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JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene Result & Analysis

Date: 24/07/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 6-0
JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
Vs
58%
25%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Smiltene
Smiltene
Latvia: 1. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

JDFS Alberts wināœ“ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Smiltene wināœ— Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L11D41W02L01L21W00D12L10WH·RIG23/04A·VAL30/04H·RÄŖG06/05A·RĒZ14/05A·FS 22/05A·GRO29/05H·SAL04/06H·SAL18/06H·DIN02/07H·TUK17/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.081.000.711.001.60
vs Stronger (10)1.001.201.000.801.001.60
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Smiltene) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SmilteneSmiltene

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W03L23L15L33D01L04L04L10WA·PRO17/04H·SAL23/04A·RIG30/04H·VAL08/05A·RÄŖG14/05H·RĒZ22/05A·FS 28/05H·GRO19/06A·SAL02/07H·DIN16/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.182.451.672.170.602.80
vs Stronger (3)1.673.332.002.501.005.00
vs Similar (7)1.142.001.502.000.672.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %9% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.0%
Under 3.5
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
JDFS Alberts goals ↓
Smiltene goals →
01234
08.3%5.0%2.6%0.7%0.2%
112%12%4.6%1.3%0.3%
211%9.7%4.1%1.2%0.2%
36.8%5.8%2.4%0.7%0.1%
43.0%2.6%1.1%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JDFS Alberts goals (down), columns = Smiltene goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
FS Jelgava
2.81
Riga FC II
2.31
Grobiņa
2.04
Valmiera II
2.00
RÄ«gas FS II
1.77
JDFS Alberts
1.73
Skanste
1.42
Progress / AFA Olaine
0.96
Salaspils
0.96
Saldus SS/Leevon
0.88
Tukums II
0.85
Dinamo RÄ«ga
0.85
Rēzekne FA
0.81
Smiltene
0.62
JDFS Alberts is 1.12 points better than Smiltene in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 0.62).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Valmiera II
3.46
Grobiņa
3.27
Riga FC II
3.23
FS Jelgava
2.92
RÄ«gas FS II
2.88
Salaspils
1.54
Progress / AFA Olaine
1.46
JDFS Alberts
1.46
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.31
Skanste
1.31
Rēzekne FA
1.27
Tukums II
1.27
Smiltene
0.92
Dinamo RÄ«ga
0.65
JDFS Alberts is 0.54 goals better than Smiltene in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 0.92).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FS Jelgava
0.50
JDFS Alberts
0.96
Riga FC II
1.04
Valmiera II
1.42
Grobiņa
1.50
Skanste
1.58
RÄ«gas FS II
1.65
Saldus SS/Leevon
1.88
Dinamo RÄ«ga
2.19
Tukums II
2.54
Rēzekne FA
2.69
Progress / AFA Olaine
2.77
Salaspils
2.88
Smiltene
3.35
JDFS Alberts is 2.38 goals better than Smiltene in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 3.35).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D10W01L00D21W00D00D10WH·RIG23/04A·VAL30/04H·RÄŖG06/05A·RĒZ14/05A·FS 22/05A·GRO29/05H·SAL04/06H·SAL18/06H·DIN02/07H·TUK17/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.330.710.290.200.40
vs Stronger (10)0.500.400.800.400.200.40
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Smiltene) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SmilteneSmiltene

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W00D01L05L22D01L01L01L10WA·PRO17/04H·SAL23/04A·RIG30/04H·VAL08/05A·RÄŖG14/05H·RĒZ22/05A·FS 28/05H·GRO19/06A·SAL02/07H·DIN16/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.180.830.830.001.60
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.501.000.005.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.861.000.750.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smiltene over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smiltene over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smiltene over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L00D31W01L01L00D00D12L00DH·RIG23/04A·VAL30/04H·RÄŖG06/05A·RĒZ14/05A·FS 22/05A·GRO29/05H·SAL04/06H·SAL18/06H·DIN02/07H·TUK17/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.750.290.430.801.20
vs Stronger (10)0.500.800.200.400.801.20
vs Similar (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Smiltene) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SmilteneSmiltene

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D03L22D10W11D00D03L03L00DA·PRO17/04H·SAL23/04A·RIG30/04H·VAL08/05A·RÄŖG14/05H·RĒZ22/05A·FS 28/05H·GRO19/06A·SAL02/07H·DIN16/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.270.831.330.601.20
vs Stronger (3)1.331.001.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (7)0.571.140.501.250.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (JDFS Alberts) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JDFS Alberts over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JDFS Alberts over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smiltene over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smiltene over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Smiltene over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.9%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 3.573.0%-------āœ— Miss

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (10)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
RFI (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
TI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
JA (1)
€0m
TI (1)
€0m
RFI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
JA wins
0
Draws
0
SMI wins

Head-to-head

JDFS Alberts vs Smiltene · H/A from JA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/22HJA Vs Tukums II1-0
02/07/22HJA Vs Dinamo RÄ«ga1-2
18/06/22HJA Vs Saldus SS/Leevon0-0
04/06/22HJA Vs Salaspils2-1
29/05/22AGrobiņa Vs JA1-0
22/05/22AFS Jelgava Vs JA2-0
14/05/22ARēzekne FA Vs JA1-4
06/05/22HJA Vs RÄ«gas FS II1-1
30/04/22AValmiera II Vs JA2-0
23/04/22HJA Vs Riga FC II1-1

SmilteneSmiltene

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/07/22HSMI Vs Dinamo RÄ«ga1-0
02/07/22ASaldus SS/Leevon Vs SMI4-0
19/06/22HSMI Vs Grobiņa0-4
28/05/22AFS Jelgava Vs SMI1-0
22/05/22HSMI Vs Rēzekne FA3-3
14/05/22ARÄ«gas FS II Vs SMI5-1
08/05/22HSMI Vs Valmiera II2-3
30/04/22ARiga FC II Vs SMI3-0
23/04/22HSMI Vs Salaspils2-1
17/04/22AProgress / AFA Olaine Vs SMI1-2

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

JDFS Alberts
JDFS Alberts
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.25
HomeDWDLW1.71
AwayLLWLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%43%20%
AVG goals2.081.712.60
Over 1.5 %67%57%80%
Over 2.5 %33%29%40%
Over 3.5 %8%0%20%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.080.711.60
BTTS50%57%40%
Clean Sheet25%43%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Smiltene
Smiltene
Latvia: 1. Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.00
HomeWLDLW1.33
AwayWLLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%33%20%
AVG goals3.643.833.40
Over 1.5 %82%83%80%
Over 2.5 %82%83%80%
Over 3.5 %55%67%40%
Scored1.181.670.60
Conceded2.452.172.80
BTTS55%67%40%
Clean Sheet9%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FS JelgavaFS Jelgava2673
92%
2.8
7613+63
3.4
81%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.90.5
-
2Riga FC IIRiga FC II2660
73%
2.3
8427+57
4.3
92%
73%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.21.0
-
3GrobiņaGrobiņa2653
65%
2.0
8539+46
4.8
92%
88%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.31.5
-
4Valmiera IIValmiera II2652
65%
2.0
9037+53
4.9
88%
77%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.51.4
-
5RÄ«gas FS IIRÄ«gas FS II2646
54%
1.8
7543+32
4.5
92%
77%
73%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.91.7
-
6JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2645
50%
1.7
3825+13
2.4
62%
35%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
7SkansteSkanste2637
38%
1.4
3441-7
2.9
81%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8Progress / AFA OlaineProgress / AFA Olaine2625
27%
1.0
3872-34
4.2
96%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.8
-
9SalaspilsSalaspils2625
27%
1.0
4075-35
4.4
81%
73%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.9
-
10Saldus SS/LeevonSaldus SS/Leevon2623
23%
0.9
3449-15
3.2
85%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Tukums IITukums II2622
23%
0.8
3366-33
3.8
85%
73%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.5
-
12Dinamo RÄ«gaDinamo RÄ«ga2622
23%
0.8
1757-40
2.8
69%
50%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
13Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2621
23%
0.8
3370-37
4.0
88%
69%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
14SmilteneSmiltene2616
15%
0.6
2487-63
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.3
-
Latvia: 1. Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: 1. Liga stats & trends →

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