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JK Tabasalu vs Legion Result & Analysis

Date: 28/05/2023
Time: 09:30
Final 2-0
JK Tabasalu
JK Tabasalu
Vs
65%
19%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Legion
Legion
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

JK Tabasalu win✓ Hit
64.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Legion win✗ Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L64W52W12L10W50W20W01L32W52WA·FLO02/04H·PAI08/04A·K-J15/04A·LEG22/04H·ELV27/04A·PAI01/05H·FCI07/05H·FLO15/05A·ELV21/05H·K-J25/05
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.541.692.291.572.831.83
vs Stronger (3)1.002.000.501.502.003.00
vs Similar (10)3.001.603.001.603.001.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Legion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LegionLegion

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L12L23L21W10W04L02L03L06L21WA·VII01/04H·FCI08/04A·ELV15/04H·JK 22/04H·K-J28/04A·FC 01/05A·PAI06/05H·ELV13/05H·NÕM20/05A·FCI25/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.431.361.860.882.94
vs Stronger (15)1.072.601.001.671.113.22
vs Similar (15)1.132.271.622.000.572.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (JK Tabasalu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%320%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
73.9%
Under 2.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.2%
No
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-0 ✓
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
JK Tabasalu goals ↓
Legion goals →
01234
02.8%2.0%1.7%0.7%0.2%
14.8%7.7%4.5%1.9%0.6%
27.1%9.0%5.7%2.4%0.8%
36.1%7.7%4.9%2.1%0.7%
43.9%5.0%3.2%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = JK Tabasalu goals (down), columns = Legion goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nõmme United
2.50
Viimsi
1.97
Flora II
1.92
FCI Levadia II
1.58
JK Tabasalu
1.53
FC Tallinn
1.44
Paide II
1.14
Elva
1.11
Tartu Kalev
1.00
Legion
0.58
K-Järve JK Järve
0.56
JK Tabasalu is 0.94 points better than Legion in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 0.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nõmme United
3.17
Flora II
2.39
JK Tabasalu
2.25
FC Tallinn
2.00
Viimsi
1.86
Paide II
1.83
FCI Levadia II
1.58
K-Järve JK Järve
1.39
Elva
1.21
Legion
1.03
Tartu Kalev
0.50
JK Tabasalu is 1.22 goals better than Legion in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tartu Kalev
0.50
Nõmme United
0.81
Viimsi
0.97
FCI Levadia II
1.28
Flora II
1.47
FC Tallinn
1.81
JK Tabasalu
1.94
Elva
2.00
Paide II
2.28
Legion
2.69
K-Järve JK Järve
3.42
JK Tabasalu is 0.75 goals better than Legion in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 2.69).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W11D01L00D20W10W00D10W21WA·FLO02/04H·PAI08/04A·K-J15/04A·LEG22/04H·ELV27/04A·PAI01/05H·FCI07/05H·FLO15/05A·ELV21/05H·K-J25/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.461.140.570.830.33
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.400.601.000.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Legion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LegionLegion

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D10W10W01L01L02L01L10WA·VII01/04H·FCI08/04A·ELV15/04H·JK 22/04H·K-J28/04A·FC 01/05A·PAI06/05H·ELV13/05H·NÕM20/05A·FCI25/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.070.500.860.501.25
vs Stronger (15)0.601.200.501.000.671.33
vs Similar (15)0.400.930.500.750.291.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (JK Tabasalu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
JK Tabasalu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JK Tabasalu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JK Tabasalu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L33D41W11D10W30W10W01L22D31WA·FLO02/04H·PAI08/04A·K-J15/04A·LEG22/04H·ELV27/04A·PAI01/05H·FCI07/05H·FLO15/05A·ELV21/05H·K-J25/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.541.231.141.002.001.50
vs Stronger (3)0.671.670.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (10)1.801.101.601.002.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Legion) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LegionLegion

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D12L12L11D00D03L01L01L05L11DA·VII01/04H·FCI08/04A·ELV15/04H·JK 22/04H·K-J28/04A·FC 01/05A·PAI06/05H·ELV13/05H·NÕM20/05A·FCI25/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.370.861.000.381.69
vs Stronger (15)0.471.400.500.670.441.89
vs Similar (15)0.731.331.121.250.291.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (JK Tabasalu) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
JK Tabasalu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JK Tabasalu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
JK Tabasalu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legion over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.573.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (26)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NU (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
JT wins
0
Draws
1
LEG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

JK Tabasalu vs Legion · H/A from JT
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23ALegion Vs JT2-1

JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/23HJT Vs K-Järve JK Järve5-2
21/05/23AElva Vs JT2-3
15/05/23HJT Vs Flora II0-1
07/05/23HJT Vs FCI Levadia II2-0
01/05/23APaide II Vs JT0-5
27/04/23HJT Vs Elva1-0
22/04/23ALegion Vs JT2-1
15/04/23AK-Järve JK Järve Vs JT2-5
08/04/23HJT Vs Paide II6-4
02/04/23AFlora II Vs JT3-2

LegionLegion

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/23AFCI Levadia II Vs LEG1-2
20/05/23HLEG Vs Nõmme United0-6
13/05/23HLEG Vs Elva0-3
06/05/23APaide II Vs LEG2-0
01/05/23AFC Tallinn Vs LEG4-0
28/04/23HLEG Vs K-Järve JK Järve1-0
22/04/23HLEG Vs JK Tabasalu2-1
15/04/23AElva Vs LEG3-2
08/04/23HLEG Vs FCI Levadia II1-2
01/04/23AViimsi Vs LEG1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

JK Tabasalu
JK Tabasalu
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.62
HomeWWWLW1.71
AwayLWLWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%57%50%
AVG goals4.233.864.67
Over 1.5 %85%71%100%
Over 2.5 %77%57%100%
Over 3.5 %46%29%67%
Scored2.542.292.83
Conceded1.691.571.83
BTTS69%57%83%
Clean Sheet23%29%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Legion
Legion
Estonia: Esiliiga A
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.82
HomeLWWLL1.12
AwayLLLLW0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals3.363.293.42
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.041.290.81
Conceded2.322.002.62
BTTS52%67%38%
Clean Sheet10%12%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3690
78%
2.5
11429+85
4.0
89%
78%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.20.8
-
2ViimsiViimsi3671
58%
2.0
6735+32
2.8
69%
53%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
3Flora IIFlora II3669
61%
1.9
8653+33
3.9
86%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.5
-
4FCI Levadia IIFCI Levadia II3657
44%
1.6
5746+11
2.9
81%
64%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
5JK TabasaluJK Tabasalu3655
50%
1.5
8170+11
4.2
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.9
-
6FC TallinnFC Tallinn3652
44%
1.4
7265+7
3.8
86%
78%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.8
-
7ElvaElva3842
32%
1.1
4676-30
3.2
82%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
8Paide IIPaide II3641
33%
1.1
6682-16
4.1
78%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
9LegionLegion3621
14%
0.6
3797-60
3.7
83%
75%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
10K-Järve JK JärveK-Järve JK Järve3620
17%
0.6
50123-73
4.8
92%
86%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.43.4
-
11Tartu KalevTartu Kalev22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Estonia: Esiliiga A 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Esiliiga A stats & trends →

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