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Istogu vs Trepça'89 Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:30
Istogu
Istogu
Vs
25%
24%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trepça
Trepça'89
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Istogu’s recent outing ended 2-1 against FC Besa Peja, but the team’s home form against stronger opponents shows a modest 1.33 goals per game while conceding 2.33. Trepça’89, unbeaten in five matches and scoring 2.14 goals per game away, has only allowed one goal on the road. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.3 goals and a most likely total of three, 22% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.5% chance. The favourite result is an away win, with probabilities of 26% for a home win, 24% for a draw, and 50% for Trepça’89 to triumph. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%), Under 6.5 (94.6%), Away +2 handicap (88.1%), Under 5.5 (87.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (86.5%), Away over 0.5 goals (85.9%) and Over 1.5 (85.6%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Istogu win
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 win
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W11D01L13L47L23L33D05L21W01LH·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05A·PRI23/05A·SUH15/08H·FC 22/08A·PRI30/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.901.801.671.002.13
vs Stronger (4)1.002.251.332.330.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.922.091.551.152.23
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrepçaTrepça'89

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W22D53W20W20W32W71W20W00D10WH·KIK12/04A·FER18/04H·SUH26/04A·2 K03/05H·DIN09/05A·IST16/05H·RIL23/05A·PRI17/08H·LIR23/08A·FER28/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.872.200.731.871.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.830.832.001.001.670.67
vs Weaker (18)2.170.892.330.562.001.22
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.0%
Istogu goals ↓
Trepça'89 goals →
01234
05.0%6.7%7.4%4.7%2.3%
14.2%11%9.6%6.1%2.9%
23.4%6.5%6.2%4.0%1.9%
31.5%2.8%2.7%1.7%0.8%
40.5%0.9%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Istogu goals (down), columns = Trepça'89 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu is 1.12 points worse than Trepça'89 in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Istogu is 0.74 goals worse than Trepça'89 in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 2.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Istogu is 0.79 goals worse than Trepça'89 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Istogu or Draw
49.1%
Avg Implied -
25%
24%
51%
covers Istogu + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Istogu or Trepça'89
75.8%
Avg Implied -
25%
24%
51%
covers Istogu + Trepça'89
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Trepça'89
75.2%
Avg Implied -
25%
24%
51%
covers Draw + Trepça'89
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Istogu over/under 0.5
Over
72.6%
Under
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
Under
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5
Over
85.3%
Under
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5
Over
57.1%
Under
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 3.5
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Istogu, so a minus line means Istogu give that many goals of a start and Trepça'89 receive them. At -1, Istogu must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Istogu win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Istogu)
Istogu -2
3.6%
Draw -2
7.2%
Trepça'89 +2
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Istogu)
Istogu -1
10.8%
Draw -1
14.0%
Trepça'89 +1
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Istogu)
Istogu +1
49.1%
Draw +1
21.2%
Trepça'89 -1
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Istogu)
Istogu +2
70.3%
Draw +2
15.8%
Trepça'89 -2
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IstoguIstogu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L02L14L12L00D01L10W00DH·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05A·PRI23/05A·SUH15/08H·FC 22/08A·PRI30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.530.730.130.80
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.671.330.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.350.650.550.550.170.75
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrepçaTrepça'89

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D20W10W00D21W41W00D00D00DH·KIK12/04A·FER18/04H·SUH26/04A·2 K03/05H·DIN09/05A·IST16/05H·RIL23/05A·PRI17/08H·LIR23/08A·FER28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.401.000.330.730.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.380.670.330.710.43
vs Weaker (17)1.000.411.220.330.750.50
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istogu over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IstoguIstogu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L00D11D33D11D33D04L11D01LH·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05A·PRI23/05A·SUH15/08H·FC 22/08A·PRI30/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.031.200.800.471.27
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.671.000.000.50
vs Similar (23)1.001.131.450.820.581.42
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça'89) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TrepçaTrepça'89

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D33D10W20W11D30W20W00D10WH·KIK12/04A·FER18/04H·SUH26/04A·2 K03/05H·DIN09/05A·IST16/05H·RIL23/05A·PRI17/08H·LIR23/08A·FER28/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.431.530.331.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.461.330.670.860.29
vs Weaker (17)1.530.411.670.111.380.75
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istogu over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça'89 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.7%-------
Under 6.595.5%-------
Under 5.589.3%-------
Away +2 handicap89.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals87.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals85.8%-------
Away over 0.5 goals85.3%-------
Over 1.584.1%-------
Under 4.577.8%-------
Home or Away75.8%-------
Draw or Away75.2%-------
Away +1 handicap75.2%-------
Home over 0.5 goals72.6%-------
Home +2 handicap70.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
IST wins
0
Draws
2
TRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Istogu vs Trepça'89 · H/A from IST
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HIST Vs Trepça'892-3
08/11/25ATrepça'89 Vs IST2-0

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26APrishtina e Re Vs IST1-0
22/08/26HIST Vs FC Besa Peja2-1
15/08/26ASuhareka Vs IST5-0
23/05/26APrizreni Vs IST3-3
16/05/26HIST Vs Trepça'892-3
09/05/26HIST Vs 2 Korriku4-7
03/05/26AFeronikeli Vs IST3-1
26/04/26HIST Vs Vushtrria0-1
18/04/26AKEK-u Vs IST1-1
11/04/26HIST Vs Vjosa4-1

TrepçaTrepça'89

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AFerizaj Vs TRE0-1
23/08/26HTRE Vs Liria Prizren0-0
17/08/26APrishtina e Re Vs TRE0-2
23/05/26HTRE Vs Rilindja 19747-1
16/05/26AIstogu Vs TRE2-3
09/05/26HTRE Vs Dinamo Ferizaj2-0
03/05/26A2 Korriku Vs TRE0-2
26/04/26HTRE Vs Suhareka5-3
18/04/26AFeronikeli Vs TRE2-2
12/04/26HTRE Vs Kika1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Istogu
Istogu
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL0.95
HomeWLLLW1.28
AwayDLDLL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%11%
AVG goals3.143.223.05
Over 1.5 %73%61%84%
Over 2.5 %51%50%53%
Over 3.5 %41%44%37%
Scored1.321.720.95
Conceded1.811.502.11
BTTS57%56%58%
Clean Sheet16%28%5%
Corners---
Cards---
Trepça
Trepça'89
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.88
HomeWWWWD2.29
AwayDWWWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%71%38%
AVG goals2.943.042.85
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %32%29%35%
Scored1.822.211.46
Conceded1.120.831.38
BTTS58%50%65%
Clean Sheet34%42%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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