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Iskra (Montenegro) vs Lovćen Result & Analysis

Date: 26/11/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Vs
47%
26%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lovćen win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L22D13L02L21W10W33D12L20W01LH·GRB24/09A·LOV30/09A·IGA04/10A·KOM08/10H·BOK15/10A·BER21/10H·OTR28/10A·MLA05/11H·INT12/11A·GRB18/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.801.211.640.881.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.051.771.181.450.912.09
vs Weaker (8)1.001.881.332.330.801.60
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D21W13L10W00D14L10W12L22DA·IGA24/09H·ISK30/09H·KOM04/10A·BOK08/10H·BER14/10A·OTR22/10H·MLA28/10A·INT07/11H·GRB11/11H·IGA18/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.121.711.221.441.002.00
vs Stronger (11)1.001.821.171.670.802.00
vs Similar (6)1.331.501.331.001.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
0-0 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
Iskra (Montenegro) goals ↓
Lovćen goals →
01234
06.0%5.2%4.1%1.8%0.6%
17.4%12%7.0%3.0%1.0%
27.3%9.4%6.1%2.6%0.8%
34.2%5.4%3.5%1.5%0.5%
41.8%2.3%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Lovćen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bokelj
2.22
Otrant-Olympic
2.19
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.58
Grbalj
1.50
Igalo
1.28
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.19
Lovćen
1.14
Kom
1.14
Internacional Podgorica
0.89
Berane
0.69
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.06 points better than Lovćen in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bokelj
1.97
Otrant-Olympic
1.78
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.75
Kom
1.44
Grbalj
1.33
Igalo
1.11
Lovćen
1.00
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.00
Internacional Podgorica
1.00
Berane
0.94
Iskra (Montenegro) and Lovćen are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Otrant-Olympic
0.56
Bokelj
0.78
Igalo
1.06
Grbalj
1.33
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.42
Lovćen
1.61
Kom
1.61
Internacional Podgorica
1.69
Berane
1.94
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.28 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W12L01L11D00D13L11D00D00DH·GRB24/09A·LOV30/09A·IGA04/10A·KOM08/10H·BOK15/10A·BER21/10H·OTR28/10A·MLA05/11H·INT12/11A·GRB18/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.000.430.860.381.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.321.050.270.730.361.36
vs Weaker (8)0.620.881.001.330.400.60
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L21W02L01L12L00D00D13L00D10WA·MLA20/09A·IGA24/09H·ISK30/09H·KOM04/10A·BOK08/10H·BER14/10A·OTR22/10H·MLA28/10H·GRB11/11H·IGA18/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.561.060.440.780.711.43
vs Stronger (10)0.701.300.671.000.751.75
vs Similar (6)0.330.670.000.330.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L01L10W10W20W01L20W01LH·GRB24/09A·LOV30/09A·IGA04/10A·KOM08/10H·BOK15/10A·BER21/10H·OTR28/10A·MLA05/11H·INT12/11A·GRB18/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.790.790.500.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.730.910.730.550.73
vs Weaker (8)0.381.000.331.000.401.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D20W20W01L10W00D01L12L12LA·MLA20/09A·IGA24/09H·ISK30/09H·KOM04/10A·BOK08/10H·BER14/10A·OTR22/10H·MLA28/10H·GRB11/11H·IGA18/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.750.780.670.290.86
vs Stronger (10)0.300.700.500.670.000.75
vs Similar (6)1.000.831.330.670.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
I( wins
1
Draws
0
LOV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra (Montenegro) vs Lovćen · H/A from I(
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23ALovćen Vs I(2-2

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/11/23AGrbalj Vs I(1-0
12/11/23HI( Vs Internacional Podgorica2-0
05/11/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs I(2-1
28/10/23HI( Vs Otrant-Olympic3-3
21/10/23ABerane Vs I(0-1
15/10/23HI( Vs Bokelj2-1
08/10/23AKom Vs I(2-0
04/10/23AIgalo Vs I(3-1
30/09/23ALovćen Vs I(2-2
24/09/23HI( Vs Grbalj2-3

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/11/23HLOV Vs Igalo2-2
11/11/23HLOV Vs Grbalj1-2
07/11/23AInternacional Podgorica Vs LOV0-1
28/10/23HLOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-4
22/10/23AOtrant-Olympic Vs LOV0-0
14/10/23HLOV Vs Berane1-0
08/10/23ABokelj Vs LOV3-1
04/10/23HLOV Vs Kom2-1
30/09/23HLOV Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-2
24/09/23AIgalo Vs LOV1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL0.94
HomeLLWDW1.12
AwayLLWLL0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.642.802.48
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.041.280.80
Conceded1.601.521.68
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet20%16%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.29
HomeWWLLD1.33
AwayLWLDW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%33%38%
AVG goals2.822.673.00
Over 1.5 %71%67%75%
Over 2.5 %71%67%75%
Over 3.5 %35%33%38%
Scored1.121.221.00
Conceded1.711.442.00
BTTS65%67%62%
Clean Sheet29%33%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BokeljBokelj3680
67%
2.2
7128+43
2.8
83%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.8
-
2Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3679
64%
2.2
6420+44
2.3
72%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.6
-
3Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3657
44%
1.6
6351+12
3.2
81%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
4GrbaljGrbalj3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
83%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5IgaloIgalo3646
36%
1.3
4038+2
2.2
72%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
6Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3643
33%
1.2
3648-12
2.3
58%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
7KomKom3641
33%
1.1
5258-6
3.1
83%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
8LovćenLovćen3641
28%
1.1
3658-22
2.6
69%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3632
19%
0.9
3661-25
2.7
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BeraneBerane3625
17%
0.7
3470-36
2.9
75%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
Montenegro: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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