was wrong, yet many of its other selections proved accurate. Over 2.5 cards hit with an 84.6% chance, Under 11.5 corners succeeded at 80.2%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 76.9%, Over 1.5 hit at 73.5%, and Under 10.5 corners hit at 70.5%. Only Under 3.5 missed, despite a 74.8% probability. The match confirmed the model’s overall predictions were largely correct, even though the favourite’s outcome was overturned.