This opponent (Chernihiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chernihiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.87
1.38
2.08
1.06
1.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
3.29
0.50
4.00
0.60
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.43
1.55
1.73
1.25
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Inhulets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
Inhulets goals ↓
Chernihiv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
4.4%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
1
9.2%
11%
5.3%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.8%
9.9%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.2%
6.3%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.0%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inhulets goals (down), columns = Chernihiv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bukovyna
2.70
Chornomorets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.10
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.77
Inhulets
1.53
Metal Kharkiv
1.23
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Probiy Horodenka
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.17
Nyva Ternopil
1.17
Chernihiv
1.03
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.72
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.63
Inhulets is 0.50 points better than Chernihiv in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bukovyna
2.47
Livyi Bereh
1.67
Chornomorets
1.41
Inhulets
1.37
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.23
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.03
Yarud Mariupol'
1.03
Metal Kharkiv
1.03
UCSA
1.00
Chernihiv
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.97
Nyva Ternopil
0.83
Vorskla Poltava
0.77
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.69
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.53
Inhulets is 0.37 goals better than Chernihiv in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Chornomorets
0.69
Livyi Bereh
0.70
Bukovyna
0.70
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
1.07
Inhulets
1.07
Nyva Ternopil
1.07
Prykarpattia
1.14
Metal Kharkiv
1.17
Vorskla Poltava
1.20
Chernihiv
1.20
Probiy Horodenka
1.23
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.27
UCSA
1.33
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.45
Metalurh Zaporizhya
2.03
Inhulets is 0.13 goals better than Chernihiv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inhulets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.64
0.55
0.75
0.25
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.37
0.71
0.50
0.80
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernihiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chernihiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.62
1.08
0.35
0.82
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.87
0.64
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Inhulets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inhulets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inhulets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.50
0.68
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.71
0.17
1.17
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.42
0.50
0.50
1.20
0.20
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernihiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chernihiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.77
1.00
0.71
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.14
0.00
2.50
0.60
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.57
0.91
0.73
0.75
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Inhulets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inhulets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inhulets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernihiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Inhulets · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristian Svystun25%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets20%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko17%
Ivan Losenko11%
Roman Volokhatyi8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Serhiy Kyslenko0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Oleksandr Piatov0%
Valerii Sad0%
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh0%
Maksym Melnychuk0%
Ilya Gadzhuk0%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov0%
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Oleh Pushkarov0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Vitalii Katrych0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk40%
Maksym Melnychuk25%
Valerii Sad22%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov20%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko20%
Roman Volokhatyi17%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko17%
Vitalii Katrych14%
Serhiy Kyslenko12%
Ilya Gadzhuk12%
Ivan Losenko11%
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh9%
Oleh Pushkarov8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Oleksandr Piatov0%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Kristian Svystun0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh9%
Oleksandr Piatov8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Serhiy Kyslenko0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Valerii Sad0%
Maksym Melnychuk0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets0%
Ilya Gadzhuk0%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov0%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko0%
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Ivan Losenko0%
Oleh Pushkarov0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Vitalii Katrych0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Kristian Svystun0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleh Pushkarov8%
Marian Mysyk0%
Mykhailo Shershen0%
Oleksiy Palamarchuk0%
Oleksandr Kozak0%
Serhiy Kyslenko0%
Bogdan Mogilnyi0%
Oleksandr Piatov0%
Valerii Sad0%
Stanislav-Nuri Malysh0%
Maksym Melnychuk0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Volodymyr Bilotserkovets0%
Ilya Gadzhuk0%
Denis Sergeevich Rezepov0%
Vitaliy Faraseyenko0%
Oleksandr Dykhtiaruk0%
Vitalii Dubilei0%
Artem Benediuk0%
Ivan Losenko0%
Radion Lisnyak0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Vitalii Katrych0%
Volodymyr Vilivald0%
Kristian Svystun0%
Vladyslav Chaban0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (25)
€9m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
Inhulets and Chernihiv have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (10)
€4m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
YM (6)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Inhulets and Chernihiv have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
Inhulets and Chernihiv have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUK (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
Inhulets and Chernihiv have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →