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Iskra vs Speranța Drochia Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-5
Iskra
Iskra
Vs
50%
26%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Speranța Drochia
Speranța Drochia
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iskra win✗ Miss
50.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia win✓ Hit
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IskraIskra

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L12L21W30W30W13L21W04L11DA·SHE08/03H·SPE16/03A·FCM29/03H·FĂL06/04A·DIN13/04H·REA19/04A·OLI26/04A·SPA11/05A·SAX17/05H·FCM10/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.922.001.001.072.64
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (13)1.082.771.501.330.714.00
vs Weaker (11)2.090.732.600.601.670.83
Clean sheet %16% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D03L12L01L03L15L07L12L12L42WH·VIC30/03H·GAG06/04A·SPA13/04A·SAX16/04H·FLO20/04A·VIC27/04A·GAG03/05H·SPA08/05A·GAG11/05H·FC 10/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.770.931.400.732.13
vs Stronger (17)0.761.941.001.400.432.71
vs Similar (10)1.101.401.001.001.171.67
vs Weaker (3)0.332.000.003.000.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
Iskra goals ↓
Speranța Drochia goals →
01234
06.5%5.1%3.6%1.4%0.4%
18.4%12%6.4%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.7%5.6%2.2%0.6%
34.9%5.7%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.2%2.5%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Iskra goals (down), columns = Speranța Drochia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff II
2.68
Victoria Bardar
2.27
Saxan
1.94
FC Stăuceni
1.73
FCM Ungheni
1.41
Făleşti
1.40
Iskra
1.36
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.27
Speranis Nisporeni
1.18
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Speranța Drochia
0.68
Vulturii Cutezători
0.50
Floreşti
0.00
Iskra is 0.68 points better than Speranța Drochia in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Victoria Bardar
3.40
Saxan
3.12
Sheriff II
2.95
FC Stăuceni
2.33
FCM Ungheni
2.14
Olimp Comrat
1.86
Iskra
1.55
Speranța Drochia
1.45
Făleşti
1.40
Speranis Nisporeni
1.32
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.32
Vulturii Cutezători
1.05
Floreşti
0.00
Iskra is 0.09 goals better than Speranța Drochia in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff II
0.59
Saxan
1.12
Speranis Nisporeni
1.27
Victoria Bardar
1.40
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.45
FC Stăuceni
1.67
Iskra
1.82
Făleşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
2.23
Speranța Drochia
2.59
Vulturii Cutezători
2.73
Olimp Comrat
2.91
Floreşti
19.00
Iskra is 0.77 goals better than Speranța Drochia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 2.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00DA·SPA11/05A·SAX17/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+78pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L12L00D03L03L01L01LH·SAX08/03H·VIC30/03H·GAG06/04A·SPA13/04A·SAX16/04H·FLO20/04A·VIC27/04A·GAG03/05H·SPA08/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.221.330.201.200.251.50
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.330.670.001.33
vs Similar (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.000.003.00--
Clean sheet %22% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IskraIskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W04LA·SPA11/05A·SAX17/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.50--1.002.50
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L01L02L00D01L00D12L06L11DH·SAX08/03H·VIC30/03H·GAG06/04A·SPA13/04A·SAX16/04H·FLO20/04A·VIC27/04A·GAG03/05H·SPA08/05← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.221.560.201.000.252.25
vs Stronger (6)0.172.170.001.330.333.00
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %22% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
ISK wins
1
Draws
1
SD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Iskra vs Speranța Drochia · H/A from ISK
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23ASperanța Drochia Vs ISK0-0
30/09/23HISK Vs Speranța Drochia2-1
19/08/23ASperanța Drochia Vs ISK1-0

IskraIskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24HISK Vs FCM Ungheni1-1
17/05/24ASaxan Vs ISK4-0
11/05/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs ISK1-2
26/04/24AOlimp Comrat Vs ISK3-1
19/04/24HISK Vs Real Succes3-0
13/04/24ADinamo-Auto Vs ISK0-3
06/04/24HISK Vs Făleşti2-1
29/03/24AFCM Ungheni Vs ISK2-1
16/03/24HISK Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-1
08/03/24ASheriff II Vs ISK3-0

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24HSD Vs FC Stăuceni4-2
11/05/24AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SD2-1
08/05/24HSD Vs Spartanii Selemet1-2
03/05/24AGagauziya-Oguzsport Vs SD7-0
27/04/24AVictoria Bardar Vs SD5-1
20/04/24HSD Vs Floreşti0-3
16/04/24ASaxan Vs SD1-0
13/04/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs SD2-1
06/04/24HSD Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport0-3
30/03/24HSD Vs Victoria Bardar1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.36
HomeWLWWD2.09
AwayLWLWL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%64%21%
AVG goals3.403.003.71
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %68%55%79%
Over 3.5 %40%27%50%
Scored1.482.001.07
Conceded1.921.002.64
BTTS60%64%57%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Speranța Drochia
Speranța Drochia
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.07
HomeDLLLW1.32
AwayLLLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%36%26%
AVG goals2.822.553.09
Over 1.5 %76%77%74%
Over 2.5 %67%59%74%
Over 3.5 %22%18%26%
Scored1.041.140.96
Conceded1.781.412.13
BTTS53%50%57%
Clean Sheet16%23%9%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff IISheriff II2259
86%
2.7
6513+52
3.5
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.6
-
2Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1534
73%
2.3
5121+30
4.8
87%
87%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.41.4
-
3SaxanSaxan1631
56%
1.9
5018+32
4.2
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.1
-
4FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2231
41%
1.4
4749-2
4.4
91%
82%
68%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.12.2
-
5IskraIskra2230
36%
1.4
3440-6
3.4
77%
55%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
6Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport2228
32%
1.3
2932-3
2.8
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
7FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1526
53%
1.7
3525+10
4.0
93%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
8Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni2226
32%
1.2
2928+1
2.6
77%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
9Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2225
32%
1.1
4164-23
4.8
95%
91%
68%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.9
-
10FăleştiFăleşti1521
47%
1.4
2131-10
3.5
100%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
11Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia2215
18%
0.7
3257-25
4.0
91%
73%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.6
-
12Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători2211
14%
0.5
2360-37
3.8
82%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13FloreştiFloreşti10
0%
0.0
019-19
19.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.019.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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