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IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding Result & Analysis

Date: 04/07/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 3-0
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Vs
40%
24%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IR Reykjavik winâś“ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Afturelding winâś— Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W11D01L11D05L22D03L31W31W11DA·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05A·LEI18/05H·DAL25/05A·THR31/05H·IBV07/06A·NJA13/06H·FJO20/06A·GRO26/06H·THO30/06
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.941.942.292.571.701.50
vs Stronger (3)2.332.673.003.501.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.861.792.002.201.781.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %6% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L13L03L11D10W43W21W03L01L52WA·THO09/05H·VAL17/05A·KEF21/05H·GRI25/05A·LEI31/05H·DAL08/06A·THR13/06H·IBV20/06H·FJO26/06A·NJA30/06
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.932.201.731.932.13
vs Stronger (1)1.004.00--1.004.00
vs Similar (17)1.532.410.832.501.912.36
vs Weaker (12)2.921.083.111.222.330.67
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.0%
No
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
IR Reykjavik goals ↓
Afturelding goals →
01234
04.0%4.3%4.4%2.5%1.1%
14.5%10%7.9%4.5%1.9%
24.9%8.3%7.1%4.0%1.7%
32.9%4.9%4.2%2.4%1.0%
41.3%2.2%1.9%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IR Reykjavik goals (down), columns = Afturelding goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
DalvĂ­k / Reynir
0.59
IR Reykjavik is 0.14 points worse than Afturelding in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
DalvĂ­k / Reynir
1.05
IR Reykjavik is 0.30 goals worse than Afturelding in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
DalvĂ­k / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
IR Reykjavik is 0.06 goals better than Afturelding in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L10W02L21W02L00D00D01LA·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05A·LEI18/05H·DAL25/05A·THR31/05H·IBV07/06A·NJA13/06H·FJO20/06A·GRO26/06H·THO30/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.940.941.141.140.800.80
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (14)1.001.001.201.200.890.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L01L00D00D21W11D01L01L21WA·THO09/05H·VAL17/05A·KEF21/05H·GRI25/05A·LEI31/05H·DAL08/06A·THR13/06H·IBV20/06H·FJO26/06A·NJA30/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.801.070.730.870.87
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.651.060.171.000.911.09
vs Weaker (12)1.500.421.670.561.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L03L01L01L31W31W10WA·KEF03/05A·GRI10/05A·LEI18/05H·DAL25/05A·THR31/05H·IBV07/06A·NJA13/06H·FJO20/06A·GRO26/06H·THO30/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.141.430.900.70
vs Stronger (3)1.672.002.002.501.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.860.790.801.000.890.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Afturelding) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AftureldingAfturelding

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L02L11D10W22D10W02L00D31WA·THO09/05H·VAL17/05A·KEF21/05H·GRI25/05A·LEI31/05H·DAL08/06A·THR13/06H·IBV20/06H·FJO26/06A·NJA30/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.131.131.001.071.27
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (17)0.881.350.671.501.001.27
vs Weaker (12)1.420.671.440.671.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Afturelding over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.2%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar attack value (both €0m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Afturelding have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
IR wins
0
Draws
0
AFT wins

Head-to-head

IR Reykjavik vs Afturelding · H/A from IR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/06/24HIR Vs Thor Akureyri1-1
26/06/24AGrotta Vs IR1-3
20/06/24HIR Vs Fjolnir3-1
13/06/24ANjardvik Vs IR3-0
07/06/24HIR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar2-2
31/05/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs IR5-0
25/05/24HIR Vs DalvĂ­k / Reynir1-1
18/05/24ALeiknir R. Vs IR1-0
10/05/24AGrindavik Vs IR1-1
03/05/24AKeflavik Vs IR1-2

AftureldingAfturelding

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/06/24ANjardvik Vs AFT2-5
26/06/24HAFT Vs Fjolnir0-1
20/06/24HAFT Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar0-3
13/06/24AThrottur Reykjavik Vs AFT1-2
08/06/24HAFT Vs DalvĂ­k / Reynir4-3
31/05/24ALeiknir R. Vs AFT0-1
25/05/24HAFT Vs Grindavik1-1
21/05/24AKeflavik Vs AFT3-0
17/05/24HAFT Vs Valur Reykjavik1-3
09/05/24AThor Akureyri Vs AFT4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.53
HomeLDDWD1.29
AwayDLLLW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%29%50%
AVG goals3.884.863.20
Over 1.5 %88%100%80%
Over 2.5 %65%71%60%
Over 3.5 %47%71%30%
Scored1.942.291.70
Conceded1.942.571.50
BTTS76%100%60%
Clean Sheet6%0%10%
Corners---
Cards---
Afturelding
Afturelding
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.68
HomeLDWLL1.72
AwayLLWWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals4.104.283.92
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %76%68%84%
Over 3.5 %58%56%60%
Scored2.342.682.00
Conceded1.761.601.92
BTTS66%56%76%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12DalvĂ­k / ReynirDalvĂ­k / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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