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Ilioupoli vs Egaleo Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-3
Ilioupoli
Ilioupoli
Vs
27%
33%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egaleo
Egaleo
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Ilioupoli a 27% win probability against Egaleo in the Greece: Super League 2 on 2026-04-25, with 33% for the draw and 40% for Egaleo. The model estimates around 2.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (84%).

Results analysis

Ilioupoli finished 1-3 against Egaleo (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 27% home win, 33% draw and 40% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (84%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ilioupoli win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egaleo win✓ Hit
40.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L11D01L02L11D02L02L01LA·KAL25/01H·PAN15/02A·KAL21/02A·ELL01/03H·KIS07/03A·EGA15/03A·PAN21/03H·KAL29/03H·ELL04/04A·KIS19/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.570.501.570.691.56
vs Stronger (23)0.521.650.361.730.671.58
vs Similar (3)0.332.331.002.000.002.50
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.000.501.500.50
Clean sheet %13% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Egaleo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgaleoEgaleo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W03L00D10W20W11D21W10W23LA·OLY25/01H·KAL15/02A·ELL21/02A·KIS01/03H·PAN07/03H·ILI15/03A·KAL21/03H·ELL29/03H·KIS04/04A·PAN19/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.300.801.070.871.53
vs Stronger (22)0.641.500.551.450.731.55
vs Similar (4)1.750.502.500.001.001.00
vs Weaker (4)1.001.000.500.001.502.00
Clean sheet %30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.8%
Under 1.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.4%
Under 2.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
Ilioupoli goals ↓
Egaleo goals →
01234
014%13%8.5%3.3%1.0%
110%15%7.7%3.0%0.9%
25.2%6.1%3.5%1.4%0.4%
31.6%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ilioupoli goals (down), columns = Egaleo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kalamata
2.64
Iraklis 1908
2.40
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Egaleo
1.32
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Kavala
1.25
Kissamikos
0.89
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.82
PAS Giannina
0.75
Ilioupoli
0.71
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Panargiakos
0.36
Ilioupoli is 0.61 points worse than Egaleo in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kalamata
2.08
Niki Volos
1.92
Iraklis 1908
1.72
PAOK II
1.57
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Kavala
1.07
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Egaleo
0.96
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.89
PAS Giannina
0.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.68
Kissamikos
0.64
Ilioupoli
0.64
Panargiakos
0.50
Ilioupoli is 0.32 goals worse than Egaleo in terms of goals scored per game (0.64 vs 0.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalamata
0.48
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Egaleo
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Kissamikos
1.29
Kavala
1.32
PAS Giannina
1.46
Ilioupoli
1.54
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panargiakos
1.86
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.14
Ilioupoli is 0.43 goals worse than Egaleo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.54 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L00D01L10W00D02L01LA·KAL25/01H·PAN15/02A·KAL21/02A·ELL01/03H·KIS07/03A·EGA15/03A·PAN21/03H·KAL29/03H·ELL04/04A·KIS19/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.141.000.380.88
vs Stronger (23)0.221.000.091.090.330.92
vs Similar (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Egaleo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgaleoEgaleo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D00D00D10W00D10W00D12LA·OLY25/01H·KAL15/02A·ELL21/02A·KIS01/03H·PAN07/03H·ILI15/03A·KAL21/03H·ELL29/03H·KIS04/04A·PAN19/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.330.330.470.80
vs Stronger (22)0.270.590.180.450.360.73
vs Similar (4)1.000.251.500.000.500.50
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.000.001.001.50
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ilioupoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W01L01L01L02L00D00DA·KAL25/01H·PAN15/02A·KAL21/02A·ELL01/03H·KIS07/03A·EGA15/03A·PAN21/03H·KAL29/03H·ELL04/04A·KIS19/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.360.570.310.69
vs Stronger (23)0.300.650.270.640.330.67
vs Similar (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Egaleo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgaleoEgaleo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D03L00D10W10W11D11D10W11DA·OLY25/01H·KAL15/02A·ELL21/02A·KIS01/03H·PAN07/03H·ILI15/03A·KAL21/03H·ELL29/03H·KIS04/04A·PAN19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.730.470.730.400.73
vs Stronger (22)0.360.910.361.000.360.82
vs Similar (4)0.750.251.000.000.500.50
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.500.000.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilioupoli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ilioupoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilioupoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egaleo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (30)
€7m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (13)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ILI wins
0
Draws
7
EGA wins

Head-to-head

Ilioupoli vs Egaleo · H/A from ILI
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/26AEgaleo Vs ILI2-0
07/12/25AEgaleo Vs ILI3-0
04/10/25HILI Vs Egaleo1-2
05/04/25HILI Vs Egaleo1-0
02/03/25AEgaleo Vs ILI1-0
25/11/24AEgaleo Vs ILI2-0
22/09/24HILI Vs Egaleo1-3
03/03/24AEgaleo Vs ILI1-0

IlioupoliIlioupoli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AKissamikos Vs ILI1-0
04/04/26HILI Vs Ellas Syros0-2
29/03/26HILI Vs Kallithea0-2
21/03/26APanargiakos Vs ILI1-1
15/03/26AEgaleo Vs ILI2-0
07/03/26HILI Vs Kissamikos0-1
01/03/26AEllas Syros Vs ILI1-1
21/02/26AKallithea Vs ILI1-0
15/02/26HILI Vs Panargiakos1-0
25/01/26AKallithea Vs ILI1-1

EgaleoEgaleo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26APanargiakos Vs EGA3-2
04/04/26HEGA Vs Kissamikos1-0
29/03/26HEGA Vs Ellas Syros2-1
21/03/26AKallithea Vs EGA1-1
15/03/26HEGA Vs Ilioupoli2-0
07/03/26HEGA Vs Panargiakos1-0
01/03/26AKissamikos Vs EGA0-0
21/02/26AEllas Syros Vs EGA3-0
15/02/26HEGA Vs Kallithea1-0
25/01/26AOlympiakos Piraeus II Vs EGA2-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Ilioupoli
Ilioupoli
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.78
HomeWWLLL0.79
AwayLDLDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%21%19%
AVG goals2.202.172.23
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %26%33%19%
Over 3.5 %12%8%15%
Scored0.620.620.62
Conceded1.581.541.62
BTTS30%33%27%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Egaleo
Egaleo
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.10
HomeWWWWW1.64
AwayLLDDL0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%52%8%
AVG goals2.001.722.28
Over 1.5 %58%44%72%
Over 2.5 %36%28%44%
Over 3.5 %12%8%16%
Scored0.740.880.60
Conceded1.260.841.68
BTTS30%16%44%
Clean Sheet32%52%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KalamataKalamata2566
84%
2.6
5212+40
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.10.5
-
2Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082560
72%
2.4
4315+28
2.3
64%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.6
-
3PanioniosPanionios2450
62%
2.1
3513+22
2.0
62%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
4Niki VolosNiki Volos2448
54%
2.0
4612+34
2.4
58%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.5
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II2846
50%
1.6
4431+13
2.7
75%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
6Ellas SyrosEllas Syros2845
43%
1.6
4024+16
2.3
75%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
7KallitheaKallithea2845
43%
1.6
3222+10
1.9
64%
21%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
8Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas2441
50%
1.7
2818+10
1.9
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
9MarkoMarko2440
46%
1.7
2717+10
1.8
62%
21%
4%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.7
-
10Nestos ChrisoupolisNestos Chrisoupolis2840
39%
1.4
3026+4
2.0
57%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
11Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2437
42%
1.5
2927+2
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
12EgaleoEgaleo2837
36%
1.3
2731-4
2.1
64%
39%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.1
-
13KavalaKavala2835
32%
1.2
3037-7
2.4
64%
43%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
14Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II2431
38%
1.3
2638-12
2.7
71%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
15KissamikosKissamikos2825
25%
0.9
1836-18
1.9
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
16Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2823
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.8
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
17PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2821
18%
0.8
2441-17
2.3
57%
43%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
18IlioupoliIlioupoli2820
18%
0.7
1843-25
2.2
71%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
19Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2814
11%
0.5
1960-41
2.8
64%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
20PanargiakosPanargiakos2810
4%
0.4
1452-38
2.4
68%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.9
-
Greece: Super League 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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