Jezero vs Sutjeska Result & Analysis

Jezero’s recent defensive record shows a balanced 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger opposition, while Sutjeska’s away form is weaker, averaging only 0.5 goals for and 1.25 against weaker sides. The model projects a tight, low-scoring encounter with an expected total of 1.8 goals, centring on a 0-0 outcome at 17.2% or a 1-1 draw at 14.8%. The most likely match result is a Draw, with probabilities of a home win at 31%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 34%. The single most probable scoreline is 0-0, though the model’s pick remains a Draw. Suggested selections include Under 3.5 at 88.4% and Under 2.5 at 71.9%. The match is poised to stay tight, with both sides struggling to break the deadlock.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, a Draw with a 35% probability, failed to materialise. Jezero, on a run of LDLWD and having just lost 1-2 to Dečić, could not overcome Sutjeska, who were coming off a 5-1 win over Mladost DG and had a streak of WDLLL. The final score was 0-1, an away win that left the model’s pick wrong. The model’s other selections proved accurate: Under 3.5, with an 88.4% chance, hit; Under 2.5, at 71.9%, also hit. The match finished with a single goal, confirming the low-scoring expectation.