PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Iskra vs Sireți Result & Analysis

Date: 05/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Iskra
Iskra
Vs
30%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra win✓ Hit
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sireți win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IskraIskra

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W15L13L00D12L04L11D11D00D02LH·OGU07/11A·ZIM21/11A·FLO06/03H·FC 13/03A·POL20/03A·SIR04/04H·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.801.431.501.442.06
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (11)2.000.911.830.832.201.00
vs Weaker (18)1.172.221.122.001.202.40
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SirețiSireți

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-991W31W20W11D20W40W11D01L13L10WH·OLI08/11A·SHE22/11A·SPA07/03H·POL14/03A·FLO19/03H·ISK04/04A·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04H·FLO02/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.781.133.180.912.421.33
vs Stronger (11)2.451.002.800.402.171.50
vs Similar (10)3.401.504.001.602.801.40
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %26% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.4%
Under 2.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
Iskra goals ↓
Sireți goals →
01234
011%11%7.7%3.2%1.0%
19.1%14%8.3%3.5%1.1%
25.6%7.1%4.4%1.9%0.6%
32.0%2.5%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra goals (down), columns = Sireți goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petrocub
2.35
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.06
Zimbru
2.00
Sireți
1.85
Oguzsport
1.50
Milsami Orhei
1.48
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.19
Politehnica UTM
1.13
Iskra
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.88
Dacia-Buiucani
0.52
FCM Ungheni
0.50
FC Stăuceni
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Univer Comrat
0.00
Iskra is 0.76 points worse than Sireți in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FCM Ungheni
2.50
Oguzsport
2.50
Zimbru
2.26
Petrocub
2.06
Univer Comrat
2.00
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.84
Sireți
1.69
Milsami Orhei
1.52
Politehnica UTM
1.42
Floreşti
1.38
Iskra
1.00
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.97
Dacia-Buiucani
0.97
FC Stăuceni
0.91
Făleşti
0.00
Iskra is 0.69 goals worse than Sireți in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petrocub
0.55
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.71
Victoria Bardar
1.00
Zimbru
1.03
Sireți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.23
Iskra
1.25
Floreşti
1.31
CSF Bălți
1.42
Dacia-Buiucani
1.90
FC Stăuceni
2.09
Politehnica UTM
2.19
Spartanii Selemet
2.45
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Făleşti
3.00
Univer Comrat
3.00
Oguzsport
3.50
Iskra is 0.17 goals worse than Sireți in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D12L02L11D10W00D02LH·OGU07/11A·ZIM21/11A·FLO06/03H·FC 13/03A·POL20/03A·SIR04/04H·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.790.790.810.88
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.360.500.501.000.20
vs Weaker (18)0.891.111.001.000.801.20
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SirețiSireți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W10W00D10W20W11D00D12L00DH·OLI08/11A·SHE22/11A·SPA07/03H·POL14/03A·FLO19/03H·ISK04/04A·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04H·FLO02/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.520.481.550.091.500.83
vs Stronger (11)1.450.641.200.001.671.17
vs Similar (10)1.800.402.200.201.400.60
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %65% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L03L00D00D02L00D01L00D00DH·OGU07/11A·ZIM21/11A·FLO06/03H·FC 13/03A·POL20/03A·SIR04/04H·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.970.640.710.621.19
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (11)1.270.551.330.331.200.80
vs Weaker (18)0.281.110.121.000.401.20
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sireți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SirețiSireți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W11D10W11D10W20W00D01L01L10WH·OLI08/11A·SHE22/11A·SPA07/03H·POL14/03A·FLO19/03H·ISK04/04A·FC 10/04H·SPA18/04A·POL24/04H·FLO02/05← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.260.651.640.820.920.50
vs Stronger (11)1.000.361.600.400.500.33
vs Similar (10)1.601.101.801.401.400.80
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sireți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
PU (13)
€1m
SIR (7)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
PU (2)
€0m
SIR (2)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SIR (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
PU (4)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
PU (7)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ISK wins
0
Draws
1
SIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra vs Sireți · H/A from ISK
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26ASireți Vs ISK4-0

IskraIskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26HISK Vs Politehnica UTM0-2
25/04/26AFC Stăuceni Vs ISK0-0
17/04/26HISK Vs Floreşti1-1
10/04/26HISK Vs Spartanii Selemet1-1
04/04/26ASireți Vs ISK4-0
20/03/26APolitehnica UTM Vs ISK2-1
13/03/26HISK Vs FC Stăuceni0-0
06/03/26AFloreşti Vs ISK3-1
21/11/25AZimbru II Vs ISK5-1
07/11/25HISK Vs Oguzsport1-0

SirețiSireți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26HSIR Vs Floreşti1-0
24/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs SIR3-1
18/04/26HSIR Vs Spartanii Selemet0-1
10/04/26AFC Stăuceni Vs SIR1-1
04/04/26HSIR Vs Iskra4-0
19/03/26AFloreşti Vs SIR0-2
14/03/26HSIR Vs Politehnica UTM1-1
07/03/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs SIR0-2
22/11/25ASheriff II Vs SIR1-3
08/11/25HSIR Vs Olimp Comrat9-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL1.34
HomeWDDDL1.67
AwayLLLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals3.382.923.81
Over 1.5 %80%71%88%
Over 2.5 %60%46%73%
Over 3.5 %50%42%58%
Scored1.461.421.50
Conceded1.921.502.31
BTTS66%58%73%
Clean Sheet20%33%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Sireți
Sireți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW2.13
HomeWDWLW2.36
AwayWWWDL1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%73%58%
AVG goals3.914.093.75
Over 1.5 %87%73%100%
Over 2.5 %61%55%67%
Over 3.5 %61%55%67%
Scored2.783.182.42
Conceded1.130.911.33
BTTS65%55%75%
Clean Sheet26%36%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub3173
71%
2.4
6417+47
2.6
81%
48%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol3164
65%
2.1
5722+35
2.5
68%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.80.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru3162
58%
2.0
7032+38
3.3
87%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2112.31.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei3146
42%
1.5
4738+9
2.7
77%
65%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.2
-
5CSF BălțiCSF Bălți3137
32%
1.2
3144-13
2.4
71%
42%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
6Politehnica UTMPolitehnica UTM3135
32%
1.1
4468-24
3.6
94%
71%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
7Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet3329
24%
0.9
3281-49
3.4
85%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
8SirețiSireți1324
54%
1.8
2214+8
2.8
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.71.1
-
9FloreştiFloreşti1317
31%
1.3
1817+1
2.7
69%
38%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
10Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani3116
13%
0.5
3059-29
2.9
81%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.9
-
11IskraIskra1213
25%
1.1
1215-3
2.2
75%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni115
0%
0.5
1023-13
3.0
64%
45%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
13OguzsportOguzsport23
50%
1.5
57-2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.5
-
14Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni21
0%
0.5
56-1
5.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.53.0
-
16Univer ComratUniver Comrat10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

← all matches