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Istogu vs Vëllaznimi Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 14:30
Istogu
Istogu
Vs
26%
24%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model sees a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.3 goals and a 3-goal total most likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 10.8% chance. Istogu’s home form against stronger opposition shows 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, while Vëllaznimi’s away record versus weaker teams yields 1.71 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. The favourite result is an away win, with 49% probability, followed by a home win at 26% and a draw at 24%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.1%), Under 6.5 (95.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.0%), Under 5.5 (88.5%), Away +2 handicap (88.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (87.2%), Away over 0.5 goals (85.3%) and Over 1.5 (84.9%). Istogu is coming off a defeat to Prishtina e Re, whereas Vëllaznimi arrives on a three-game winning streak, setting the stage for a contest that could see both sides find the net.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Istogu win
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi win
49.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-741W11D01L13L47L23L33D05L21W01LH·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05A·PRI23/05A·SUH15/08H·FC 22/08A·PRI30/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.901.801.671.002.13
vs Stronger (4)1.002.251.332.330.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.581.922.091.551.152.23
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D10W21W31W32W13L31W20W10WH·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05A·TEF15/08H·SUH23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.901.790.571.561.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.001.002.001.000.501.00
vs Weaker (27)1.740.891.770.541.711.21
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.6%
Under 3.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.5%
No
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
4.7%
Istogu goals ↓
Vëllaznimi goals →
01234
04.7%6.2%6.9%4.4%2.1%
14.1%11%9.4%6.0%2.9%
23.5%6.7%6.4%4.1%2.0%
31.6%3.0%2.9%1.9%0.9%
40.5%1.0%1.0%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Istogu goals (down), columns = Vëllaznimi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu is 1.12 points worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Istogu is 0.32 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Istogu is 0.82 goals worse than Vëllaznimi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Istogu or Draw
50.5%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
49%
covers Istogu + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Istogu or Vëllaznimi
75.8%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
49%
covers Istogu + Vëllaznimi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vëllaznimi
73.7%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
49%
covers Draw + Vëllaznimi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Istogu over/under 0.5
Over
74.4%
Under
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5
Over
85.3%
Under
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5
Over
57.1%
Under
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 3.5
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Istogu, so a minus line means Istogu give that many goals of a start and Vëllaznimi receive them. At -1, Istogu must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Istogu win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Istogu)
Istogu -2
4.1%
Draw -2
7.7%
Vëllaznimi +2
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Istogu)
Istogu -1
11.8%
Draw -1
14.5%
Vëllaznimi +1
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Istogu)
Istogu +1
50.5%
Draw +1
20.8%
Vëllaznimi -1
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Istogu)
Istogu +2
71.3%
Draw +2
15.3%
Vëllaznimi -2
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IstoguIstogu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L02L14L12L00D01L10W00DH·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05A·PRI23/05A·SUH15/08H·FC 22/08A·PRI30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.530.730.130.80
vs Stronger (5)0.401.400.671.330.001.50
vs Similar (23)0.350.650.550.550.170.75
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D10W00D11D01L20W00D00DH·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05A·TEF15/08H·SUH23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.360.290.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.000.750.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (26)0.690.380.420.250.930.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istogu over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IstoguIstogu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L00D11D33D11D33D04L11D01LH·VJO11/04A·KEK18/04H·VUS26/04A·FER03/05H·2 K09/05H·TRE16/05A·PRI23/05A·SUH15/08H·FC 22/08A·PRI30/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.031.200.800.471.27
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.671.000.000.50
vs Similar (23)1.001.131.450.820.581.42
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vëllaznimi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W11D31W21W12L11D20W10WH·DIN11/04A·RIL19/04H·LIR25/04A·TEF02/05H·VJO09/05A·KEK16/05H·VUS23/05A·TEF15/08H·SUH23/08A·FC 30/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.360.360.560.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.251.500.500.500.00
vs Weaker (26)0.920.501.330.330.570.64
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Istogu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istogu over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istogu over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vëllaznimi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.0%-------
Under 6.595.0%-------
Under 5.588.5%-------
Away +2 handicap88.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals87.2%-------
Away over 0.5 goals85.3%-------
Over 1.584.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.2%-------
Under 4.576.6%-------
Home or Away75.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.4%-------
Draw or Away73.7%-------
Away +1 handicap73.7%-------
Home +2 handicap71.3%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
IST wins
1
Draws
1
VËL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Istogu vs Vëllaznimi · H/A from IST
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26HIST Vs Vëllaznimi2-3
27/08/25AVëllaznimi Vs IST1-1

IstoguIstogu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26APrishtina e Re Vs IST1-0
22/08/26HIST Vs FC Besa Peja2-1
15/08/26ASuhareka Vs IST5-0
23/05/26APrizreni Vs IST3-3
16/05/26HIST Vs Trepça'892-3
09/05/26HIST Vs 2 Korriku4-7
03/05/26AFeronikeli Vs IST3-1
26/04/26HIST Vs Vushtrria0-1
18/04/26AKEK-u Vs IST1-1
11/04/26HIST Vs Vjosa4-1

VëllaznimiVëllaznimi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AFC Besa Peja Vs VËL0-1
23/08/26HVËL Vs Suhareka2-0
15/08/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-3
23/05/26HVËL Vs Vushtrria1-3
16/05/26AKEK-u Vs VËL2-3
09/05/26HVËL Vs Vjosa3-1
02/05/26ATefik Canga Vs VËL1-2
25/04/26HVËL Vs Liria Prizren1-0
19/04/26ARilindja 1974 Vs VËL1-1
11/04/26HVËL Vs Dinamo Ferizaj2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Istogu
Istogu
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL0.95
HomeWLLLW1.28
AwayDLDLL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%11%
AVG goals3.143.223.05
Over 1.5 %73%61%84%
Over 2.5 %51%50%53%
Over 3.5 %41%44%37%
Scored1.321.720.95
Conceded1.811.502.11
BTTS57%56%58%
Clean Sheet16%28%5%
Corners---
Cards---
Vëllaznimi
Vëllaznimi
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.14
HomeWWWLW2.39
AwayDWWWW1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %65%72%58%
AVG goals2.622.562.68
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %51%50%53%
Over 3.5 %32%28%37%
Scored1.731.831.63
Conceded0.890.721.05
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet38%50%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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