This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.97
1.33
0.80
1.40
1.13
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (29)
1.38
0.86
1.33
0.80
1.43
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
IK brage goals ↓
Helsingborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.3%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.8%
14%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.0%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.9%
4.4%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IK brage goals (down), columns = Helsingborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
IK brage is 0.20 points worse than Helsingborg in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
IK brage is 0.33 goals worse than Helsingborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
IK brage is 0.17 goals better than Helsingborg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
IK brage is 7.3 percentage points better than Helsingborg in terms of average possession (55% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IK brage
For 4.9 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
For 4.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
2.5
2.0
3.0
23.8
22.1
25.1
vs Stronger (5)
11.0
8.0
12.5
1.2
0.0
2.0
18.0
22.0
16.0
vs Similar (45)
10.4
10.5
10.2
2.7
2.1
3.2
24.3
22.1
26.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
75%
67%
42%
33%
50%
65%
50%
76%
% under line
30%
25%
33%
58%
67%
50%
35%
50%
24%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
12.3
10.1
3.3
3.7
2.9
24.7
24.1
25.2
vs Stronger (4)
11.2
14.0
8.5
3.8
3.0
4.5
27.0
23.5
30.5
vs Similar (46)
11.1
12.1
10.3
3.3
3.7
2.8
24.4
24.2
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
84%
55%
46%
52%
40%
62%
58%
65%
% under line
31%
16%
45%
54%
48%
60%
38%
42%
35%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.3
Helsingborg
11.2
Orgryte IS
10.9
Osters IF
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.8
Degerfors IF
10.8
GIF Sundsvall
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.6
Orebro SK
10.5
Ostersunds FK
10.5
Utsikten
10.4
Trelleborg
10.2
IK brage
9.9
Gefle IF
9.8
Oddevold
9.4
Sandviken
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.5
Orgryte IS
4.3
Ostersunds FK
4.3
Gefle IF
4.2
Helsingborg
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.2
Trelleborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Sandviken
4.0
Orebro SK
4.0
Skövde AIK
3.8
Degerfors IF
3.7
IK brage
3.5
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
Oddevold
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.3
Gefle IF
27.1
Skövde AIK
26.0
Trelleborg
25.9
Ostersunds FK
25.5
Osters IF
25.2
Helsingborg
24.9
Sandviken
24.7
Landskrona BoIS
24.4
Orgryte IS
24.1
Orebro SK
24.0
IK brage
24.0
Degerfors IF
23.3
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Oddevold
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.8%
Under 9.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.2%
Under 21.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
1.00
0.36
0.19
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.46
1.00
0.36
0.21
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (29)
0.76
0.31
0.80
0.33
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
1.14
0.29
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.39
1.14
0.29
0.57
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.53
0.47
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (29)
0.62
0.55
0.53
0.47
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ieltsin Camoes54%
Amar Muhsin33%
Johan Arvidsson14%
Emil Tot Wikstrom9%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Omur Pektas0%
Oskar Ågren0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henry Sletsjoe31%
Alexander Zetterstrom17%
Filip Sjoberg17%
Ieltsin Camoes15%
Viktor Frodig14%
Gustav Berggren14%
Oskar Ågren14%
Cesar Weilid8%
Pontus Jonsson7%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Christopher Redenstrand7%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Adil Titi0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Malte Persson0%
Omur Pektas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henry Sletsjoe38%
Omur Pektas20%
Emil Tot Wikstrom9%
Pontus Jonsson7%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Ieltsin Camoes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ieltsin Camoes69%
Amar Muhsin44%
Emil Tot Wikstrom18%
Pontus Jonsson14%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Omur Pektas0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Helsingborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taylor Silverholt29%
Amar Muhsin25%
Wilhelm Loeper23%
Adrian Svanback15%
Ervin Gigović9%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn9%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Daniel Bergman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn45%
Jon Birkfeldt33%
Sumar Almadjed33%
Daniel Bergman29%
Amar Muhsin25%
Wilhelm Loeper15%
Wilhelm Nilsson14%
Thomas Rogne12%
Arian Kabashi12%
Adam Hellborg10%
Ervin Gigović9%
William Westerlund9%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Adrian Svanback8%
Kalle Joelsson7%
Dennis Olsson7%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Benjamin Acquah7%
Taylor Silverholt0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jon Birkfeldt17%
Adrian Svanback15%
Ervin Gigović9%
Dennis Olsson7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Taylor Silverholt0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn0%
Daniel Bergman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Svanback15%
Taylor Silverholt14%
Wilhelm Loeper8%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn0%
Daniel Bergman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
IK brage's squad is €2m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
IK brage's attack is €1m less valuable than Helsingborg's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (7)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
IK brage and Helsingborg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
IK brage and Helsingborg have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →