Istanbulspor enter the match after a 1-1 draw against Fatih Karagümrük, while Iğdır FK come off a 1-0 win over Esenler Erokspor. The model’s biggest divergence from market sentiment is the 42% chance of a home win, which eclipses the 27% draw and 31% away win probabilities. The expected total of 3.0 goals is balanced by a 24% chance that the final tally will be 2, the most likely scoreline being 1-1 with a 12.4% probability. Istanbulspor’s home form shows 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similarly matched opponents, whereas Iğdır FK’s away record is 1.12 scored and 1.25 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6% with an 8% edge), Under 6.5 (96.8% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.4% with a 5% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.0% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.3% with a 3% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (92.1% with a 1% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
İstanbulspor win
42.0%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.65
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.72
William Hil
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
BetVictor
2.63
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.30
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
Dafabet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Iğdır FK win
31.4%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.42
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.45
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.45
Unibet
2.43
Dafabet
2.43
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
İstanbulspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.70
1.50
2.00
1.50
1.44
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
3.75
0.50
5.00
2.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.54
1.38
1.67
1.50
1.43
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iğdır FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.30
1.53
1.33
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.33
1.30
1.53
1.33
1.13
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (İstanbulspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.7%
@ 1.24+6.5%
Under 1.5
19.3%
@ 3.54-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
3.76
BetVictor
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Betano
3.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.80+5.5%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 1.90-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.86
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.5%
@ 2.93+3.3%
Under 3.5
65.5%
@ 1.33-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Betano
2.92
Pinnacle
2.90
1xBet
2.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
60.6%
@ 1.63+4.0%
No
39.4%
@ 2.12-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
No
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 5.92+5.0%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.84+4.1%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.51+2.6%
1-0
7.1%@ 8.77+2.2%
2-0
6.6%@ 12.79+3.2%
0-0
6.3%@ 10.17+2.0%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.12+2.2%
0-1
5.9%@ 8.22+0.6%
İstanbulspor goals ↓
Iğdır FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
5.9%
4.8%
2.2%
0.7%
1
7.1%
12%
7.7%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
9.0%
6.1%
2.8%
1.0%
3
3.5%
4.8%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = İstanbulspor goals (down), columns = Iğdır FK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
İstanbulspor is 1.40 points worse than Iğdır FK in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
İstanbulspor is 0.40 goals worse than Iğdır FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
İstanbulspor is 1.80 goals worse than Iğdır FK in terms of goals conceded per game (2.60 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
İstanbulspor is 4.8 percentage points worse than Iğdır FK in terms of average possession (44% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
İstanbulspor
For 3.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Iğdır FK
For 4.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
İstanbulspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.1
8.5
3.9
3.3
4.7
22.8
21.7
24.0
vs Stronger (7)
9.8
9.7
10.0
2.3
1.0
4.0
20.4
19.7
21.5
vs Similar (43)
8.1
7.8
8.3
4.2
3.7
4.8
23.1
21.9
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
35%
41%
54%
46%
62%
58%
48%
68%
% under line
62%
65%
59%
46%
54%
38%
42%
52%
32%
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iğdır FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
10.0
7.9
4.2
4.4
4.0
23.7
23.1
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
8.9
10.0
7.9
4.2
4.4
4.0
23.7
23.1
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
64%
27%
60%
64%
56%
61%
59%
64%
% under line
55%
36%
73%
40%
36%
44%
39%
41%
36%
This opponent (İstanbulspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Mardin 1969
8.6
İstanbulspor
8.4
Pendikspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
28.9
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
23.9
Iğdır FK
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Esenler Erokspor
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.6%
Under 9.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.6%
Under 3.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.3%
Under 21.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
İstanbulspor or Draw
68.6%
Avg Implied 61.9% · @ 1.48
Edge
+6.6%
42%
27%
31%
covers İstanbulspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.50
Betfair
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
İstanbulspor or Iğdır FK
73.5%
Avg Implied 72.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
+1.2%
42%
27%
31%
covers İstanbulspor + Iğdır FK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Draw or Iğdır FK
58.0%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.40
Edge
-7.8%
42%
27%
31%
covers Draw + Iğdır FK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
İstanbulspor over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
@ 1.27+7.5%
Under
20.1%
@ 3.34-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.25
İstanbulspor over/under 1.5
Over
47.6%
@ 2.36+8.5%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.51-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.33
Unibet
2.33
Under
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
İstanbulspor over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
@ 5.33+4.5%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.11-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
İstanbulspor over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
@ 10.00-1.4%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.03+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Iğdır FK over/under 0.5
Over
74.4%
@ 1.23-0.5%
Under
25.6%
@ 3.67+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.65
Betano
3.55
Iğdır FK over/under 1.5
Over
39.5%
@ 2.23-1.9%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.58+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.19
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Iğdır FK over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
@ 4.85-3.2%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.14+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Iğdır FK over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
@ 9.62-4.7%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to İstanbulspor, so a minus line means İstanbulspor give that many goals of a start and Iğdır FK receive them. At -1, İstanbulspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal İstanbulspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (İstanbulspor)
İstanbulspor -2
9.0%
@ 6.15-3.9%
Draw -2
13.0%
@ 4.55-4.4%
Iğdır FK +2
78.1%
@ 1.13+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.15
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (İstanbulspor)
İstanbulspor -1
21.9%
@ 4.83+4.5%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 3.95-1.2%
Iğdır FK +1
58.0%
@ 1.37-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.30
Unibet
4.35
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Handicap +1 (İstanbulspor)
İstanbulspor +1
68.6%
@ 1.45+9.7%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 3.92-4.9%
Iğdır FK -1
14.5%
@ 4.42-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Unibet
1.40
Draw
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.10
Handicap +2 (İstanbulspor)
İstanbulspor +2
85.5%
@ 1.12+9.9%
Draw +2
9.4%
@ 5.85-5.2%
Iğdır FK -2
5.1%
@ 8.60-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Betfair
11.00
Marathonbet
6.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
İstanbulspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.79
0.93
0.75
0.88
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.81
0.83
0.83
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iğdır FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
0.80
0.47
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.47
0.80
0.47
0.73
0.47
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (İstanbulspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.7%
@ 1.33+6.7%
Under 0.5
24.3%
@ 2.96-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 2.60+7.0%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.43-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Under
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 6.22+0.2%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.08-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
İstanbulspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.5%
@ 2.05+8.4%
Under
46.5%
@ 1.68-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
İstanbulspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.3%
@ 6.58+4.2%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.08-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
İstanbulspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.4%
@ 11.00-4.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Iğdır FK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.1%
@ 1.96+1.3%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.73-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Iğdır FK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.6%
@ 5.95+0.2%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.09-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Iğdır FK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.2%
@ 10.75-5.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
İstanbulspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.71
1.07
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.25
0.00
3.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.58
0.83
0.67
0.71
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Iğdır FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Iğdır FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.73
0.87
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.57
0.83
0.73
0.87
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (İstanbulspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.20+1.8%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 3.92-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
William Hil
3.90
Betano
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.97+0.7%
Under 1.5
52.4%
@ 1.74-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
William Hil
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.96-2.9%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.19+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
İstanbulspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.2%
@ 1.74+2.1%
Under
44.8%
@ 1.97-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
İstanbulspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.3%
@ 4.57+3.2%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.15-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
İstanbulspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.9%
@ 9.25-3.2%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Iğdır FK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.7%
@ 1.67-8.5%
Under
53.3%
@ 2.06+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.04
Iğdır FK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.9%
@ 4.25-6.8%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.18+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Iğdır FK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 8.75-7.8%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.04+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.8%
Under 6.5
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
Under 5.5
91.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+2.1%
Under 11.5 corners
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.5%
1.12
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+9.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.1%
1.18
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+6.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.08
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-0.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-0.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
84.2%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
+3.2%
Under 4.5
82.1%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-0.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-4.2%
Over 1.5
80.7%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+6.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
79.9%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
+7.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+2.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.20
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+1.8%
Over 2.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.3%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
-4.5%
Away +2 handicap
78.1%
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+8.2%
Under 10.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-3.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.7%
1.33
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Unibet
1.33
+6.7%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-0.5%
Home or Away
73.5%
1.27
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+1.2%
Under 25.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
İstanbulspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mustafa Sol0%
A. Tutar0%
Ilian Iliev0%
Dijlan Aydin0%
B. Nızam0%
V. Temel0%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo0%
Duran Sahin0%
Turan Tuncer0%
E. Mendy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Tutar33%
Dijlan Aydin33%
B. Nızam33%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo33%
Duran Sahin33%
Mustafa Sol0%
Ilian Iliev0%
V. Temel0%
Turan Tuncer0%
E. Mendy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Nızam33%
Mustafa Sol0%
A. Tutar0%
Ilian Iliev0%
Dijlan Aydin0%
V. Temel0%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo0%
Duran Sahin0%
Turan Tuncer0%
E. Mendy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mustafa Sol33%
A. Tutar0%
Ilian Iliev0%
Dijlan Aydin0%
B. Nızam0%
V. Temel0%
Phellipe Cardoso Araujo0%
Duran Sahin0%
Turan Tuncer0%
E. Mendy0%
Iğdır FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Öztürk33%
Loic Kouagba33%
Giovanni Crociata33%
Douglas Tanque33%
Gökcan Kaya33%
Felix Afena-Gyan33%
Doğan Erdoğan0%
J. Szumski0%
Soner Gönül0%
Dino Hotić0%
Hüseyin Karabey0%
Moustapha Camara0%
Arda Çolak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Doğan Erdoğan67%
Hüseyin Karabey67%
Giovanni Crociata33%
Dino Hotić33%
Felix Afena-Gyan33%
Arda Çolak33%
A. Öztürk0%
Loic Kouagba0%
J. Szumski0%
Douglas Tanque0%
Gökcan Kaya0%
Soner Gönül0%
Moustapha Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Loic Kouagba33%
Soner Gönül33%
Dino Hotić33%
Hüseyin Karabey33%
Moustapha Camara33%
Doğan Erdoğan0%
A. Öztürk0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
J. Szumski0%
Douglas Tanque0%
Gökcan Kaya0%
Felix Afena-Gyan0%
Arda Çolak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Douglas Tanque33%
Dino Hotić33%
Felix Afena-Gyan33%
Doğan Erdoğan0%
A. Öztürk0%
Loic Kouagba0%
Giovanni Crociata0%
J. Szumski0%
Gökcan Kaya0%
Soner Gönül0%
Hüseyin Karabey0%
Moustapha Camara0%
Arda Çolak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
İstanbulspor's squad is €1m less valuable than Iğdır FK's (€8m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
İstanbulspor and Iğdır FK have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
İstanbulspor's midfield is €1m less valuable than Iğdır FK's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
İstanbulspor and Iğdır FK have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
Boluspor