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Jezero vs Bokelj Result & Analysis

Date: 30/04/2025
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Jezero
Jezero
Vs
38%
33%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jezero win✗ Miss
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bokelj win✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JezeroJezero

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L32W21W33D12L20W10W22D11DA·OTR26/02A·PET02/03H·JED08/03A·DEČ12/03H·BUD16/03A·SUT29/03H·ARS02/04A·MOR12/04H·OTR20/04H·PET26/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.271.131.130.801.40
vs Stronger (6)1.001.831.002.001.001.67
vs Similar (24)0.961.121.170.920.751.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L12L01L04L01L02L10W11D01L04LA·BUD02/03H·SUT08/03A·ARS12/03H·PET16/03H·DEČ24/03H·MOR29/03A·OTR02/04H·JED12/04A·DEČ20/04H·BUD26/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.300.811.560.861.00
vs Stronger (4)0.753.001.002.500.503.50
vs Similar (26)0.851.040.791.430.920.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.8%
Under 2.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.0%
Under 3.5
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.7%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2 ✓
5.6%
Jezero goals ↓
Bokelj goals →
01234
014%10%5.6%1.8%0.4%
113%15%6.4%2.0%0.5%
28.0%7.6%3.6%1.2%0.3%
33.0%2.9%1.4%0.4%0.1%
40.9%0.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jezero goals (down), columns = Bokelj goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Jezero is 0.04 points worse than Bokelj in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Jezero is 0.11 goals better than Bokelj in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Jezero is 0.23 goals better than Bokelj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JezeroJezero

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D00D21W11D10W10W01L11DA·OTR26/02A·PET02/03H·JED08/03A·DEČ12/03H·BUD16/03A·SUT29/03H·ARS02/04A·MOR12/04H·OTR20/04H·PET26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.470.400.400.87
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.670.670.331.00
vs Similar (24)0.420.580.420.330.420.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L00D01L01L00D00D00D00D02LA·BUD02/03H·SUT08/03A·ARS12/03H·PET16/03H·DEČ24/03H·MOR29/03A·OTR02/04H·JED12/04A·DEČ20/04H·BUD26/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.470.380.620.290.29
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.501.000.501.00
vs Similar (26)0.310.380.360.570.250.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jezero over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JezeroJezero

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W21W12L01L10W00D21W00DA·OTR26/02A·PET02/03H·JED08/03A·DEČ12/03H·BUD16/03A·SUT29/03H·ARS02/04A·MOR12/04H·OTR20/04H·PET26/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.670.730.400.53
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.331.330.670.67
vs Similar (24)0.540.540.750.580.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L03L00D02L10W11D01L02LA·BUD02/03H·SUT08/03A·ARS12/03H·PET16/03H·DEČ24/03H·MOR29/03A·OTR02/04H·JED12/04A·DEČ20/04H·BUD26/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.440.940.570.71
vs Stronger (4)0.252.000.501.500.002.50
vs Similar (26)0.540.650.430.860.670.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jezero over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Jezero and Bokelj have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Jezero and Bokelj have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Jezero and Bokelj have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Jezero and Bokelj have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
JEZ wins
1
Draws
2
BOK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jezero vs Bokelj · H/A from JEZ
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/24ABokelj Vs JEZ2-1
02/10/24HJEZ Vs Bokelj0-0
04/08/24ABokelj Vs JEZ2-0

JezeroJezero

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25HJEZ Vs Petrovac1-1
20/04/25HJEZ Vs Otrant-Olympic2-2
12/04/25AMornar Vs JEZ0-1
02/04/25HJEZ Vs Arsenal Tivat2-0
29/03/25ASutjeska Vs JEZ2-1
16/03/25HJEZ Vs Buducnost Podgorica3-3
12/03/25ADečić Vs JEZ1-2
08/03/25HJEZ Vs Jedinstvo3-2
02/03/25APetrovac Vs JEZ2-1
26/02/25AOtrant-Olympic Vs JEZ1-0

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/25HBOK Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-4
20/04/25ADečić Vs BOK1-0
12/04/25HBOK Vs Jedinstvo1-1
02/04/25AOtrant-Olympic Vs BOK0-1
29/03/25HBOK Vs Mornar0-2
24/03/25HBOK Vs Dečić0-1
16/03/25HBOK Vs Petrovac0-4
12/03/25AArsenal Tivat Vs BOK1-0
08/03/25HBOK Vs Sutjeska1-2
02/03/25ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.14
HomeWDWDD1.44
AwayLLWLW0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.322.482.16
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %42%44%40%
Over 3.5 %20%32%8%
Scored1.061.360.76
Conceded1.261.121.40
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLL1.64
HomeLLLDL1.50
AwayWLLWL1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%46%54%
AVG goals2.462.542.38
Over 1.5 %70%81%58%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.401.351.46
Conceded1.061.190.92
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet34%27%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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