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Jedinstvo vs Jezero Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Vs
28%
32%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jedinstvo win✓ Hit
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jezero win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W01L11D00D12L01L00D02L11DH·RUD17/02A·JEZ24/02H·SUT28/02A·ARS03/03A·MOR09/03H·BUD13/03A·PET17/03H·MLA30/03H·DEČ03/04A·RUD07/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.571.071.471.131.67
vs Stronger (13)0.771.920.431.571.172.33
vs Similar (12)1.251.251.601.401.001.14
vs Weaker (5)1.601.401.671.331.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L03L10W02L10W11D10W31W12L40WA·ARS17/02H·JED24/02A·BUD28/02H·PET03/03A·MLA09/03H·DEČ13/03A·RUD17/03H·MOR30/03A·SUT03/04H·ARS07/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.971.310.941.141.00
vs Stronger (7)0.711.140.331.331.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.301.001.330.831.251.25
vs Weaker (3)2.000.334.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.4%
Under 2.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
12.7%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
2-0 ✓
5.4%
Jedinstvo goals ↓
Jezero goals →
01234
013%13%8.2%3.2%0.9%
110%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
25.4%6.3%3.7%1.4%0.4%
31.7%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.1%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jedinstvo goals (down), columns = Jezero goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.00
Dečić
1.94
Mornar
1.78
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Sutjeska
1.47
Jezero
1.42
Petrovac
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.17
Jedinstvo
1.03
Mladost DG
0.92
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.75
Mladost Lješkopolje
0.50
Jedinstvo is 0.39 points worse than Jezero in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.83
Dečić
1.53
Otrant-Olympic
1.50
Sutjeska
1.28
Mornar
1.25
Jedinstvo
1.21
Arsenal Tivat
1.19
Petrovac
1.17
Jezero
1.14
Mladost DG
1.03
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.69
Mladost Lješkopolje
0.50
Jedinstvo is 0.07 goals better than Jezero in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.75
Mornar
0.89
Otrant-Olympic
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Jezero
1.06
Petrovac
1.11
Buducnost Podgorica
1.19
Jedinstvo
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.50
Arsenal Tivat
1.61
Mladost DG
1.63
Jedinstvo is 0.44 goals worse than Jezero in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L11D00D10W00D00D01L10WH·RUD17/02A·JEZ24/02H·SUT28/02A·ARS03/03A·MOR09/03H·BUD13/03A·PET17/03H·MLA30/03H·DEČ03/04A·RUD07/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.530.670.600.80
vs Stronger (13)0.380.850.290.860.500.83
vs Similar (12)0.670.670.800.600.570.71
vs Weaker (5)0.800.600.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L00D00D10W00D00D10W02L40WA·ARS17/02H·JED24/02A·BUD28/02H·PET03/03A·MLA09/03H·DEČ13/03A·RUD17/03H·MOR30/03A·SUT03/04H·ARS07/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.400.560.310.430.50
vs Stronger (7)0.000.570.000.670.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.600.350.580.170.620.62
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D00D00D02L01L00D01L01LH·RUD17/02A·JEZ24/02H·SUT28/02A·ARS03/03A·MOR09/03H·BUD13/03A·PET17/03H·MLA30/03H·DEČ03/04A·RUD07/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.530.800.530.87
vs Stronger (13)0.381.080.140.710.671.50
vs Similar (12)0.580.580.800.800.430.43
vs Weaker (5)0.800.801.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JezeroJezero

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L10W02L00D11D10W21W10W00DA·ARS17/02H·JED24/02A·BUD28/02H·PET03/03A·MLA09/03H·DEČ13/03A·RUD17/03H·MOR30/03A·SUT03/04H·ARS07/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.750.620.710.50
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.330.671.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.700.650.750.670.620.62
vs Weaker (3)1.000.002.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Jezero have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Jezero have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Jezero have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
Jedinstvo and Jezero have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
JED wins
0
Draws
4
JEZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jedinstvo vs Jezero · H/A from JED
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/24AJezero Vs JED0-3
07/10/23HJED Vs Jezero2-3
05/08/23AJezero Vs JED1-0
23/04/23AJezero Vs JED2-1
19/04/23HJED Vs Jezero2-1
21/10/22AJezero Vs JED0-2
16/08/22HJED Vs Jezero0-1

JedinstvoJedinstvo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs JED1-1
03/04/24HJED Vs Dečić0-2
30/03/24HJED Vs Mladost DG0-0
17/03/24APetrovac Vs JED1-0
13/03/24HJED Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-2
09/03/24AMornar Vs JED0-0
03/03/24AArsenal Tivat Vs JED1-1
28/02/24HJED Vs Sutjeska0-1
24/02/24AJezero Vs JED0-3
17/02/24HJED Vs Rudar (Montenegro)1-0

JezeroJezero

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/24HJEZ Vs Arsenal Tivat4-0
03/04/24ASutjeska Vs JEZ2-1
30/03/24HJEZ Vs Mornar3-1
17/03/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs JEZ0-1
13/03/24HJEZ Vs Dečić1-1
09/03/24AMladost DG Vs JEZ0-1
03/03/24HJEZ Vs Petrovac0-2
28/02/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JEZ0-1
24/02/24HJEZ Vs Jedinstvo0-3
17/02/24AArsenal Tivat Vs JEZ3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jedinstvo
Jedinstvo
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.06
HomeWLLDL1.24
AwayWDDLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%32%20%
AVG goals2.622.402.84
Over 1.5 %68%60%76%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.101.041.16
Conceded1.521.361.68
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.38
HomeLLDWW1.54
AwayLWWWL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.001.812.21
Over 1.5 %58%58%58%
Over 2.5 %36%31%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded0.940.731.17
BTTS46%35%58%
Clean Sheet40%50%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić3670
56%
1.9
5527+28
2.3
69%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
2MornarMornar3664
47%
1.8
4532+13
2.1
50%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
3Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3661
47%
1.7
6643+23
3.0
86%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.2
-
4SutjeskaSutjeska3653
36%
1.5
4636+10
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.0
-
5JezeroJezero3651
39%
1.4
4138+3
2.2
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
6PetrovacPetrovac3648
31%
1.3
4240+2
2.3
69%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.1
-
7Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3642
25%
1.2
4358-15
2.8
83%
47%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.6
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo3839
24%
1.0
4657-11
2.7
74%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
9Mladost DGMladost DG3835
24%
0.9
3962-23
2.7
76%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
10Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3627
19%
0.8
2554-29
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
11Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Montenegro: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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