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Jarun vs Hrvace Result & Analysis

Date: 08/11/2025
Time: 11:45
Final 1-0
Jarun
Jarun
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hrvace
Hrvace
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Jarun win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hrvace win✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

JarunJarun

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L20W01L21W01L22D11D31W13LA·HRV09/09A·BSK13/09H·OPA17/09A·SES20/09H·HNK27/09A·ORI04/10A·CRO12/10H·DUB19/10H·KAR25/10A·DUG31/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.271.071.360.811.19
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.001.361.151.460.871.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L02L11D01L21W30W22D22D00DH·JAR09/09H·KAR13/09A·DUG17/09H·CRO21/09H·RUD27/09A·BSK05/10H·OPA11/10A·SES17/10A·HNK24/10H·ORI01/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.381.621.431.141.332.17
vs Stronger (2)2.501.003.000.002.002.00
vs Similar (11)1.181.731.171.331.202.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0 ✓
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
Jarun goals ↓
Hrvace goals →
01234
05.9%5.6%4.7%2.2%0.8%
16.8%12%7.7%3.6%1.2%
26.5%9.0%6.3%2.9%1.0%
33.5%4.9%3.4%1.6%0.6%
41.4%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jarun goals (down), columns = Hrvace goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Jarun is 0.09 points worse than Hrvace in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.09).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Jarun is 0.06 goals worse than Hrvace in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Jarun is 0.18 goals better than Hrvace in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.45).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JarunJarun

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L10W00D21W00D21W10W10W10WA·HRV09/09A·BSK13/09H·OPA17/09A·SES20/09H·HNK27/09A·ORI04/10A·CRO12/10H·DUB19/10H·KAR25/10A·DUG31/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.500.640.500.44
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.570.540.690.530.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HrvaceHrvace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W02L01L01L00D10W10W11D11D00DH·JAR09/09H·KAR13/09A·DUG17/09H·CRO21/09H·RUD27/09A·BSK05/10H·OPA11/10A·SES17/10A·HNK24/10H·ORI01/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.620.710.570.670.67
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.640.640.670.670.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jarun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JarunJarun

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W01L00D01L01L01L21W03LA·HRV09/09A·BSK13/09H·OPA17/09A·SES20/09H·HNK27/09A·ORI04/10A·CRO12/10H·DUB19/10H·KAR25/10A·DUG31/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.360.790.310.75
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.360.820.380.850.330.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HrvaceHrvace

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L10W01L11D20W11D11D00DH·JAR09/09H·KAR13/09A·DUG17/09H·CRO21/09H·RUD27/09A·BSK05/10H·OPA11/10A·SES17/10A·HNK24/10H·ORI01/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.691.000.710.570.671.50
vs Stronger (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.551.090.500.670.601.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Jarun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jarun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jarun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
JAR wins
0
Draws
1
HRV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jarun vs Hrvace · H/A from JAR
DateH/AGameScore
09/09/25AHrvace Vs JAR2-1

JarunJarun

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25ADugopolje Vs JAR3-1
25/10/25HJAR Vs Karlovac 19193-1
19/10/25HJAR Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-1
12/10/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs JAR2-2
04/10/25AOrijent 1919 Vs JAR1-0
27/09/25HJAR Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
20/09/25ASesvete Vs JAR1-0
17/09/25HJAR Vs Opatija2-0
13/09/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs JAR2-0
09/09/25AHrvace Vs JAR2-1

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25HHRV Vs Orijent 19190-0
24/10/25AHNK Cibalia Vs HRV2-2
17/10/25ASesvete Vs HRV2-2
11/10/25HHRV Vs Opatija3-0
05/10/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HRV1-2
27/09/25HHRV Vs Rudes0-1
21/09/25HHRV Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
17/09/25ADugopolje Vs HRV2-0
13/09/25HHRV Vs Karlovac 19191-3
09/09/25HHRV Vs Jarun2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jarun
Jarun
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.06
HomeDWWDW1.08
AwayLLLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals2.182.581.81
Over 1.5 %72%83%62%
Over 2.5 %38%54%23%
Over 3.5 %14%21%8%
Scored0.981.170.81
Conceded1.201.421.00
BTTS54%67%42%
Clean Sheet26%17%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Hrvace
Hrvace
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.23
HomeLDLWD1.57
AwayLLWDD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%43%17%
AVG goals3.002.573.50
Over 1.5 %85%71%100%
Over 2.5 %69%57%83%
Over 3.5 %38%29%50%
Scored1.381.431.33
Conceded1.621.142.17
BTTS69%57%83%
Clean Sheet15%29%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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