Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo Result & Analysis

Istra 1961’s defensive record at home is a 1.11-goal concession average, mirroring their 1.11-goal scoring rate against similarly ranked opponents, suggesting a tight affair. NK Slaven Belupo, on the road, has struggled, conceding 1.67 goals while scoring only 0.78 against comparable teams, hinting at a low-scoring outcome. The model therefore favours a home win, with a 45% chance, a draw at 32%, and an away win at 24%. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal match; the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability. Suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 83.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 83.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.6%, Under 10.5 corners at 71.9%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 71.3%. Istra’s recent draw against Dinamo Zagreb and Slaven Belupo’s defeat to NK Osijek set the stage for a cautious, low-scoring contest.

The model’s forecast proved spot on, with Istra 1961 securing a 2-0 victory over NK Slaven Belupo. The pre-match favourite, Home win, came through, matching the 45% probability the model assigned. The win extended Istra’s recent run, moving them from a draw into a positive streak, while Slaven Belupo slipped further into a losing sequence. The model’s selections performed admirably: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 83.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.6%, Under 10.5 corners at 71.9%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 71.3%. All picks settled in the predicted direction, underscoring the model’s accuracy.