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Jezero vs Petrovac Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Jezero
Jezero
Vs
32%
35%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Jezero’s defensive record at home - averaging 0.77 goals conceded - sets the tone for a tight affair, while Petrovac’s away form shows 1.21 goals allowed. The model projects a 35% chance of a Jezero victory, 35% for a draw, and 30% for a Petrovac win, with the home side the clear favourite. The expected total of 1.9 goals points to a low-scoring game, and the most likely total is two goals, a 28% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 0-0, with a 16.8% chance. Jezero averages 1.08 goals scored at home against similar opposition, whereas Petrovac scores 0.79 away and concedes 1.21. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.7%), Under 5.5 (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 4.5 (95.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.0%), and Home under 2.5 goals (92.3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jezero win
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrovac win
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JezeroJezero

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D02L02L30W51W00D10W03L00D12LH·MLA16/05A·JED20/05H·MOR24/05H·ISK29/05A·ISK03/06H·MOR02/08H·MLA09/08A·PET16/08H·SUT22/08A·DEČ30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.131.000.691.001.64
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.670.330.501.50
vs Similar (25)1.081.201.080.771.081.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L10W11D11D01L00D30W00D11DH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.971.250.750.791.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.1%
Under 1.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.8%
Under 2.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
12.0%
Under 3.5
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
38.2%
No
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.8%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
13.0%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
Jezero goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
017%13%6.8%2.1%0.5%
113%15%6.3%2.0%0.5%
26.6%6.2%2.9%0.9%0.2%
32.0%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Jezero goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Jezero is 0.20 points worse than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Jezero is 0.40 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (0.40 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Jezero is 0.60 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Jezero or Draw
67.0%
Avg Implied -
32%
35%
33%
covers Jezero + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jezero or Petrovac
65.2%
Avg Implied -
32%
35%
33%
covers Jezero + Petrovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Petrovac
67.8%
Avg Implied -
32%
35%
33%
covers Draw + Petrovac
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Jezero over/under 0.5
Over
60.4%
Under
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5
Over
24.3%
Under
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Jezero, so a minus line means Jezero give that many goals of a start and Petrovac receive them. At -1, Jezero must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Jezero win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Jezero)
Jezero -2
3.2%
Draw -2
8.8%
Petrovac +2
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Jezero)
Jezero -1
12.0%
Draw -1
20.2%
Petrovac +1
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Jezero)
Jezero +1
67.0%
Draw +1
20.5%
Petrovac -1
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Jezero)
Jezero +2
87.5%
Draw +2
9.1%
Petrovac -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JezeroJezero

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L20W20W00D10W00D00D11DH·MLA16/05A·JED20/05H·MOR24/05H·ISK29/05A·ISK03/06H·MOR02/08H·MLA09/08A·PET16/08H·SUT22/08A·DEČ30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.440.380.570.36
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.330.330.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.560.360.460.380.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D00D10W01L00D00D00D01LH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.330.430.500.500.140.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Jezero over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JezeroJezero

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L01L10W31W00D00D03L00D01LH·MLA16/05A·JED20/05H·MOR24/05H·ISK29/05A·ISK03/06H·MOR02/08H·MLA09/08A·PET16/08H·SUT22/08A·DEČ30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.560.310.431.29
vs Stronger (5)0.400.400.330.000.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.840.620.380.421.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W11D01L00D00D30W00D10WH·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08A·OTR09/08H·JEZ16/08A·MLA22/08H·MOR29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.530.750.250.640.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Jezero) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Jezero over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jezero over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.7%-------
Under 5.598.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.4%-------
Under 4.595.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals93.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals93.0%-------
Under 3.588.0%-------
Away +2 handicap88.0%-------
Home +2 handicap87.5%-------
Home under 1.5 goals76.3%-------
Away under 1.5 goals75.7%-------
Under 2.571.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Jezero's squad is €3m less valuable than Petrovac's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Jezero and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Jezero and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Jezero and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
JEZ wins
3
Draws
5
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Jezero vs Petrovac · H/A from JEZ
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26APetrovac Vs JEZ3-0
12/04/26HJEZ Vs Petrovac1-1
21/02/26APetrovac Vs JEZ2-1
05/10/25HJEZ Vs Petrovac1-3
10/08/25APetrovac Vs JEZ1-1
26/04/25HJEZ Vs Petrovac1-1
02/03/25APetrovac Vs JEZ2-1
23/10/24HJEZ Vs Petrovac0-1

JezeroJezero

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ADečić Vs JEZ2-1
22/08/26HJEZ Vs Sutjeska0-0
16/08/26APetrovac Vs JEZ3-0
09/08/26HJEZ Vs Mladost DG1-0
02/08/26HJEZ Vs Mornar0-0
03/06/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs JEZ1-5
29/05/26HJEZ Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-0
24/05/26HJEZ Vs Mornar0-2
20/05/26AJedinstvo Vs JEZ2-0
16/05/26HJEZ Vs Mladost DG2-2

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HPET Vs Mornar1-1
22/08/26AMladost DG Vs PET0-0
16/08/26HPET Vs Jezero3-0
09/08/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs PET0-0
01/08/26HPET Vs Bokelj0-1
24/05/26HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
20/05/26AMornar Vs PET1-1
16/05/26HPET Vs Jedinstvo1-0
10/05/26AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
02/05/26HPET Vs Dečić1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Jezero
Jezero
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDL1.32
HomeLWDWD1.56
AwayLLWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.282.122.44
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %18%16%20%
Scored1.121.241.00
Conceded1.160.881.44
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet32%44%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.32
HomeWDLWD1.62
AwayLLDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%21%
AVG goals2.162.082.25
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %34%27%42%
Over 3.5 %18%15%21%
Scored1.161.311.00
Conceded1.000.771.25
BTTS52%38%67%
Clean Sheet28%38%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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