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Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
Jezero
Jezero
Vs
37%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Jezero wināœ“ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica wināœ— Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JezeroJezero

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W02L10W11D10W31W12L40W02LH·JED24/02A·BUD28/02H·PET03/03A·MLA09/03H·DEČ13/03A·RUD17/03H·MOR30/03A·SUT03/04H·ARS07/04A·JED13/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.001.270.931.071.07
vs Stronger (7)0.711.140.331.331.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.201.051.270.821.111.33
vs Weaker (3)2.000.334.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L01L11D60W21W01L20W12L11D31WA·RUD24/02H·JEZ28/02A·SUT03/03H·ARS10/03A·JED13/03A·MOR17/03H·PET30/03H·MLA03/04A·DEČ09/04H·RUD13/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.202.191.251.641.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.381.152.001.170.861.14
vs Weaker (17)2.351.242.301.302.431.14
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
Under 2.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.1%
Jezero goals ↓
Buducnost Podgorica goals →
01234
09.8%8.9%6.1%2.4%0.7%
19.5%14%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.8%8.2%4.9%2.0%0.6%
32.9%3.5%2.1%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jezero goals (down), columns = Buducnost Podgorica goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.00
Dečić
1.94
Mornar
1.78
Buducnost Podgorica
1.69
Sutjeska
1.47
Jezero
1.42
Petrovac
1.33
Arsenal Tivat
1.17
Jedinstvo
1.03
Mladost DG
0.92
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.75
Mladost LjeŔkopolje
0.50
Jezero is 0.28 points worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.69).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
1.83
Dečić
1.53
Otrant-Olympic
1.50
Sutjeska
1.28
Mornar
1.25
Jedinstvo
1.21
Arsenal Tivat
1.19
Petrovac
1.17
Jezero
1.14
Mladost DG
1.03
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.69
Mladost LjeŔkopolje
0.50
Jezero is 0.69 goals worse than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.83).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.75
Mornar
0.89
Otrant-Olympic
1.00
Sutjeska
1.00
Jezero
1.06
Petrovac
1.11
Buducnost Podgorica
1.19
Jedinstvo
1.50
Mladost LjeŔkopolje
1.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.50
Arsenal Tivat
1.61
Mladost DG
1.63
Jezero is 0.14 goals better than Buducnost Podgorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.19).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JezeroJezero

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D00D10W00D00D10W02L40W01LH·JED24/02A·BUD28/02H·PET03/03A·MLA09/03H·DEČ13/03A·RUD17/03H·MOR30/03A·SUT03/04H·ARS07/04A·JED13/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.430.530.330.400.53
vs Stronger (7)0.000.570.000.670.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.400.550.180.560.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W30W01L00D10W12L01L11DA·RUD24/02H·JEZ28/02A·SUT03/03H·ARS10/03A·JED13/03A·MOR17/03H·PET30/03H·MLA03/04A·DEČ09/04H·RUD13/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.571.120.620.790.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.541.000.670.290.43
vs Weaker (17)1.240.591.200.601.290.57
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jezero over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JezeroJezero

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W02L00D11D10W21W10W00D01LH·JED24/02A·BUD28/02H·PET03/03A·MLA09/03H·DEČ13/03A·RUD17/03H·MOR30/03A·SUT03/04H·ARS07/04A·JED13/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.730.600.670.53
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.330.671.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.650.650.730.640.560.67
vs Weaker (3)1.000.002.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Buducnost Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L01L30W20W01L10W00D10W20WA·RUD24/02H·JEZ28/02A·SUT03/03H·ARS10/03A·JED13/03A·MOR17/03H·PET30/03H·MLA03/04A·DEČ09/04H·RUD13/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.060.620.860.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.621.000.500.570.71
vs Weaker (17)1.120.651.100.701.140.57
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jezero over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Buducnost Podgorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.5%-------āœ— Miss
Over 1.571.8%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
Jezero's squad is €2m less valuable than Buducnost Podgorica's (€1m vs €3m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
JED (10)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
Jezero and Buducnost Podgorica have a similar defence value (both €1m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
JEZ wins
2
Draws
3
BP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jezero vs Buducnost Podgorica · H/A from JEZ
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JEZ0-1
22/10/23HJEZ Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-3
13/08/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JEZ1-1
21/05/23ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JEZ1-3
18/03/23HJEZ Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-2
27/11/22ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JEZ2-1
11/09/22HJEZ Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-0

JezeroJezero

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24AJedinstvo Vs JEZ2-0
07/04/24HJEZ Vs Arsenal Tivat4-0
03/04/24ASutjeska Vs JEZ2-1
30/03/24HJEZ Vs Mornar3-1
17/03/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs JEZ0-1
13/03/24HJEZ Vs Dečić1-1
09/03/24AMladost DG Vs JEZ0-1
03/03/24HJEZ Vs Petrovac0-2
28/02/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs JEZ0-1
24/02/24HJEZ Vs Jedinstvo0-3

Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HBP Vs Rudar (Montenegro)3-1
09/04/24ADečić Vs BP1-1
03/04/24HBP Vs Mladost DG1-2
30/03/24HBP Vs Petrovac2-0
17/03/24AMornar Vs BP1-0
13/03/24AJedinstvo Vs BP1-2
10/03/24HBP Vs Arsenal Tivat6-0
03/03/24ASutjeska Vs BP1-1
28/02/24HBP Vs Jezero0-1
24/02/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs BP3-0

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.36
HomeLLDWW1.56
AwayWWWLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.041.882.20
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %36%32%40%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored1.061.121.00
Conceded0.980.761.20
BTTS46%36%56%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Buducnost Podgorica
Buducnost Podgorica
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.78
HomeLWWLW1.96
AwayLDWLD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals3.143.382.88
Over 1.5 %84%85%83%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %38%42%33%
Scored1.882.081.67
Conceded1.261.311.21
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners5.753.508.00
Cards3.752.005.50

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić3670
56%
1.9
5527+28
2.3
69%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.50.8
-
2MornarMornar3664
47%
1.8
4532+13
2.1
50%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
3Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3661
47%
1.7
6643+23
3.0
86%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.2
-
4SutjeskaSutjeska3653
36%
1.5
4636+10
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.0
-
5JezeroJezero3651
39%
1.4
4138+3
2.2
64%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
6PetrovacPetrovac3648
31%
1.3
4240+2
2.3
69%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.1
-
7Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3642
25%
1.2
4358-15
2.8
83%
47%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.6
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo3839
24%
1.0
4657-11
2.7
74%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.5
-
9Mladost DGMladost DG3835
24%
0.9
3962-23
2.7
76%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
10Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3627
19%
0.8
2554-29
2.2
58%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
11Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
12Mladost LjeŔkopoljeMladost LjeŔkopolje21
0%
0.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Montenegro: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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