The model favours an away win, with a 44 % chance for Petržalka, 31 % for a draw and 26 % for Inter Bratislava. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly open encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.3 % probability. Inter Bratislava, at home against a similarly-strength opponent, averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.27 conceded, while Petržalka, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and only 0.73 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.4 %), Under 5.5 (97.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 %), Home under 2.5 goals (92.9 %), Under 4.5 (92.1 %) and Away +2 handicap (90.4 %). Inter Bratislava’s recent form shows a 1-2 loss to Tatran Prešov after a series of wins, while Petržalka comes off a five-game winning streak, beating Nová Dedinka 5-1.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Inter Bratislava win
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petržalka win
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Inter Bratislava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.14
1.07
1.44
1.31
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
0.71
1.00
0.33
2.25
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.35
1.18
1.27
1.17
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petržalka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.07
2.00
1.14
1.62
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
0.00
2.00
3.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.96
1.00
2.17
1.08
1.77
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
64.9%
Under 1.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
36.7%
Under 2.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
17.3%
Under 3.5
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
Inter Bratislava goals ↓
Petržalka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
13%
9.4%
4.0%
1.3%
1
8.9%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
4.5%
5.7%
3.7%
1.6%
0.5%
3
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Inter Bratislava goals (down), columns = Petržalka goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Inter Bratislava is 1.83 points worse than Petržalka in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Inter Bratislava is 1.17 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Inter Bratislava is 0.83 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Inter Bratislava or Draw
55.6%
Avg Implied -
24%
31%
44%
covers Inter Bratislava + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava or Petržalka
68.7%
Avg Implied -
24%
31%
44%
covers Inter Bratislava + Petržalka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Petržalka
75.6%
Avg Implied -
24%
31%
44%
covers Draw + Petržalka
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Inter Bratislava over/under 0.5
Over
58.6%
Under
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 1.5
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 2.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5
Over
72.2%
Under
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5
Over
36.6%
Under
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 3.5
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Inter Bratislava, so a minus line means Inter Bratislava give that many goals of a start and Petržalka receive them. At -1, Inter Bratislava must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Inter Bratislava win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Inter Bratislava)
Inter Bratislava -2
2.2%
Draw -2
6.4%
Petržalka +2
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Inter Bratislava)
Inter Bratislava -1
8.6%
Draw -1
15.8%
Petržalka +1
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Inter Bratislava)
Inter Bratislava +1
55.6%
Draw +1
23.5%
Petržalka -1
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Inter Bratislava)
Inter Bratislava +2
79.1%
Draw +2
13.5%
Petržalka -2
7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Inter Bratislava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.43
0.57
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
0.71
0.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.65
0.45
0.64
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petržalka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.93
0.57
0.31
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.38
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.5%
Under 0.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.3%
Under 1.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.3%
Under 2.5
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Inter Bratislava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.6%
Under
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.5%
Under
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Inter Bratislava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.71
0.50
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.25
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.70
0.73
0.64
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petržalka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.63
1.07
0.57
1.31
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.28
0.60
1.17
0.58
1.38
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Bratislava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.6%
Under 0.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.9%
Under 1.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.5%
Under 2.5
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Inter Bratislava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.7%
Under
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Bratislava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.5%
Under
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Inter Bratislava's squad is €1m less valuable than Petržalka's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Inter Bratislava and Petržalka have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Inter Bratislava and Petržalka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Inter Bratislava and Petržalka have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Tatran Prešov
Liptovský Mikuláš
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča