Iskra vs FCM Ungheni Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2024

Time: 15:00

Final 1-1

Iskra

64%

20%

17%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

FCM Ungheni

Moldova: Liga 1

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra win✗ Miss

63.9%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✓ Hit

19.5%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni win✗ Miss

16.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iskra

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.5

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.50	1.96	2.10	1.00	1.07	2.64
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	4.00	-	-	0.00	4.00
vs Similar (13)	1.08	2.77	1.50	1.33	0.71	4.00
vs Weaker (10)	2.20	0.70	3.00	0.50	1.67	0.83
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCM Ungheni

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.0

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

2.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.56	2.04	1.54	1.38	1.58	2.75
vs Stronger (23)	1.65	2.13	1.58	1.50	1.73	2.82
vs Similar (2)	0.50	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00	2.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

89.1%

Under 1.5

10.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

71.4%

Under 2.5

28.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

50.5%

Under 3.5

49.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

65.4%

34.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

9.3%

1-1 ✓

8.3%

3-1

7.7%

2-0

7.6%

3-0

6.3%

2-2

5.7%

1-0

5.4%

4-1

4.7%

Iskra goals ↓

	FCM Ungheni goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	2.3%	1.9%	0.8%	0.2%
1	5.4%	8.3%	4.6%	1.9%	0.6%
2	7.6%	9.3%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	6.3%	7.7%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
4	3.9%	4.7%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra goals (down), columns = FCM Ungheni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sheriff II

2.68

Victoria Bardar

2.27

Saxan

1.94

FC Stăuceni

1.73

FCM Ungheni

1.41

Făleşti

1.40

Iskra

1.36

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.27

Speranis Nisporeni

1.18

Olimp Comrat

1.14

Speranța Drochia

0.68

Vulturii Cutezători

0.50

Floreşti

0.00

Iskra is 0.05 points worse than FCM Ungheni in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Victoria Bardar

3.40

Saxan

3.12

Sheriff II

2.95

FC Stăuceni

2.33

FCM Ungheni

2.14

Olimp Comrat

1.86

Iskra

1.55

Speranța Drochia

1.45

Făleşti

1.40

Speranis Nisporeni

1.32

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.32

Vulturii Cutezători

1.05

Floreşti

0.00

Iskra is 0.59 goals worse than FCM Ungheni in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 2.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sheriff II

0.59

Saxan

1.12

Speranis Nisporeni

1.27

Victoria Bardar

1.40

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.45

FC Stăuceni

1.67

Iskra

1.82

Făleşti

2.07

FCM Ungheni

2.23

Speranța Drochia

2.59

Vulturii Cutezători

2.73

Olimp Comrat

2.91

Floreşti

19.00

Iskra is 0.41 goals better than FCM Ungheni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 2.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.0

Avg scored

0.0

Avg conceded

0.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.00	0.00	-	-	0.00	0.00
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	0.00	-	-	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (1)	0.00	0.00	-	-	0.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	100% (+78pp vs league)

This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCM Ungheni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

no recent games

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Iskra over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Iskra over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Iskra over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Iskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.5

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

2.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	2.50	-	-	1.00	2.50
vs Stronger (1)	0.00	4.00	-	-	0.00	4.00
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (1)	2.00	1.00	-	-	2.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (FCM Ungheni) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FCM Ungheni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

no recent games

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Iskra over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Iskra over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Iskra over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

FCM Ungheni over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	89.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	71.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting

ISK wins

Draws

FU wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra vs FCM Ungheni · H/A from ISK

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/03/24	A	FCM Ungheni Vs ISK	2-1

Iskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
17/05/24	A	Saxan Vs ISK	4-0
11/05/24	A	Spartanii Selemet Vs ISK	1-2
26/04/24	A	Olimp Comrat Vs ISK	3-1
19/04/24	H	ISK Vs Real Succes	3-0
13/04/24	A	Dinamo-Auto Vs ISK	0-3
06/04/24	H	ISK Vs Făleşti	2-1
29/03/24	A	FCM Ungheni Vs ISK	2-1
16/03/24	H	ISK Vs Speranis Nisporeni	0-1
08/03/24	A	Sheriff II Vs ISK	3-0
16/12/23	H	ISK Vs Văsieni	3-1

FCM Ungheni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/05/24	A	Speranis Nisporeni Vs FU	3-2
26/04/24	A	Făleşti Vs FU	2-2
19/04/24	H	FU Vs Speranis Nisporeni	2-2
13/04/24	A	Olimp Comrat Vs FU	3-0
05/04/24	H	FU Vs Dinamo-Auto	3-0
29/03/24	H	FU Vs Iskra	2-1
15/03/24	A	Sheriff II Vs FU	6-1
08/03/24	H	FU Vs Real Succes	2-1
28/04/23	H	FU Vs Speranța Drochia	0-1
22/04/23	A	Văsieni Vs FU	5-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLWL	1.38
Home	WWLWW	2.20
Away	LWLWL	0.79

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	70%	21%
AVG goals	3.46	3.10	3.71
Over 1.5 %	83%	80%	86%
Over 2.5 %	71%	60%	79%
Over 3.5 %	42%	30%	50%
Scored	1.50	2.10	1.07
Conceded	1.96	1.00	2.64
BTTS	58%	60%	57%
Clean Sheet	17%	20%	14%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

FCM Ungheni

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLDDL	1.20
Home	LWWWD	1.54
Away	LLLDL	0.83

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	46%	25%
AVG goals	3.60	2.92	4.33
Over 1.5 %	88%	77%	100%
Over 2.5 %	76%	62%	92%
Over 3.5 %	44%	31%	58%
Scored	1.56	1.54	1.58
Conceded	2.04	1.38	2.75
BTTS	48%	38%	58%
Clean Sheet	20%	23%	17%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sheriff II	22	59	86%	2.7	65	13	+52	3.5	82%	59%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.0	0.6	-
2	Victoria Bardar	15	34	73%	2.3	51	21	+30	4.8	87%	87%	73%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.4	1.4	-
3	Saxan	16	31	56%	1.9	50	18	+32	4.2	100%	62%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.1	1.1	-
4	FCM Ungheni	22	31	41%	1.4	47	49	-2	4.4	91%	82%	68%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.1	2.2	-
5	Iskra	22	30	36%	1.4	34	40	-6	3.4	77%	55%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.8	-
6	Gagauziya-Oguzsport	22	28	32%	1.3	29	32	-3	2.8	82%	55%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.5	-
7	FC Stăuceni	15	26	53%	1.7	35	25	+10	4.0	93%	67%	53%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.7	-
8	Speranis Nisporeni	22	26	32%	1.2	29	28	+1	2.6	77%	50%	18%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	-
9	Olimp Comrat	22	25	32%	1.1	41	64	-23	4.8	95%	91%	68%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	2.9	-
10	Făleşti	15	21	47%	1.4	21	31	-10	3.5	100%	67%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	2.1	-
11	Speranța Drochia	22	15	18%	0.7	32	57	-25	4.0	91%	73%	45%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	2.6	-
12	Vulturii Cutezători	22	11	14%	0.5	23	60	-37	3.8	82%	64%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.7	-
13	Floreşti	1	0	0%	0.0	0	19	-19	19.0	100%	100%	100%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.0	19.0	-

Moldova: Liga 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches

Iskra vs FCM Ungheni Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Iskra

FCM Ungheni

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Iskra

FCM Ungheni

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Iskra

FCM Ungheni

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Iskra

FCM Ungheni

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature