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IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R. Result & Analysis

Date: 13/06/2025
Time: 19:15
Final 1-0
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Vs
56%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IR Reykjavik winâś“ Hit
56.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. winâś— Miss
19.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D50W13L10W11D11D20W30W21W11DA·VAL18/03A·AUG11/04A·THO19/04H·VĂ–L03/05A·HK 09/05A·NJA16/05H·SEL23/05A·FJO30/05H·THR04/06A·THO09/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.031.620.771.651.24
vs Stronger (4)3.000.75--3.000.75
vs Similar (25)1.441.121.670.831.231.38
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-645L50W01L11D14L01L06L26L21W31WA·KEF07/03H·KRĂŤ06/04A·KEF17/04A·THR02/05H·THO09/05H·HK 16/05A·KEF23/05H·GRI30/05A·FYL04/06H·VĂ–L09/06
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.832.071.941.941.712.21
vs Stronger (18)1.892.671.672.562.112.78
vs Similar (12)1.751.172.291.141.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0 âś“
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
IR Reykjavik goals ↓
Leiknir R. goals →
01234
06.2%4.4%2.9%1.0%0.3%
18.8%11%5.5%1.9%0.5%
29.4%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.0%6.3%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.9%3.0%1.6%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IR Reykjavik goals (down), columns = Leiknir R. goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Thor Akureyri
2.05
Njardvik
1.92
HK Kopavogur
1.84
Keflavik
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.71
IR Reykjavik
1.68
Völsungur
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.05
Fylkir
1.05
Grindavik
0.95
Selfoss
0.86
Fjolnir
0.68
IR Reykjavik is 0.64 points better than Leiknir R. in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Keflavik
2.44
Thor Akureyri
2.32
Njardvik
2.17
HK Kopavogur
2.12
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Grindavik
1.73
IR Reykjavik
1.73
Völsungur
1.64
Fylkir
1.55
Fjolnir
1.45
Selfoss
1.14
Leiknir R.
1.09
IR Reykjavik is 0.64 goals better than Leiknir R. in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Njardvik
1.21
IR Reykjavik
1.23
Thor Akureyri
1.41
Fylkir
1.45
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Keflavik
1.64
Leiknir R.
1.82
Throttur Reykjavik
1.83
Selfoss
2.00
Völsungur
2.36
Fjolnir
2.41
Grindavik
2.77
IR Reykjavik is 0.59 goals better than Leiknir R. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W12L10W10W00D00D30W10W10WA·VAL18/03A·AUG11/04A·THO19/04H·VĂ–L03/05A·HK 09/05A·NJA16/05H·SEL23/05A·FJO30/05H·THR04/06A·THO09/06
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.620.380.760.41
vs Stronger (4)1.250.25--1.250.25
vs Similar (25)0.600.440.580.420.620.46
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %73% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L20W01L01L03L00D02L03L10W00DA·KEF07/03H·KRĂŤ06/04A·KEF17/04A·THR02/05H·THO09/05H·HK 16/05A·KEF23/05H·GRI30/05A·FYL04/06H·VĂ–L09/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.690.810.791.07
vs Stronger (18)0.781.280.561.331.001.22
vs Similar (12)0.670.420.860.140.400.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D40W01L00D01L11D20W00D11D01LA·VAL18/03A·AUG11/04A·THO19/04H·VĂ–L03/05A·HK 09/05A·NJA16/05H·SEL23/05A·FJO30/05H·THR04/06A·THO09/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.631.000.380.880.82
vs Stronger (4)1.750.50--1.750.50
vs Similar (25)0.840.681.080.420.620.92
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leiknir R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W30W00D10W11D01L04L23L11D31WA·KEF07/03H·KRĂŤ06/04A·KEF17/04A·THR02/05H·THO09/05H·HK 16/05A·KEF23/05H·GRI30/05A·FYL04/06H·VĂ–L09/06
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.131.251.120.931.14
vs Stronger (18)1.111.391.111.221.111.56
vs Similar (12)1.080.751.431.000.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leiknir R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VĂ–L (19)
€1m
IR Reykjavik and Leiknir R. have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VĂ–L (4)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Leiknir R. have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VĂ–L (6)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Leiknir R. have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VĂ–L (9)
€0m
IR Reykjavik and Leiknir R. have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
IR wins
0
Draws
1
LR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir R. · H/A from IR
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/24HIR Vs Leiknir R.1-0
18/05/24ALeiknir R. Vs IR1-0

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/25AThor Akureyri Vs IR1-1
04/06/25HIR Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-1
30/05/25AFjolnir Vs IR0-3
23/05/25HIR Vs Selfoss2-0
16/05/25ANjardvik Vs IR1-1
09/05/25AHK Kopavogur Vs IR1-1
03/05/25HIR Vs Völsungur1-0
19/04/25AThor Akureyri Vs IR3-1
11/04/25AAugnablik Vs IR0-5
18/03/25AValur Reykjavik Vs IR2-2

Leiknir R.Leiknir R.

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/25HLR Vs Völsungur3-1
04/06/25AFylkir Vs LR1-2
30/05/25HLR Vs Grindavik2-6
23/05/25AKeflavik Vs LR6-0
16/05/25HLR Vs HK Kopavogur0-1
09/05/25HLR Vs Thor Akureyri1-4
02/05/25AThrottur Reykjavik Vs LR1-1
17/04/25AKeflavik Vs LR1-0
06/04/25HLR Vs KrĂ­a5-0
07/03/25AKeflavik Vs LR5-4

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.71
HomeLWWWW1.95
AwayLDDWD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%58%38%
AVG goals3.113.322.96
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %33%37%31%
Scored1.731.891.62
Conceded1.381.421.35
BTTS64%63%65%
Clean Sheet22%32%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Leiknir R.
Leiknir R.
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.08
HomeWLLLW0.96
AwayLLDLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals3.783.484.08
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.741.521.96
Conceded2.041.962.12
BTTS62%72%52%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NjardvikNjardvik2446
54%
1.9
5229+23
3.4
96%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2546
56%
1.8
5338+15
3.6
92%
80%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
3Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2245
64%
2.0
5131+20
3.7
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.4
-
4KeflavikKeflavik2543
52%
1.7
6141+20
4.1
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.41.6
-
5Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2441
50%
1.7
4844+4
3.8
96%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2237
45%
1.7
3827+11
3.0
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7VölsungurVölsungur2225
32%
1.1
3652-16
4.0
95%
77%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.4
-
8FylkirFylkir2223
27%
1.0
3432+2
3.0
91%
64%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2223
27%
1.0
2440-16
2.9
77%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.8
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2221
27%
1.0
3861-23
4.5
100%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.8
-
11SelfossSelfoss2219
27%
0.9
2544-19
3.1
95%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12FjolnirFjolnir2215
14%
0.7
3253-21
3.9
95%
77%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.4
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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