Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.36
0.27
0.27
0.18
0.45
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.20
0.12
0.12
0.29
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
68% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.36
0.60
0.33
0.58
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
1.11
0.25
1.75
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (16)
0.44
0.31
0.38
0.00
0.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
64% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Istra 1961
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.55
0.73
0.45
0.73
0.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.71
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.47
0.75
0.50
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
64% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
0.84
0.50
1.00
0.92
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.56
0.50
0.75
1.12
0.38
Clean sheet %
36% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Istra 1961) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Istra 1961 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Istra 1961 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Istra 1961
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Erceg43%
Darwin Matheus25%
Mounsef Bakrar23%
Vinko PetkoviÄ15%
Reda Boultam9%
Einar Galilea6%
Frano Mlinar6%
Facundo CƔseres6%
Abdallahi Mahmoud6%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ4%
Luka Marin3%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ3%
Luka Hujber3%
Matej Vuk0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Filip Antovski0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mauro PerkoviÄ0%
Mihael Rovis0%
Luka BradariÄ0%
Prince Mumba0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Kristijan Kopljar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonio MauriÄ50%
Ante Erceg38%
Einar Galilea35%
Iurie Iovu33%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ25%
Luka Hujber24%
Abdallahi Mahmoud22%
Mihael Rovis22%
Prince Mumba22%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ19%
Mauro PerkoviÄ18%
Luka Marin17%
Luka BradariÄ17%
Kristijan Kopljar17%
Frano Mlinar16%
Reda Boultam14%
Oleksandr Petrusenko13%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ12%
Facundo CƔseres12%
Lovro MajkiÄ11%
Vinko PetkoviÄ8%
Matej Vuk0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Filip Antovski0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Darwin Matheus0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mounsef Bakrar0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ12%
Facundo CƔseres12%
Filip Antovski10%
Reda Boultam9%
Luka Marin7%
Mounsef Bakrar6%
Ante Erceg5%
Oleksandr Petrusenko3%
Luka Hujber3%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Matej Vuk0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Frano Mlinar0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Einar Galilea0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Darwin Matheus0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Vinko PetkoviÄ0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mauro PerkoviÄ0%
Mihael Rovis0%
Luka BradariÄ0%
Prince Mumba0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Kristijan Kopljar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ante Erceg24%
Mounsef Bakrar16%
Reda Boultam9%
Vinko PetkoviÄ8%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Matej Vuk0%
Luka Marin0%
Luka Hujber0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Frano Mlinar0%
Lovro MajkiÄ0%
Einar Galilea0%
Filip Antovski0%
Zoran JosipoviÄ0%
Darwin Matheus0%
Slavko BlagojeviÄ0%
Advan KaduÅ”iÄ0%
Abdallahi Mahmoud0%
Oleksandr Petrusenko0%
Facundo CƔseres0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Bartol BariÅ”iÄ0%
Mateo Lisica0%
Tino Blaž LauŔ0%
Mauro PerkoviÄ0%
Mihael Rovis0%
Luka BradariÄ0%
Prince Mumba0%
Iurie Iovu0%
Antonio MauriÄ0%
Marin Žgomba0%
Kristijan Kopljar0%
HNK Rijeka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matija Frigan48%
Haris VuÄkiÄ30%
Bernard Karrica25%
Nikita Vlasenko25%
Antonio Marin17%
Prince Ampem14%
Gabriel Lunetta14%
Alen HaliloviÄ12%
Jorge Obregón12%
Emmanuel Banda11%
Adrian Liber10%
Mario VranÄiÄ8%
Lindon Selahi6%
Niko JankoviÄ5%
NƤis Djouahra5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Veldin Hodža3%
Matej MitroviÄ0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ0%
Denis BuŔnja0%
Bruno Goda0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Deni JuriÄ0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Anton KreÅ”iÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Marco ÄuriÄin0%
Mato StaniÄ0%
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga0%
Pablo Ćlvarez0%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ0%
Damjan PavloviÄ0%
Dominik SimÄiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikita Vlasenko50%
Pablo Ćlvarez50%
Gabriel Lunetta43%
Denis BuŔnja40%
Damjan PavloviÄ33%
Mateo PavloviÄ31%
Bruno Goda27%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ27%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ25%
Bernard Karrica25%
Mario VranÄiÄ23%
Anton KreÅ”iÄ21%
Lindon Selahi21%
Veldin Hodža21%
Matej MitroviÄ20%
Adrian Liber20%
Matija Frigan19%
Emir Dilaver14%
Alen HaliloviÄ12%
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga12%
Niko JankoviÄ11%
Emmanuel Banda11%
Haris VuÄkiÄ10%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ10%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ8%
Nediljko LabroviÄ6%
Jorge Obregón4%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Prince Ampem3%
Antonio Marin0%
Deni JuriÄ0%
NƤis Djouahra0%
Marco ÄuriÄin0%
Mato StaniÄ0%
Dominik SimÄiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Damjan PavloviÄ17%
Mario VranÄiÄ15%
Prince Ampem14%
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga12%
Alen GrgiÄ11%
Emmanuel Banda11%
Haris VuÄkiÄ10%
Matija Frigan7%
Antonio Marin6%
Niko JankoviÄ5%
Adrian Liber5%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ5%
Jorge Obregón4%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ4%
Lindon Selahi3%
Veldin Hodža3%
Matej MitroviÄ0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Alen HaliloviÄ0%
Denis BuŔnja0%
Bruno Goda0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Deni JuriÄ0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Anton KreÅ”iÄ0%
NƤis Djouahra0%
Marco ÄuriÄin0%
Bernard Karrica0%
Mato StaniÄ0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Pablo Ćlvarez0%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik SimÄiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matija Frigan56%
Alen HaliloviÄ25%
Mario VranÄiÄ23%
Antonio Marin22%
Marco ÄuriÄin20%
Prince Ampem11%
Lindon Selahi9%
Niko JankoviÄ5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Veldin Hodža3%
Matej MitroviÄ0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ0%
Denis BuŔnja0%
Adrian Liber0%
Bruno Goda0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Roko JuriÅ”iÄ0%
Deni JuriÄ0%
Emmanuel Banda0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Anton KreÅ”iÄ0%
Haris VuÄkiÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
NƤis Djouahra0%
Bernard Karrica0%
Mato StaniÄ0%
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga0%
Nikita Vlasenko0%
Pablo Ćlvarez0%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ0%
Damjan PavloviÄ0%
Dominik SimÄiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
Istra 1961's squad is €23m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€11m vs €34m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
Istra 1961's attack is €17m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€4m vs €21m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
Istra 1961's midfield is €3m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€2m vs €5m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
Istra 1961's defence is €3m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€5m vs €8m).
Croatia: HNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →