PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Imisli FK vs Sabah FA Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 11:00
Final 0-5
Imisli FK
Imisli FK
Vs
18%
28%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sabah FA
Sabah FA
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Imisli FK win✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Imisli FKImisli FK

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D22D23L00D01L00D00D00DA·SUM09/12H·KAR15/12A·ZIR20/12H·ARA23/01A·QAB30/01H·KAP09/02H·QAR14/02H·ŞAM22/02A·TUR01/03A·ŞAM08/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.900.790.931.250.88
vs Stronger (9)0.671.110.401.201.001.00
vs Similar (19)1.210.891.000.781.401.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sabah FASabah FA

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W41W31W00D41W10W10W33D22D71WA·SUM22/12H·KAR25/01A·ZIR31/01H·QAB04/02H·ARA08/02A·QAB16/02H·KAP22/02A·QAR01/03A·QAB05/03H·QAB10/03
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.772.070.602.000.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.081.002.500.831.671.17
vs Weaker (18)2.000.611.780.442.220.78
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Imisli FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.5%
Under 2.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.5%
Under 3.5
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
12.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
Imisli FK goals ↓
Sabah FA goals →
01234
010%13%11%5.9%2.3%
16.2%13%9.3%4.9%2.0%
23.1%4.9%3.9%2.1%0.8%
30.9%1.4%1.1%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Imisli FK goals (down), columns = Sabah FA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sabah FA
2.36
Qarabag
2.09
Neftchi Baku
1.79
Turan
1.79
Zira
1.61
Araz
1.39
Sumqayıt
1.19
Şamaxı FK
1.15
Imisli FK
1.06
Qabala
0.88
Kapaz
0.82
Karvan
0.45
Mingəçevir
0.00
Imisli FK is 1.30 points worse than Sabah FA in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 2.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sabah FA
2.27
Qarabag
2.15
Neftchi Baku
1.73
Araz
1.33
Turan
1.33
Sumqayıt
1.31
Zira
1.30
Qabala
1.00
Şamaxı FK
0.94
Kapaz
0.76
Imisli FK
0.72
Karvan
0.70
Mingəçevir
0.00
Imisli FK is 1.55 goals worse than Sabah FA in terms of goals scored per game (0.72 vs 2.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.76
Turan
0.82
Qarabag
0.82
Neftchi Baku
0.97
Zira
1.09
Şamaxı FK
1.21
Imisli FK
1.25
Qabala
1.44
Sumqayıt
1.53
Araz
1.76
Kapaz
1.85
Mingəçevir
2.00
Karvan
2.00
Imisli FK is 0.49 goals worse than Sabah FA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Imisli FKImisli FK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D11D12L00D00D00D00D00DA·SUM09/12H·KAR15/12A·ZIR20/12H·ARA23/01A·QAB30/01H·KAP09/02H·QAR14/02H·ŞAM22/02A·TUR01/03A·ŞAM08/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.300.290.210.440.38
vs Stronger (9)0.220.110.200.000.250.25
vs Similar (19)0.420.420.330.330.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sabah FASabah FA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W30W00D30W00D00D10W10W40WA·SUM22/12H·KAR25/01A·ZIR31/01H·QAB04/02H·ARA08/02A·QAB16/02H·KAP22/02A·QAR01/03A·QAB05/03H·QAB10/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.171.200.270.800.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.080.251.500.500.670.00
vs Weaker (18)0.940.111.000.110.890.11
Clean sheet %83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Imisli FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Imisli FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Imisli FKImisli FK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D11D11D00D01L00D00D00DA·SUM09/12H·KAR15/12A·ZIR20/12H·ARA23/01A·QAB30/01H·KAP09/02H·QAR14/02H·ŞAM22/02A·TUR01/03A·ŞAM08/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.500.710.810.50
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.201.200.750.75
vs Similar (19)0.790.470.670.440.900.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sabah FASabah FA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D01L00D11D10W10W23L12L31WA·SUM22/12H·KAR25/01A·ZIR31/01H·QAB04/02H·ARA08/02A·QAB16/02H·KAP22/02A·QAR01/03A·QAB05/03H·QAB10/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.600.870.331.200.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.751.000.331.001.17
vs Weaker (18)1.060.500.780.331.330.67
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Imisli FK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Imisli FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Imisli FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sabah FA · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Veljko Simić75%
Joy Lance Mickels50%
Christian Nwachukwu33%
Steve Solvet25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Xander Severina25%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev25%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Aleksey Isayev0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Veljko Simić25%
Ivan Lepinjica25%
Joy Lance Mickels25%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Aleksey Isayev0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Xander Severina0%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev0%
Christian Nwachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tymoteusz Puchacz50%
Aleksey Isayev50%
Akim Zedadka25%
Joy Lance Mickels25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev25%
Veljko Simić0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Xander Severina0%
Christian Nwachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joy Lance Mickels50%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev50%
Christian Nwachukwu33%
Aleksey Isayev25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Xander Severina25%
Veljko Simić0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
IF (18)
€6m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
KAR (4)
€1m
MIN (2)
€0m
Imisli FK's squad is €11m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€6m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
IF (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
MIN (2)
€0m
Imisli FK's attack is €2m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€3m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
IF (2)
€1m
MIN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
Imisli FK's midfield is €5m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€1m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
IF (9)
€3m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
ŞF (6)
€2m
KAR (1)
€0m
MIN (0)
€0m
Imisli FK's defence is €4m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€3m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
IF wins
1
Draws
1
SF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Imisli FK vs Sabah FA · H/A from IF
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/25HIF Vs Sabah FA1-1
29/11/25HIF Vs Sabah FA0-3
31/08/25ASabah FA Vs IF0-1

Imisli FKImisli FK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26AŞamaxı FK Vs IF0-0
01/03/26ATuran Vs IF0-0
22/02/26HIF Vs Şamaxı FK0-0
14/02/26HIF Vs Qarabag0-1
09/02/26HIF Vs Kapaz0-0
30/01/26AQabala Vs IF3-2
23/01/26HIF Vs Araz2-2
20/12/25AZira Vs IF0-0
15/12/25HIF Vs Karvan1-1
09/12/25ASumqayıt Vs IF1-0

Sabah FASabah FA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/26HSF Vs Qabala7-1
05/03/26AQabala Vs SF2-2
01/03/26AQarabag Vs SF3-3
22/02/26HSF Vs Kapaz1-0
16/02/26AQabala Vs SF0-1
08/02/26HSF Vs Araz4-1
04/02/26HSF Vs Qabala0-0
31/01/26AZira Vs SF1-3
25/01/26HSF Vs Karvan4-1
22/12/25ASumqayıt Vs SF1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Imisli FK
Imisli FK
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 0 Wins / 7 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.50
HomeDDDLD1.60
AwayLDLDD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.161.962.36
Over 1.5 %56%56%56%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.261.201.32
Conceded0.900.761.04
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Sabah FA
Sabah FA
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.86
HomeWDWWW1.92
AwayWWWDD1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals2.842.752.92
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored1.861.881.85
Conceded0.980.881.08
BTTS60%54%65%
Clean Sheet30%33%27%
Corners---
Cards5.002.008.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sabah FASabah FA3378
73%
2.4
7525+50
3.0
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5572.30.8
-
2QarabagQarabag3369
64%
2.1
7127+44
3.0
76%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.20.8
-
3Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3359
48%
1.8
5732+25
2.7
73%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.71.0
-
4TuranTuran3359
52%
1.8
4427+17
2.2
67%
45%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.30.8
-
5ZiraZira3353
39%
1.6
4336+7
2.4
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.31.1
-
6ArazAraz3346
39%
1.4
4458-14
3.1
88%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.31.8
-
7SumqayıtSumqayıt3238
34%
1.2
4249-7
2.8
78%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4241.31.5
-
8Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3338
27%
1.2
3140-9
2.2
67%
45%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.2
-
9Imisli FKImisli FK3234
22%
1.1
2340-17
2.0
53%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3130.71.2
-
10QabalaQabala3430
24%
0.9
3449-15
2.4
68%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.01.4
-
11KapazKapaz3327
24%
0.8
2561-36
2.6
76%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.81.8
-
12KarvanKarvan3315
9%
0.5
2366-43
2.7
82%
48%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
13MingəçevirMingəçevir10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches