Jezero vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Jezero’s defensive record at home is fragile, conceding an average of 1.5 goals while scoring only 0.5 against stronger opponents. Sutjeska, on the road, has been more disciplined, allowing just 0.33 goals and scoring 0.83 against weaker sides. The model therefore favours an away win, with probabilities of 29% for a home victory, 34% for a draw, and 37% for a Sutjeska win. The expected total of 1.9 goals points to a low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0, which carries a 15.8% chance. The most probable total of goals is two, with a 28% probability. The model’s selection is Under 3.5, which has an 86.9% probability of occurring. The recent form of Jezero, coming off a defeat, contrasts with Sutjeska’s recent win, adding to the expectation of a tight match.

The pre-match favourite, Sutjeska, failed to deliver as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The prediction model had given Sutjeska a 37% chance of victory, yet the game ended in a stalemate. The under 3.5 goals selection, with an 86.9% probability, hit its mark. Jezero, coming off a defeat, struggled at home, while Sutjeska, fresh from a win, looked poised but could not secure the win. The final score of 0-0 matched the model’s most likely score of 0-0, but the expected 1.9 goals did not materialise. The upset underlines the volatility of the league.