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Iskra (Montenegro) vs Mladost Lješkopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 23/10/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Vs
26%
25%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje win✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W01L02L11D10W02L03L20W12LA·MLA10/08H·GRB17/08A·IGA25/08H·RUD01/09A·KOM07/09A·IBA15/09H·LOV28/09H·MLA02/10A·GRB06/10H·IGA19/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.200.871.200.801.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.601.400.861.570.381.25
vs Weaker (15)1.071.000.880.881.291.14
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D03L40W31W00D11D22D11D25L00DA·IGA10/08H·RUD17/08A·KOM25/08H·LOV15/09H·IBA18/09A·MLA22/09H·GRB28/09H·IGA02/10A·RUD06/10H·KOM19/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.701.191.691.711.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.001.910.802.201.171.67
vs Weaker (19)1.681.581.361.452.121.75
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
Iskra (Montenegro) goals ↓
Mladost Lješkopolje goals →
01234
05.9%7.4%7.5%4.4%2.0%
15.0%12%9.5%5.6%2.5%
23.8%6.8%6.0%3.6%1.6%
31.6%2.9%2.6%1.5%0.7%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra (Montenegro) goals (down), columns = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
2.19
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.88
Lovćen
1.59
Igalo
1.50
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.31
Grbalj
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.75
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.28 points better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.75
Mladost DG
1.69
Igalo
1.62
Lovćen
1.56
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.16
Grbalj
1.03
Kom
0.88
Ibar
0.72
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.16 goals worse than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Mladost DG
0.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.97
Igalo
1.09
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.12
Lovćen
1.19
Grbalj
1.53
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.69
Ibar
1.69
Kom
1.69
Iskra (Montenegro) is 0.56 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D01L01L10W00D01L01L20W01LA·MLA10/08H·GRB17/08A·IGA25/08H·RUD01/09A·KOM07/09A·IBA15/09H·LOV28/09H·MLA02/10A·GRB06/10H·IGA19/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.570.270.730.330.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.130.800.291.000.000.62
vs Weaker (15)0.470.330.250.500.710.14
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L20W11D00D11D01L10W14L00DA·IGA10/08H·RUD17/08A·KOM25/08H·LOV15/09H·IBA18/09A·MLA22/09H·GRB28/09H·IGA02/10A·RUD06/10H·KOM19/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.500.810.930.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.640.201.000.830.33
vs Weaker (19)0.790.680.640.731.000.62
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W00D01L01L10W01L02L00D11DA·MLA10/08H·GRB17/08A·IGA25/08H·RUD01/09A·KOM07/09A·IBA15/09H·LOV28/09H·MLA02/10A·GRB06/10H·IGA19/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.600.470.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.600.570.570.380.62
vs Weaker (15)0.600.670.620.380.571.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L20W20W00D00D21W01L11D00DA·IGA10/08H·RUD17/08A·KOM25/08H·LOV15/09H·IBA18/09A·MLA22/09H·GRB28/09H·IGA02/10A·RUD06/10H·KOM19/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.030.690.880.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.451.270.601.200.331.33
vs Weaker (19)0.890.890.730.731.121.12
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra (Montenegro)) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
I( wins
1
Draws
3
ML wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra (Montenegro) vs Mladost Lješkopolje · H/A from I(
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs I(0-0
17/04/24HI( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-2
05/11/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs I(2-1
13/09/23HI( Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-1

Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24HI( Vs Igalo1-2
06/10/24AGrbalj Vs I(0-2
02/10/24HI( Vs Mladost DG0-3
28/09/24HI( Vs Lovćen0-2
15/09/24AIbar Vs I(0-1
07/09/24AKom Vs I(1-1
01/09/24HI( Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-2
25/08/24AIgalo Vs I(1-0
17/08/24HI( Vs Grbalj3-1
10/08/24AMladost DG Vs I(3-0

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24HML Vs Kom0-0
06/10/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs ML5-2
02/10/24HML Vs Igalo1-1
28/09/24HML Vs Grbalj2-2
22/09/24AMladost DG Vs ML1-1
18/09/24HML Vs Ibar0-0
15/09/24HML Vs Lovćen3-1
25/08/24AKom Vs ML0-4
17/08/24HML Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-3
10/08/24AIgalo Vs ML2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra (Montenegro)
Iskra (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.10
HomeWLLLL1.28
AwayLLDWW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.362.362.36
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored0.941.040.84
Conceded1.421.321.52
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLD1.46
HomeWDDDD1.69
AwayDDWDL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals3.063.043.08
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %62%65%58%
Over 3.5 %42%38%46%
Scored1.621.731.50
Conceded1.441.311.58
BTTS64%58%71%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3270
66%
2.2
5424+30
2.4
78%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
2Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3260
53%
1.9
5631+25
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
3LovćenLovćen3251
44%
1.6
5038+12
2.8
78%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4IgaloIgalo3248
41%
1.5
5235+17
2.7
75%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
5Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3242
34%
1.3
3736+1
2.3
72%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
6GrbaljGrbalj3237
28%
1.2
3349-16
2.6
81%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
7Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3233
22%
1.0
4254-12
3.0
84%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
8KomKom3228
22%
0.9
2854-26
2.6
66%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
9IbarIbar3224
19%
0.8
2354-31
2.4
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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