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KA Akureyri vs Breidablik Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/09/2026
Time: 14:00
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Vs
32%
26%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Breidablik
Breidablik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model sees Breidablik as the favourite, with a 42% chance of victory, 32% for KA Akureyri to win and 26% for a draw. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.6% probability. KA Akureyri, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.21 conceded, while Breidablik, on the road, averages 1.29 goals scored and 2.14 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s edge is strongest on the Under 7.5 goals selection, with a 98.4% probability and an 8% edge over the market, followed by the Under 6.5 goals pick at 95.8% and an 10% edge. Other suggested picks include Under 7.5, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% probability, 8% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1%, 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%, 11% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.1%, 8% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.9%, 7% edge) and Away under 3.5 goals (90.7%, 8% edge). The recent form shows KA Akureyri coming off a draw, while Breidablik is after two straight defeats.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KA Akureyri win
32.1%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.61
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.68
Unibet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.63
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.94
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
Breidablik win
42.4%
Avg Implied 41.7% · @ 2.20
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.25
Dafabet
2.23
1xBet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W12L32W22D00D03L01L44D35L22DA·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05H·IA 12/07A·IBV19/07H·THO27/07A·KEF05/08H·FH 09/08A·VAL17/08H·KR 23/08A·FRA30/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.801.881.192.072.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)2.001.752.001.212.002.50
vs Weaker (6)1.832.001.001.002.252.50
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W30W21W00D10W01L13L33D34L02LA·ÆGI12/06H·VIK28/06H·KEF13/07A·FH 20/07H·IBV27/07A·THO04/08H·VAL09/08A·KR 16/08H·FRA24/08H·STJ31/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.671.641.431.381.88
vs Stronger (3)1.002.332.002.000.502.50
vs Similar (13)1.311.771.331.331.292.14
vs Weaker (14)1.791.431.861.431.711.43
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.4%
@ 1.06-3.3%
Under 1.5
16.6%
@ 6.92+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Under
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.2%
@ 1.27-11.0%
Under 2.5
38.8%
@ 3.31+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Unibet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.9%
@ 1.73-15.0%
Under 3.5
61.1%
@ 2.02+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Under
Unibet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Both teams to score
Yes
63.8%
@ 1.29-8.3%
No
36.2%
@ 3.33+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
No
1xBet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
William Hil
3.25
Betano
3.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 8.80+6.4%
1-2
9.0%@ 9.62+4.2%
2-1
7.7%@ 10.08+3.1%
2-2
6.5%@ 9.44+1.7%
0-1
6.2%@ 17.04+3.5%
0-2
6.1%@ 17.21+3.5%
0-0
5.3%@ 27.67+3.6%
1-0
5.1%@ 17.83+2.6%
KA Akureyri goals ↓
Breidablik goals →
01234
05.3%6.2%6.1%3.5%1.5%
15.1%12%9.0%5.1%2.2%
24.5%7.7%6.5%3.7%1.6%
32.2%3.7%3.2%1.8%0.8%
40.8%1.4%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KA Akureyri goals (down), columns = Breidablik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
KA Akureyri is 0.12 points worse than Breidablik in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
KA Akureyri is 0.50 goals better than Breidablik in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
KA Akureyri is 0.62 goals worse than Breidablik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 1.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
KA Akureyri or Draw
57.6%
Avg Implied 58.2% · @ 1.59
Edge
-0.6%
32%
26%
42%
covers KA Akureyri + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
William Hil
1.60
Bet365
1.57
KA Akureyri or Breidablik
74.5%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.5%
32%
26%
42%
covers KA Akureyri + Breidablik
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Draw or Breidablik
67.9%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.42
Edge
+3.1%
32%
26%
42%
covers Draw + Breidablik
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Betfair
1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5
Over
76.8%
@ 1.13-5.6%
Under
23.2%
@ 5.25+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
5.00
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5
Over
42.9%
@ 1.69-12.1%
Under
57.1%
@ 2.06+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.05
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5
Over
18.1%
@ 3.19-11.0%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.31+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.14
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
KA Akureyri over/under 3.5
Over
6.1%
@ 6.44-8.2%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.08+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Betano
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Breidablik over/under 0.5
Over
81.7%
@ 1.10-2.5%
Under
18.3%
@ 5.88+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.50
Breidablik over/under 1.5
Over
50.7%
@ 1.55-8.9%
Under
49.3%
@ 2.30+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Breidablik over/under 2.5
Over
24.3%
@ 2.73-9.7%
Under
75.7%
@ 1.40+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Breidablik over/under 3.5
Over
9.3%
@ 5.62-7.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.11+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to KA Akureyri, so a minus line means KA Akureyri give that many goals of a start and Breidablik receive them. At -1, KA Akureyri must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KA Akureyri win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (KA Akureyri)
KA Akureyri -2
5.7%
@ 8.75-4.5%
Draw -2
9.6%
@ 7.55-2.2%
Breidablik +2
84.7%
@ 1.15+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Draw
Marathonbet
7.60
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (KA Akureyri)
KA Akureyri -1
15.3%
@ 4.35-4.4%
Draw -1
16.7%
@ 4.62-1.9%
Breidablik +1
67.9%
@ 1.39+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
3.90
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.34
Handicap +1 (KA Akureyri)
KA Akureyri +1
57.6%
@ 1.57+2.5%
Draw +1
19.7%
@ 4.33-0.4%
Breidablik -1
22.7%
@ 3.50-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.61
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.54
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.05
Handicap +2 (KA Akureyri)
KA Akureyri +2
77.3%
@ 1.22+3.9%
Draw +2
13.1%
@ 6.48-0.7%
Breidablik -2
9.6%
@ 6.97-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Away
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
6.90
Bet365
6.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L01L10W00D03L00D31W24L11DA·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05H·IA 12/07A·IBV19/07H·THO27/07A·KEF05/08H·FH 09/08A·VAL17/08H·KR 23/08A·FRA30/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.770.750.691.070.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.880.750.790.641.000.90
vs Weaker (6)1.000.830.501.001.250.75
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikBreidablik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D01L00D00D01L01L31W14L02LA·ÆGI12/06H·VIK28/06H·KEF13/07A·FH 20/07H·IBV27/07A·THO04/08H·VAL09/08A·KR 16/08H·FRA24/08H·STJ31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.501.000.691.00
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (13)0.541.080.330.670.711.43
vs Weaker (14)0.640.930.571.290.710.57
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.6%
@ 1.16-7.2%
Under 0.5
27.4%
@ 4.58+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.00
William Hil
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.6%
@ 1.82-10.4%
Under 1.5
59.4%
@ 1.89+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
William Hil
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.89
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 3.56-11.4%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.25+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.44
Under
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.3%
@ 1.68-7.0%
Under
51.7%
@ 2.08+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.13
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.02
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.0%
@ 4.20-8.0%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.18+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
@ 9.00-6.8%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Breidablik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.0%
@ 1.60-10.0%
Under
52.0%
@ 2.21+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Under
Pinnacle
2.29
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.15
Breidablik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.2%
@ 3.84-11.8%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.21+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Breidablik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 9.25-7.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D31W12L00D00D01L13L11D11DA·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05H·IA 12/07A·IBV19/07H·THO27/07A·KEF05/08H·FH 09/08A·VAL17/08H·KR 23/08A·FRA30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.031.120.501.001.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.121.001.210.571.001.60
vs Weaker (6)0.831.170.500.001.001.75
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Breidablik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BreidablikBreidablik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W20W00D10W00D12L02L20W00DA·ÆGI12/06H·VIK28/06H·KEF13/07A·FH 20/07H·IBV27/07A·THO04/08H·VAL09/08A·KR 16/08H·FRA24/08H·STJ31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.671.140.430.690.88
vs Stronger (3)0.331.331.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (13)0.770.691.000.670.570.71
vs Weaker (14)1.140.501.290.141.000.86
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.09-4.7%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 6.55+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.80
William Hil
6.50
Betano
5.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.2%
@ 1.47-15.4%
Under 1.5
52.8%
@ 2.47+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Under
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.44
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 2.47-17.1%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.48+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
William Hil
1.44

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.8%
@ 1.45-7.3%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.58+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.57
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.5%
@ 3.09-12.4%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.32+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 7.30-8.7%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.05+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Breidablik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.3%
@ 1.40-10.8%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.73+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.77
1xBet
2.70
Breidablik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 2.84-17.1%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.37+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.89
Betano
2.72
Under
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Breidablik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
@ 6.75-10.0%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.07+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.4%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
--+7.6%
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.8%1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
---+7.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.6%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+6.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.3%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
---+10.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.1%1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
---+8.7%
Under 6.595.8%1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
--+8.8%
Home under 3.5 goals93.9%1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+8.2%
Away under 3.5 goals90.7%1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
+7.1%
Under 5.589.9%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
+11.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.8%1.21
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.20
--+11.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.0%1.18
1xBet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
--+8.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals85.4%1.25
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+11.4%
Away +2 handicap84.7%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
---+6.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.6%1.37
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
--+17.1%
Over 1.583.4%1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
--3.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.5%1.32
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
--+12.4%
Home under 2.5 goals81.9%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+11.0%
Away over 0.5 goals81.7%1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.08
--2.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals81.0%1.09
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
--4.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals79.8%1.48
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
+17.1%
Under 4.578.8%1.43
Unibet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
+14.5%
Home +2 handicap77.3%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
--+3.9%
Home over 0.5 goals76.8%1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
--5.6%
Away under 2.5 goals75.7%1.40
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+9.7%
Home or Away74.5%1.20
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-2.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals72.6%1.16
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-7.2%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Breidablik · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson25%
Kristinn Jónsson20%
Davíð Ingvarsson20%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson17%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson17%
Óli Valur Ómarsson17%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Aron Bjarnason0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson0%
Gabriel Snaer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristinn Steindorsson33%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson33%
Damir Muminović20%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson20%
Viktor Karl Einarsson17%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson17%
Óli Valur Ómarsson17%
Kristinn Jónsson0%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Aron Bjarnason0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Gabriel Snaer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Óli Valur Ómarsson33%
Gabriel Snaer20%
Viktor Karl Einarsson17%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson17%
Kristinn Jónsson0%
Damir Muminović0%
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Aron Bjarnason0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson33%
Aron Bjarnason20%
Kristinn Jónsson0%
Damir Muminović0%
Viktor Karl Einarsson0%
Davíð Ingvarsson0%
Viktor Orn Margeirsson0%
Andri Yeoman0%
Kristinn Steindorsson0%
Óli Valur Ómarsson0%
Anton Ari Einarsson0%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Kristofer Ingi Kristinsson0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Anton Logi Lúðvíksson0%
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson0%
Gabriel Snaer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
KA Akureyri's squad is €1m less valuable than Breidablik's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and Breidablik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
KA Akureyri and Breidablik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
KA Akureyri and Breidablik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
KA wins
2
Draws
6
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KA Akureyri vs Breidablik · H/A from KA
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/25ABreidablik Vs KA1-1
11/05/25HKA Vs Breidablik0-1
15/02/25HKA Vs Breidablik0-5
01/09/24HKA Vs Breidablik2-3
19/06/24ABreidablik Vs KA2-1
13/08/23HKA Vs Breidablik1-1
21/05/23ABreidablik Vs KA2-0
08/10/22HKA Vs Breidablik1-2

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AFram Reykjavik Vs KA2-2
23/08/26HKA Vs KR Reykjavik3-5
17/08/26AValur Reykjavik Vs KA4-4
09/08/26HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur0-1
05/08/26AKeflavik Vs KA3-0
27/07/26HKA Vs Thor Akureyri0-0
19/07/26AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KA2-2
12/07/26HKA Vs IA Akranes3-2
14/05/26HKA Vs Ægir1-2
04/04/26AHöttur / Huginn Vs KA0-5

BreidablikBreidablik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HBRE Vs Stjarnan0-2
24/08/26HBRE Vs Fram Reykjavik3-4
16/08/26AKR Reykjavik Vs BRE3-3
09/08/26HBRE Vs Valur Reykjavik1-3
04/08/26AThor Akureyri Vs BRE1-0
27/07/26HBRE Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar1-0
20/07/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs BRE0-0
13/07/26HBRE Vs Keflavik2-1
28/06/26HBRE Vs Vikingur Reykjavik3-0
12/06/26AÆgir Vs BRE0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.24
HomeLWDLL1.44
AwayWDLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%41%22%
AVG goals3.563.443.70
Over 1.5 %80%78%83%
Over 2.5 %60%52%70%
Over 3.5 %50%48%52%
Scored1.661.741.57
Conceded1.901.702.13
BTTS56%52%61%
Clean Sheet22%30%13%
Corners9.0010.008.00
Cards3.504.003.00
Breidablik
Breidablik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.28
HomeWWLLL1.46
AwayWWDLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals3.263.253.27
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.581.751.42
Conceded1.681.501.85
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet18%25%12%
Corners11.3312.6710.00
Cards2.252.751.75

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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