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Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 4-0
Juvenes / Dogana
Juvenes / Dogana
Vs
50%
27%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Faetano
Faetano
San-Marino: Campionato
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Juvenes / Dogana are the clear favorites, with a 50% chance of victory, a 27% draw probability and a 23% chance of a Faetano win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.8% probability. Juvenes / Dogana, playing at home against a similarly-strength opponent, average 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded, while Faetano, on the road, average 0.78 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 97.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 97.4% and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.4%. The home side’s recent form shows a loss-draw-draw-win-draw record, while Faetano’s last five are loss-loss-win-loss-loss, both ending in 0-2 defeats.

Results analysis

Juvenes / Dogana’s victory over Faetano extended a winning streak, as the 4-0 result matched the model’s forecast. The pre-match favourite, Home win, came through with a 50% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 97.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.8%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.4%. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the home side’s dominance and the model’s selections proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Juvenes / Dogana win✓ Hit
50.3%
Avg Implied 62.0% · @ 1.45
Edge
-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Dafabet
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.76
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Bet365
3.90
William Hil
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Faetano win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 14.0% · @ 6.42
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.70
Betano
7.20
Dafabet
6.60
1xBet
6.45
Marathonbet
6.25

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W12L00D01L22D00D52W11D00D02LA·FAE14/03H·LA 18/03H·SAN22/03A·LIB08/04H·FOL12/04A·PEN18/04H·MUR26/04H·LIB29/04A·VIR03/05H·VIR06/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.231.191.501.000.93
vs Stronger (13)0.541.380.501.670.571.14
vs Similar (12)1.751.421.861.711.601.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.000.671.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FaetanoFaetano

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L13L24L01L02L01L21W01L02LA·LIB15/02H·VIR22/02A·LA 28/02H·SAN07/03H·JUV14/03A·SAN21/03H·DOM07/04A·FIO11/04H·TRE19/04A·COS26/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.730.801.470.602.00
vs Stronger (11)0.272.000.201.400.332.50
vs Similar (19)0.951.581.101.500.781.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Juvenes / Dogana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.26+4.4%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 3.25-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Pinnacle
3.17
Superbet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.88+1.7%
Under 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.82-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.8%
@ 3.08-0.5%
Under 3.5
71.2%
@ 1.28+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.9%
@ 1.98+7.5%
No
46.1%
@ 1.71-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
No
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 7.17+6.9%
1-0
9.9%@ 5.90+2.7%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.28+4.5%
2-0
9.1%@ 6.12+2.2%
0-0
7.8%@ 9.12+3.2%
1-2
6.1%@ 17.50+3.7%
0-1
5.9%@ 13.00+2.6%
3-1
5.3%@ 12.25+1.9%
Juvenes / Dogana goals ↓
Faetano goals →
01234
07.8%5.9%3.7%1.3%0.3%
19.9%13%6.1%2.1%0.6%
29.1%9.6%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.0%5.3%2.8%1.0%0.3%
42.1%2.2%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Juvenes / Dogana goals (down), columns = Faetano goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tre Fiori
2.43
Virtus
2.34
Tre Penne
2.17
La Fiorita
1.97
Folgore
1.88
Domagnano
1.57
Fiorentino
1.53
Cosmos
1.42
Juvenes / Dogana
1.18
Libertas
1.16
San Giovanni
1.03
Pennarossa
1.03
Faetano
0.73
San Marino Academy
0.53
Cailungo
0.37
Murata
0.23
Juvenes / Dogana is 0.45 points better than Faetano in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 0.73).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Virtus
2.37
Folgore
2.16
Tre Penne
2.14
Tre Fiori
2.10
La Fiorita
2.00
Domagnano
1.89
Fiorentino
1.25
Juvenes / Dogana
1.12
Libertas
1.06
Cosmos
1.00
Pennarossa
0.94
San Giovanni
0.80
San Marino Academy
0.77
Cailungo
0.77
Faetano
0.73
Murata
0.67
Juvenes / Dogana is 0.39 goals better than Faetano in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tre Fiori
0.43
Tre Penne
0.60
Virtus
0.69
Cosmos
0.70
La Fiorita
0.89
Folgore
1.12
Juvenes / Dogana
1.24
Domagnano
1.26
Fiorentino
1.41
San Giovanni
1.43
Pennarossa
1.81
Faetano
1.83
San Marino Academy
2.00
Libertas
2.06
Cailungo
2.37
Murata
2.77
Juvenes / Dogana is 0.59 goals better than Faetano in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.83).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Tre Fiori
64%
Tre Penne
60%
San Giovanni
53%
San Marino Academy
51%
Libertas
49%
Juvenes / Dogana
47%
Fiorentino
40%
Cosmos
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FaetanoFaetano

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)4.0-4.00.10.00.232.0-32.0
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (21)4.0-4.00.20.00.532.0-32.0
vs Weaker (9)---0.00.00.0---
% over line0%-0%2%0%4%100%-100%
% under line100%-100%98%100%96%0%-0%
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FaetanoFaetano

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Juvenes / Dogana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Libertas
12.0
San Marino Academy
12.0
Fiorentino
10.0
Cosmos
8.7
Tre Penne
7.8
La Fiorita
7.8
Tre Fiori
7.7
Folgore
5.0
Cailungo
5.0
San Giovanni
4.0
Juvenes / Dogana
4.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tre Fiori
5.3
San Giovanni
5.0
Juvenes / Dogana
5.0
Cosmos
4.7
La Fiorita
4.5
Fiorentino
4.0
Tre Penne
3.6
Libertas
3.0
San Marino Academy
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fiorentino
34.0
San Giovanni
32.0
Juvenes / Dogana
32.0
Cosmos
30.0
Tre Penne
28.5
Tre Fiori
28.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
21.2%
@ 2.49-15.6%
Under 9.5
78.8%
@ 1.45+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.49
Under
1xBet
1.45
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.4%
Under 3.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Juvenes / Dogana or Draw✓ Hit
77.0%
Avg Implied 84.9% · @ 1.08
Edge
-7.9%
50%
27%
23%
covers Juvenes / Dogana + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Juvenes / Dogana or Faetano✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.19
Edge
-3.7%
50%
27%
23%
covers Juvenes / Dogana + Faetano
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Draw or Faetano✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.40
Edge
+11.6%
50%
27%
23%
covers Draw + Faetano
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.46
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.9%
@ 1.08-3.0%
Under
19.1%
@ 5.65+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
5.65
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.3%
@ 1.61-8.1%
Under
50.7%
@ 2.16+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.23
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.11
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
23.1%
@ 3.30-4.7%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.27+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.27
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Faetano over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.1%
@ 1.72+12.0%
Under
34.9%
@ 1.95-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Faetano over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.4%
@ 4.78+9.3%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.13-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Under
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Faetano over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 9.10-1.1%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Faetano over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Juvenes / Dogana, so a minus line means Juvenes / Dogana give that many goals of a start and Faetano receive them. At -1, Juvenes / Dogana must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Juvenes / Dogana win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Juvenes / Dogana)Actual: Juvenes / Dogana
Juvenes / Dogana -2
11.8%
@ 4.30-8.7%
Draw -2
15.7%
@ 4.30-4.8%
Faetano +2
72.5%
@ 1.50+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.30
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.50
Handicap -1 (Juvenes / Dogana)Actual: Juvenes / Dogana
Juvenes / Dogana -1
27.5%
@ 2.28-10.8%
Draw -1
22.7%
@ 3.28-3.9%
Faetano +1
49.7%
@ 2.49+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.28
Draw
Marathonbet
3.28
Away
Marathonbet
2.49
Handicap +1 (Juvenes / Dogana)Actual: Juvenes / Dogana
Juvenes / Dogana +1
77.0%
Draw +1
14.0%
Faetano -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Juvenes / Dogana)Actual: Juvenes / Dogana
Juvenes / Dogana +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.4%
Faetano -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D20W00D20W00D00D01LA·FAE14/03H·LA 18/03H·SAN22/03A·LIB08/04H·FOL12/04A·PEN18/04H·MUR26/04H·LIB29/04A·VIR03/05H·VIR06/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.620.560.640.29
vs Stronger (13)0.380.690.500.830.290.57
vs Similar (12)1.000.330.860.571.200.00
vs Weaker (5)0.400.000.330.000.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FaetanoFaetano

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W12L00D00D01L11D00D01LA·LIB15/02H·VIR22/02A·LA 28/02H·SAN07/03H·JUV14/03A·SAN21/03H·DOM07/04A·FIO11/04H·TRE19/04A·COS26/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.800.130.870.270.73
vs Stronger (11)0.090.820.000.600.171.00
vs Similar (19)0.260.790.201.000.330.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Juvenes / Dogana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.9%
@ 1.35+6.5%
Under 0.5
26.1%
@ 2.79-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.89
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Betano
2.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.3%
@ 2.57+2.0%
Under 1.5
62.7%
@ 1.40-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.57
William Hil
2.50
Betano
2.42
Under
William Hil
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 6.50-2.3%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.08+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
57.4%
@ 1.57-1.0%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.21+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.16
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.5%
@ 3.70-6.3%
Under
81.5%
@ 1.22+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 9.10-5.6%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Faetano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.1%
@ 3.15+5.1%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.29-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.29
Faetano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 10.00-1.8%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Faetano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D01L02L00D32W11D00D01LA·FAE14/03H·LA 18/03H·SAN22/03A·LIB08/04H·FOL12/04A·PEN18/04H·MUR26/04H·LIB29/04A·VIR03/05H·VIR06/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.560.940.360.64
vs Stronger (13)0.150.690.000.830.290.57
vs Similar (12)0.751.081.001.140.401.00
vs Weaker (5)0.600.400.670.670.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Faetano) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FaetanoFaetano

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L03L12L01L02L00D10W01L01LA·LIB15/02H·VIR22/02A·LA 28/02H·SAN07/03H·JUV14/03A·SAN21/03H·DOM07/04A·FIO11/04H·TRE19/04A·COS26/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.930.670.600.331.27
vs Stronger (11)0.181.180.200.800.171.50
vs Similar (19)0.680.790.900.500.441.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Juvenes / Dogana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.21+4.2%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 3.90-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.4%
@ 2.05+6.5%
Under 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.67-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.4%
Under 2.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
62.8%
@ 1.47+1.0%
Under
37.2%
@ 2.38-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.38
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
27.6%
@ 3.15-1.4%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.29+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.29
Juvenes / Dogana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
6.4%
@ 7.30-6.3%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.06+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.06
Faetano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.6%
@ 2.59+8.5%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.40-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.59
Under
1xBet
1.40
Faetano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 8.45+3.7%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.04-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.45
Under
1xBet
1.04
Faetano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 11.00-6.8%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls99.1%--------
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.4%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.4%--------
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.4%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+5.6%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.2%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+1.6%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls93.9%--------
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.6%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+6.3%✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners92.7%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+9.8%-
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.5%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+1.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals91.3%-------✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap91.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.0%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+1.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.0%1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.08
---+2.3%✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls87.7%--------
Under 10.5 corners87.1%1.22
1xBet
1.22
----+13.0%-
Under 4.586.1%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+1.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.4%1.04
1xBet
1.04
-----3.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals81.5%1.22
1xBet
1.22
----+6.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals80.9%1.08
1xBet
1.08
-----3.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.5%1.21
1xBet
1.21
----+4.2%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.6%--------
Under 9.5 corners78.8%1.45
1xBet
1.45
----+15.6%-
Home or Draw77.0%1.08
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
-7.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap77.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals76.9%1.27
1xBet
1.27
----+4.7%✗ Miss
Over 1.576.5%1.26
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-+4.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals75.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.5%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals73.9%1.35
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
+6.5%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.2%1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-3.7%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap72.5%1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
----+13.5%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals72.4%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+1.4%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals71.6%1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
----9.3%✓ Hit
Under 3.571.2%1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
--+0.5%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (20)
€1m
LF (19)
€1m
FOL (19)
€1m
VIR (15)
€1m
DOM (19)
€1m
TP (14)
€1m
J/D (20)
€1m
COS (12)
€0m
CAI (18)
€0m
PEN (11)
€0m
SG (11)
€0m
FIO (9)
€0m
SMA (13)
€0m
LIB (9)
€0m
FAE (10)
€0m
MUR (7)
€0m
Juvenes / Dogana and Faetano have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (5)
€1m
LF (5)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
VIR (5)
€0m
J/D (7)
€0m
DOM (6)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (3)
€0m
TP (5)
€0m
CAI (5)
€0m
COS (2)
€0m
FIO (2)
€0m
SMA (5)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
MUR (1)
€0m
LIB (0)
€0m
Juvenes / Dogana and Faetano have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LF (7)
€0m
TP (6)
€0m
TF (6)
€0m
VIR (4)
€0m
FOL (5)
€0m
DOM (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
J/D (5)
€0m
FIO (3)
€0m
LIB (4)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
COS (4)
€0m
CAI (4)
€0m
MUR (6)
€0m
FAE (2)
€0m
Juvenes / Dogana and Faetano have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TF (9)
€1m
FOL (9)
€0m
LF (7)
€0m
DOM (8)
€0m
J/D (8)
€0m
VIR (6)
€0m
COS (6)
€0m
CAI (9)
€0m
FAE (6)
€0m
LIB (5)
€0m
FIO (4)
€0m
TP (3)
€0m
SMA (4)
€0m
PEN (4)
€0m
SG (4)
€0m
MUR (0)
€0m
Juvenes / Dogana and Faetano have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
J/D wins
2
Draws
1
FAE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Juvenes / Dogana vs Faetano · H/A from J/D
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26AFaetano Vs J/D0-1
22/11/25HJ/D Vs Faetano3-1
15/03/25HJ/D Vs Faetano2-1
23/11/24AFaetano Vs J/D1-0
06/04/24AFaetano Vs J/D0-3
16/12/23HJ/D Vs Faetano3-1
18/03/23HJ/D Vs Faetano2-2
27/11/22AFaetano Vs J/D3-3

Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/26HJ/D Vs Virtus0-2
03/05/26AVirtus Vs J/D0-0
29/04/26HJ/D Vs Libertas1-1
26/04/26HJ/D Vs Murata5-2
18/04/26APennarossa Vs J/D0-0
12/04/26HJ/D Vs Folgore2-2
08/04/26ALibertas Vs J/D1-0
22/03/26HJ/D Vs San Marino Academy0-0
18/03/26HJ/D Vs La Fiorita1-2
14/03/26AFaetano Vs J/D0-1

FaetanoFaetano

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ACosmos Vs FAE2-0
19/04/26HFAE Vs Tre Fiori0-1
11/04/26AFiorentino Vs FAE1-2
07/04/26HFAE Vs Domagnano0-1
21/03/26ASan Giovanni Vs FAE2-0
14/03/26HFAE Vs Juvenes / Dogana0-1
07/03/26HFAE Vs San Marino Academy2-4
28/02/26ALa Fiorita Vs FAE3-1
22/02/26HFAE Vs Virtus0-2
15/02/26ALibertas Vs FAE2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Juvenes / Dogana
Juvenes / Dogana
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDL1.32
HomeDDWDL1.44
AwayLWLDD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.302.482.12
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.161.281.04
Conceded1.141.201.08
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet30%24%36%
Corners4.00-4.00
Cards5.00-5.00
Faetano
Faetano
San-Marino: Campionato
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.82
HomeLLLLL0.67
AwayLLLWL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%17%27%
AVG goals2.802.792.81
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored0.900.830.96
Conceded1.901.961.85
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet16%12%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FolgoreFolgore13
100%
3.0
50+5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0005.00.0
-
2Juvenes / DoganaJuvenes / Dogana13
100%
3.0
40+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0004.00.0
47%
3Tre FioriTre Fiori13
100%
3.0
52+3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1015.02.0
64%
4FiorentinoFiorentino13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.0
40%
5Tre PenneTre Penne13
100%
3.0
32+1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.02.0
60%
6DomagnanoDomagnano13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.0
-
7LibertasLibertas11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
49%
8CosmosCosmos11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
36%
9La FioritaLa Fiorita11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
10VirtusVirtus11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
11San GiovanniSan Giovanni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
53%
12CailungoCailungo10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
13San Marino AcademySan Marino Academy10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
51%
14PennarossaPennarossa10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
15FaetanoFaetano10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16MurataMurata10
0%
0.0
05-5
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.05.0
-
San-Marino: Campionato 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full San-Marino: Campionato stats & trends →

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