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jerv vs Stromsgodset Result & Analysis

Date: 24/04/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 0-3
jerv
jerv
Vs
16%
25%
58%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

jerv win✗ Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

jervjerv

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-626L01L22D13L24L02L10W00D01L20WA·KFU03/09H·STA16/09A·HOD23/09H·SOG30/09A·RAN08/10H·KON21/10A·SKE28/10H·ASA05/11A·FRE12/11A·RAN10/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.901.211.641.502.12
vs Stronger (8)1.122.251.251.751.002.75
vs Similar (21)1.431.861.201.601.642.09
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StromsgodsetStromsgodset

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W10W01L31W30W04L10W70W31W10WH·VIK29/10A·TRO05/11H·HAM12/11A·ROS26/11H·BRA03/12A·MOL01/04H·ROS07/04A·HAL10/04A·KFU16/04A·HAM21/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.071.571.001.381.12
vs Stronger (13)1.151.151.290.571.001.83
vs Similar (16)1.381.061.861.431.000.78
vs Weaker (1)7.000.00--7.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3 ✓
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
jerv goals ↓
Stromsgodset goals →
01234
08.2%12%11%6.8%3.0%
15.0%12%9.7%5.8%2.6%
22.6%4.6%4.1%2.5%1.1%
30.7%1.3%1.2%0.7%0.3%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = jerv goals (down), columns = Stromsgodset goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Rosenborg
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Asane
2.00
hodd
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Råde
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Moss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Fram
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Førde
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Eide
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Express
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Volda
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Flint
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Madla
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Senja
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Toten
0.00
jerv is 1.00 points worse than Stromsgodset in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
5.00
Alta
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Brann
4.00
Lillestrom
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Madla
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Moss
2.00
Førde
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Lyn
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Råde
1.33
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Grorud
1.00
jerv
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Express
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Volda
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Senja
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Toten
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Eide
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Flint
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Os
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
jerv is 3.25 goals worse than Stromsgodset in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 4.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Aalesund
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Rosenborg
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Sandefjord
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Moss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Hei
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Brann
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Alta
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Træff
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Sogndal
1.67
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Heming
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Asker
2.00
Express
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Fram
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Os
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Torvastad
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Rana
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Toten
3.00
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Eide
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Flint
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Senja
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
jerv is 0.75 goals worse than Stromsgodset in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
jerv or Draw✗ Miss
41.5%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
58%
covers jerv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
jerv or Stromsgodset✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
58%
covers jerv + Stromsgodset
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Stromsgodset✓ Hit
83.6%
Avg Implied -
16%
25%
58%
covers Draw + Stromsgodset
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
jerv over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.3%
Under
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
Under
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.3%
Under
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.4%
Under
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.6%
Under
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to jerv, so a minus line means jerv give that many goals of a start and Stromsgodset receive them. At -1, jerv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal jerv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (jerv)Actual: Stromsgodset
jerv -2
1.3%
Draw -2
4.2%
Stromsgodset +2
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (jerv)Actual: Stromsgodset
jerv -1
5.5%
Draw -1
10.9%
Stromsgodset +1
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (jerv)Actual: Stromsgodset
jerv +1
41.5%
Draw +1
24.2%
Stromsgodset -1
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (jerv)Actual: Stromsgodset
jerv +2
65.7%
Draw +2
18.4%
Stromsgodset -2
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

jervjerv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D12L21W01L00D00D00D10WA·KFU03/09H·STA16/09A·HOD23/09H·SOG30/09A·RAN08/10H·KON21/10A·SKE28/10H·ASA05/11A·FRE12/11A·RAN10/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.830.290.790.620.88
vs Stronger (8)0.120.620.001.000.250.25
vs Similar (21)0.570.950.400.700.731.18
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StromsgodsetStromsgodset

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D21W10W01L00D30W20W10WH·VIK29/10A·TRO05/11H·HAM12/11A·ROS26/11H·BRA03/12A·MOL01/04H·ROS07/04A·HAL10/04A·KFU16/04A·HAM21/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.710.640.560.38
vs Stronger (13)0.460.620.570.430.330.83
vs Similar (16)0.620.440.860.860.440.11
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
jerv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

jervjerv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L00D11D01L03L01L10W00D01L10WA·KFU03/09H·STA16/09A·HOD23/09H·SOG30/09A·RAN08/10H·KON21/10A·SKE28/10H·ASA05/11A·FRE12/11A·RAN10/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.070.930.860.881.25
vs Stronger (8)1.001.621.250.750.752.50
vs Similar (21)0.860.900.800.900.910.91
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Stromsgodset) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StromsgodsetStromsgodset

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L10W20W03L10W40W11D00DH·VIK29/10A·TRO05/11H·HAM12/11A·ROS26/11H·BRA03/12A·MOL01/04H·ROS07/04A·HAL10/04A·KFU16/04A·HAM21/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.860.360.810.75
vs Stronger (13)0.690.540.710.140.671.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.621.000.570.560.67
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (jerv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
jerv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
jerv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stromsgodset over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.8%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap94.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals89.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.587.2%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away83.6%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap83.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.0%--------
Home under 1.5 goals79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.4%--------
Over 2.5 cards76.3%--------
Over 1.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals73.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

jerv · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Schröter42%
Peter Wilson20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Aral Şimşir15%
Erik Brenden14%
Daniel Håkans14%
Willis Alvés Furtado11%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo11%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau10%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mathias Haarup4%
Mathias Wichmann3%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Leandro Fernandes0%
Iman Mafi0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
Torje Wichne0%
Erlend Hustad0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Henrik Bredeli0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Thomas Ness0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leandro Fernandes47%
Thomas Ness25%
Erik Brenden24%
Willis Alvés Furtado22%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau20%
Erik Tobias Sandberg19%
John Olav Norheim17%
Iman Mafi17%
Mikael Ugland14%
Jeremy Cijntje12%
Dylan Mboumbouni12%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen12%
Kristian Sirum Novak12%
Torje Wichne10%
Aral Şimşir10%
Erlend Hustad10%
Henrik Bredeli8%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo7%
Oystein Ovretveit4%
Mathias Wichmann3%
Mathias Haarup0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Peter Wilson0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Felix Schröter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Wilson20%
Felix Schröter17%
Aral Şimşir15%
Erlend Hustad14%
Iman Mafi11%
Henrik Bredeli8%
Torje Wichne7%
Mathias Wichmann7%
Leandro Fernandes7%
Erik Brenden5%
Mathias Haarup4%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo4%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Daniel Håkans0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Willis Alvés Furtado0%
Thomas Ness0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Wilson30%
Felix Schröter25%
Daniel Håkans14%
Willis Alvés Furtado11%
Amadou Tidiane Diallo11%
John Olav Norheim10%
Mikael Ugland10%
Erik Brenden5%
Mathias Haarup0%
Jeremy Cijntje0%
Rodney Antwi0%
Amund Wichne0%
Erik Tobias Sandberg0%
Leandro Fernandes0%
Iman Mafi0%
Daniel Arrocha0%
Oystein Ovretveit0%
Torje Wichne0%
Mathias Wichmann0%
Erlend Hustad0%
Dylan Mboumbouni0%
Ole Martin Lekven Kolskogen0%
Henrik Bredeli0%
Ask Tjaerandsen-Skau0%
Kristian Sirum Novak0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Thomas Ness0%
Stromsgodset
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa33%
Nikolaj Möller27%
Logi Tomasson18%
Elias Hoff Melkersen17%
Jonas Therkelsen16%
Eirik Andersen14%
Herman Stengel10%
Gustav Valsvik7%
Jesper Taaje4%
Jostein Ekeland0%
Bent Sormo0%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Marcus Mehnert0%
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl0%
Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%
Kreshnik Krasniqi0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Marko Farji0%
Samuel Silalahi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Danso38%
Bent Sormo23%
Nikolaj Möller18%
Jostein Ekeland17%
Jonas Therkelsen16%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik15%
Jesper Taaje15%
Marko Farji15%
Logi Tomasson14%
Samuel Silalahi14%
Kreshnik Krasniqi14%
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl11%
Herman Stengel10%
Eirik Andersen9%
Marcus Mehnert8%
Sivert Eriksen Westerlund8%
Elias Hoff Melkersen7%
Gustav Valsvik3%
Per Kristian Bråtveit3%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Herman Stengel21%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik15%
Marcus Mehnert12%
Logi Tomasson11%
Nikolaj Möller9%
Jesper Taaje7%
Marko Farji7%
Samuel Silalahi7%
Eirik Andersen5%
Gustav Valsvik3%
Jostein Ekeland0%
Bent Sormo0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Elias Hoff Melkersen0%
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl0%
Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%
Kreshnik Krasniqi0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Jonas Therkelsen0%
Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Farji30%
Elias Hoff Melkersen17%
Jonas Therkelsen12%
Gustav Valsvik10%
Herman Stengel10%
Nikolaj Möller9%
Eirik Andersen5%
Marcus Mehnert4%
Jesper Taaje4%
Logi Tomasson4%
Jostein Ekeland0%
Bent Sormo0%
Lars Christopher Vilsvik0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Dadi Dodou Gaye0%
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl0%
Sivert Eriksen Westerlund0%
Kreshnik Krasniqi0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Samuel Silalahi0%
Fredrik Pau Vilaseca Ardraa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
JER wins
0
Draws
1
STR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

jerv vs Stromsgodset · H/A from JER
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/22AStromsgodset Vs JER6-0
03/04/22HJER Vs Stromsgodset1-0

jervjerv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/24ARandesund Vs JER0-2
12/11/23AFredrikstad Vs JER1-0
05/11/23HJER Vs Asane0-0
28/10/23ASkeid Vs JER0-1
21/10/23HJER Vs Kongsvinger0-2
08/10/23ARanheim Vs JER4-2
30/09/23HJER Vs Sogndal1-3
23/09/23Ahodd Vs JER2-2
16/09/23HJER Vs Start0-1
03/09/23AKFUM Oslo Vs JER6-2

StromsgodsetStromsgodset

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/24AHam-Kam Vs STR0-1
16/04/24AKFUM Oslo Vs STR1-3
10/04/24AHallingdal Vs STR0-7
07/04/24HSTR Vs Rosenborg1-0
01/04/24AMolde Vs STR4-0
03/12/23HSTR Vs Brann3-0
26/11/23ARosenborg Vs STR1-3
12/11/23HSTR Vs Ham-Kam0-1
05/11/23ATromso Vs STR0-1
29/10/23HSTR Vs Viking1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

jerv
jerv
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW0.88
HomeLLLLD0.87
AwayDLWLW0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%22%22%
AVG goals3.503.173.78
Over 1.5 %84%78%89%
Over 2.5 %66%52%78%
Over 3.5 %46%39%52%
Scored1.321.221.41
Conceded2.181.962.37
BTTS72%65%78%
Clean Sheet12%13%11%
Corners11.6310.2512.64
Cards3.844.003.73
Stromsgodset
Stromsgodset
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.30
HomeWWLWW1.61
AwayWLWWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%30%
AVG goals2.902.962.85
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %54%61%48%
Over 3.5 %32%30%33%
Scored1.441.781.15
Conceded1.461.171.70
BTTS48%57%41%
Clean Sheet24%30%19%
Corners10.9411.1710.73
Cards3.023.362.72

🏆 17. League Table

Stromsgodset plays in Norway - Eliteserien
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3062
60%
2.1
7131+40
3.4
80%
60%
50%
10.6
53%
2.8
34%
17.3
10%
75
2227262.41.0
62%
2BrannBrann3059
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.9
87%
60%
33%
11.0
57%
3.7
53%
25.0
80%
27
11791.81.1
63%
3VikingViking3057
53%
1.9
6139+22
3.3
77%
60%
40%
11.3
70%
4.3
60%
23.1
47%
47
2112152.01.3
54%
4RosenborgRosenborg3053
53%
1.8
5239+13
3.0
80%
63%
43%
9.6
47%
4.0
57%
22.6
57%
23
10391.71.3
55%
5MoldeMolde3052
50%
1.7
6436+28
3.3
83%
70%
43%
9.8
40%
3.4
46%
19.5
33%
35
137152.11.2
52%
6FredrikstadFredrikstad3051
47%
1.7
3935+4
2.5
67%
40%
30%
9.2
40%
2.9
34%
18.1
23%
15
5381.31.2
42%
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset3038
33%
1.3
3240-8
2.4
60%
37%
33%
11.8
73%
3.1
38%
19.3
30%
7
3221.11.3
45%
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3037
30%
1.2
3536-1
2.4
70%
43%
23%
8.2
23%
3.5
45%
21.8
43%
8
3241.21.2
49%
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3037
33%
1.2
4355-12
3.3
87%
67%
40%
10.5
63%
3.8
53%
23.0
57%
16
9341.41.8
51%
10HaugesundHaugesund3237
31%
1.2
3146-15
2.4
59%
44%
25%
10.9
62%
4.0
60%
20.5
44%
9
3241.01.4
49%
11SandefjordSandefjord3034
30%
1.1
4146-5
2.9
77%
63%
27%
9.5
50%
3.2
34%
22.1
53%
12
4251.41.5
52%
12Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3034
27%
1.1
3245-13
2.6
73%
50%
33%
11.0
57%
3.2
41%
22.7
57%
13
5431.11.5
43%
13Ham-KamHam-Kam3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
63%
37%
17%
12.1
77%
3.2
33%
19.7
43%
10
4341.11.3
41%
14TromsoTromso3033
30%
1.1
3444-10
2.6
63%
53%
27%
10.3
57%
3.4
37%
19.3
40%
15
4381.11.5
47%
15LillestromLillestrom3024
23%
0.8
3363-30
3.2
87%
70%
33%
10.3
60%
3.8
43%
21.0
50%
14
6451.12.1
52%
16ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3023
17%
0.8
2654-28
2.7
80%
53%
27%
9.6
40%
3.4
31%
23.1
60%
9
3330.91.8
43%
17MossMoss21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
4.5
100%
21.0
50%
4
2120.01.0
50%
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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