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Imisli FK vs İrəvan Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 3-0
Imisli FK
Imisli FK
Vs
19%
26%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
İrəvan
İrəvan
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Imisli FK win✓ Hit
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
İrəvan win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Imisli FKImisli FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L12L04L11D03L30W01L03L11DH·QAR12/04A·KEŞ25/04H·KAP03/05A·SUM10/05H·ZIR18/05A·TUR23/05A·ARA14/09A·MOI20/09H·ŞAM28/09A·MIN05/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.832.200.932.000.752.38
vs Stronger (2)0.506.000.005.001.007.00
vs Similar (22)0.641.950.911.450.362.45
vs Weaker (6)1.671.831.503.501.751.00
Clean sheet %17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (İrəvan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

İrəvanİrəvan

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-720W00D10W70WA·ZAQ14/09H·KAR20/09A·QAR29/09H·ARA05/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.500.003.500.001.500.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (2)4.500.007.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+70pp vs league)
This opponent (Imisli FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
Imisli FK goals ↓
İrəvan goals →
01234
08.1%11%10%5.9%2.5%
15.4%12%9.7%5.6%2.4%
23.1%5.3%4.6%2.6%1.1%
31.0%1.7%1.4%0.8%0.4%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Imisli FK goals (down), columns = İrəvan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Şamaxı FK
2.11
Qaradağ Lökbatan
2.00
MOIK
1.81
Imisli FK
1.74
Karvan
1.63
İrəvan
1.11
Zaqatala
1.04
Mingəçevir
1.00
Difai Ağsu
0.85
Araz Saatlı
0.48
Imisli FK is 0.63 points better than İrəvan in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Şamaxı FK
2.22
MOIK
1.96
Qaradağ Lökbatan
1.70
Karvan
1.48
Imisli FK
1.41
İrəvan
1.30
Difai Ağsu
1.22
Zaqatala
1.04
Araz Saatlı
1.04
Mingəçevir
0.74
Imisli FK is 0.11 goals better than İrəvan in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Imisli FK
0.78
Qaradağ Lökbatan
0.78
Şamaxı FK
0.81
MOIK
1.04
Karvan
1.26
Zaqatala
1.37
Mingəçevir
1.44
Difai Ağsu
1.59
İrəvan
2.07
Araz Saatlı
2.96
Imisli FK is 1.30 goals better than İrəvan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 2.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Imisli FKImisli FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D01L00D01L10W00D00D01LH·QAR12/04A·KEŞ25/04H·KAP03/05A·SUM10/05H·ZIR18/05A·TUR23/05A·ARA14/09A·MOI20/09H·ŞAM28/09A·MIN05/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.970.500.790.311.12
vs Stronger (2)0.004.000.003.000.005.00
vs Similar (22)0.410.640.550.360.270.91
vs Weaker (6)0.501.170.502.000.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (İrəvan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

İrəvanİrəvan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D20WA·ZAQ14/09H·KAR20/09A·QAR29/09H·ARA05/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.001.000.000.500.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+70pp vs league)
This opponent (Imisli FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Imisli FK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
İrəvan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
İrəvan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
İrəvan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Imisli FKImisli FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L03L11D02L20W01L03L10WH·QAR12/04A·KEŞ25/04H·KAP03/05A·SUM10/05H·ZIR18/05A·TUR23/05A·ARA14/09A·MOI20/09H·ŞAM28/09A·MIN05/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.230.431.210.441.25
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.231.320.361.090.091.55
vs Weaker (6)1.170.671.001.501.250.25
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (İrəvan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

İrəvanİrəvan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D10W50WA·ZAQ14/09H·KAR20/09A·QAR29/09H·ARA05/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.750.002.500.001.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (2)3.000.005.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+70pp vs league)
This opponent (Imisli FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Imisli FK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
İrəvan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
İrəvan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
İrəvan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IF (18)
€6m
ŞF (15)
€4m
KAR (4)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
ZAQ (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IF (7)
€3m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
MIN (2)
€0m
ZAQ (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŞF (3)
€1m
IF (2)
€1m
MIN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
ZAQ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IF (9)
€3m
ŞF (6)
€2m
ZAQ (1)
€0m
KAR (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
IF wins
0
Draws
0
İRƏ wins

Head-to-head

Imisli FK vs İrəvan · H/A from IF
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Imisli FKImisli FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/23AMingəçevir Vs IF1-1
28/09/23HIF Vs Şamaxı FK0-3
20/09/23AMOIK Vs IF1-0
14/09/23AAraz Saatlı Vs IF0-3
23/05/23ATuran II Vs IF3-0
18/05/23HIF Vs Zira II1-1
10/05/23ASumqayıt II Vs IF4-0
03/05/23HIF Vs Kapaz II1-2
25/04/23AKeşlə II Vs IF2-1
12/04/23HIF Vs Qarabağ II0-1

İrəvanİrəvan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/23HİRƏ Vs Araz Saatlı7-0
29/09/23AQaradağ Lökbatan Vs İRƏ0-1
20/09/23HİRƏ Vs Karvan0-0
14/09/23AZaqatala Vs İRƏ0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Imisli FK
Imisli FK
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD0.75
HomeLLLDL1.07
AwayLLWLD0.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%12%
AVG goals3.002.933.06
Over 1.5 %81%73%88%
Over 2.5 %56%53%59%
Over 3.5 %31%33%29%
Scored0.780.870.71
Conceded2.222.072.35
BTTS34%33%35%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners---
Cards---
İrəvan
İrəvan
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWW2.50
HomeDW2.00
AwayWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%50%100%
AVG goals2.503.501.50
Over 1.5 %50%50%50%
Over 2.5 %25%50%0%
Over 3.5 %25%50%0%
Scored2.503.501.50
Conceded0.000.000.00
BTTS0%0%0%
Clean Sheet100%100%100%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK2757
59%
2.1
6022+38
3.0
74%
48%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.20.8
-
2Qaradağ LökbatanQaradağ Lökbatan2754
56%
2.0
4621+25
2.5
74%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
3MOIKMOIK2749
52%
1.8
5328+25
3.0
70%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
-
4Imisli FKImisli FK2747
48%
1.7
3821+17
2.2
63%
52%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.40.8
-
5KarvanKarvan2744
48%
1.6
4034+6
2.7
59%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
6İrəvanİrəvan2730
33%
1.1
3556-21
3.4
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
7ZaqatalaZaqatala2728
22%
1.0
2837-9
2.4
85%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
8MingəçevirMingəçevir2727
26%
1.0
2039-19
2.2
56%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
9Difai AğsuDifai Ağsu2723
19%
0.9
3343-10
2.8
70%
52%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
10Araz SaatlıAraz Saatlı2713
15%
0.5
2880-52
4.0
89%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Birinci Dasta stats & trends →

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