Istra 1961 vs NK Slaven Belupo Result & Analysis

Istra 1961 are tipped to win, with a 50% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of a defeat for the hosts. The match is expected to see 2.3 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 28% of the time. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% probability. Istra’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and 0.56 conceded against similarly ranked opposition, while Slaven Belupo, playing away, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded to the same tier. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 96.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 92.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.6%, Over 23.5 fouls at 85.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.4%, Under 3.5 at 79.0% (miss), Over 25.5 fouls at 74.2%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.2%. The home side’s recent draw against Dinamo Zagreb and Slaven Belupo’s recent loss to Osijek set the stage for a tightly contested encounter.

The pre-match favourite, Istra 1961, failed to deliver as the match ended 2-3 in favour of NK Slaven Belupo. The model had chosen a home win with a 50% probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 2-3 gave the away side the win. The model’s selection of Over 19.5 fouls, with a 96.9% probability, was hit, as were Over 21.5 fouls (92.6%), Over 2.5 cards (86.6%), Over 23.5 fouls (85.1%), Under 11.5 corners (82.4%), Over 25.5 fouls (74.2%) and Under 10.5 corners (73.2%). The only miss was Under 3.5, at 79%. Istra’s recent form, coming off a draw, and Slaven Belupo’s recent form, coming off a defeat, set the stage for this upset.