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KA Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2025
Time: 16:15
Final 3-2
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Vs
46%
24%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KA Akureyri win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur win✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W11D10W05L11D25L22D04L40W13LA·FRA26/10H·VÖL01/02A·NJA09/02H·BRE15/02A·FYL22/02H·FRA27/02H·KR 06/04A·VIK13/04H·FJA18/04A·VAL23/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.601.881.811.501.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.701.741.861.791.441.67
vs Weaker (7)1.711.142.002.001.600.80
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D23L01L36L30W22D12L01L01L22DH·VAL19/10A·STJ26/10H·IR 07/02H·AFT14/02A·HK 21/02A·THO11/03A·STJ07/04A·VES13/04A·FRA19/04H·KR 23/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.931.531.871.402.00
vs Stronger (12)1.082.171.001.671.172.67
vs Similar (18)1.721.781.892.001.561.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.5%
No
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
KA Akureyri goals ↓
FH hafnarfjordur goals →
01234
04.5%4.2%3.9%1.9%0.7%
15.5%11%7.2%3.6%1.3%
26.0%9.0%6.7%3.4%1.3%
33.8%5.6%4.2%2.1%0.8%
41.8%2.6%2.0%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KA Akureyri goals (down), columns = FH hafnarfjordur goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.67
Stjarnan
1.56
Breidablik
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.44
Fram Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.26
FH hafnarfjordur
1.22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.22
KR Reykjavik
1.15
Vestri
1.07
Afturelding
1.00
KA Akureyri is 0.22 points better than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
2.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.15
KR Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.85
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Breidablik
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.67
Fram Reykjavik
1.52
IA Akranes
1.37
Afturelding
1.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.26
Vestri
0.96
KA Akureyri is 0.15 goals worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.81).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.15
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.37
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
Breidablik
1.56
Vestri
1.63
Stjarnan
1.67
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Afturelding
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.81
IA Akranes
1.85
KR Reykjavik
2.30
KA Akureyri is 0.11 goals worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D02L10W13L22D03L20W02LA·FRA26/10H·VÖL01/02A·NJA09/02H·BRE15/02A·FYL22/02H·FRA27/02H·KR 06/04A·VIK13/04H·FJA18/04A·VAL23/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.931.061.060.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.831.041.071.000.441.11
vs Weaker (7)0.570.571.001.500.400.20
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D01L04L10W11D00D01L01L11DH·VAL19/10A·STJ26/10H·IR 07/02H·AFT14/02A·HK 21/02A·THO11/03A·STJ07/04A·VES13/04A·FRA19/04H·KR 23/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.600.800.671.07
vs Stronger (12)0.580.750.500.500.671.00
vs Similar (18)0.671.060.671.000.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D10W03L01L12L00D01L20W11DA·FRA26/10H·VÖL01/02A·NJA09/02H·BRE15/02A·FYL22/02H·FRA27/02H·KR 06/04A·VIK13/04H·FJA18/04A·VAL23/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.670.810.751.070.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.870.700.790.791.000.56
vs Weaker (7)1.140.571.000.501.200.60
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D32W20W11D12L00D00D11DH·VAL19/10A·STJ26/10H·IR 07/02H·AFT14/02A·HK 21/02A·THO11/03A·STJ07/04A·VES13/04A·FRA19/04H·KR 23/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.000.931.070.730.93
vs Stronger (12)0.501.420.501.170.501.67
vs Similar (18)1.060.721.221.000.890.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
KA Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
KA Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
KA wins
1
Draws
1
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KA Akureyri vs FH hafnarfjordur · H/A from KA
DateH/AGameScore
08/07/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KA1-1
13/04/24HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-3
30/08/23AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KA0-3
03/05/23HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur4-2
07/08/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KA0-3
11/05/22HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur1-0

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/25AValur Reykjavik Vs KA3-1
18/04/25HKA Vs Fjardabyggd / Leiknir4-0
13/04/25AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KA4-0
06/04/25HKA Vs KR Reykjavik2-2
27/02/25HKA Vs Fram Reykjavik2-5
22/02/25AFylkir Vs KA1-1
15/02/25HKA Vs Breidablik0-5
09/02/25ANjardvik Vs KA0-1
01/02/25HKA Vs Völsungur1-1
26/10/24AFram Reykjavik Vs KA1-4

FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/25HFH Vs KR Reykjavik2-2
19/04/25AFram Reykjavik Vs FH1-0
13/04/25AVestri Vs FH1-0
07/04/25AStjarnan Vs FH2-1
11/03/25AThor Akureyri Vs FH2-2
21/02/25AHK Kopavogur Vs FH0-3
14/02/25HFH Vs Afturelding3-6
07/02/25HFH Vs IR Reykjavik0-1
26/10/24AStjarnan Vs FH3-2
19/10/24HFH Vs Valur Reykjavik1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.56
HomeDLLDW1.69
AwayWWDLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%38%
AVG goals3.383.523.19
Over 1.5 %86%86%86%
Over 2.5 %64%66%62%
Over 3.5 %48%52%43%
Scored1.721.861.52
Conceded1.661.661.67
BTTS68%69%67%
Clean Sheet18%21%14%
Corners---
Cards---
FH hafnarfjordur
FH hafnarfjordur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.22
HomeLDLLD1.17
AwayWDLLL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%30%37%
AVG goals3.403.613.22
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %66%70%63%
Over 3.5 %48%57%41%
Scored1.541.611.48
Conceded1.862.001.74
BTTS62%74%52%
Clean Sheet16%9%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2757
63%
2.1
5831+27
3.3
85%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2745
48%
1.7
6146+15
4.0
100%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.7
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5045+5
3.5
93%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.7
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2742
41%
1.6
4642+4
3.3
89%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2739
41%
1.4
4549-4
3.5
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.8
-
6Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2736
37%
1.3
4140+1
3.0
85%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.5
-
7IA AkranesIA Akranes2734
41%
1.3
3750-13
3.2
81%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2733
30%
1.2
4946+3
3.5
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.7
-
9IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2733
33%
1.2
3437-3
2.6
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.4
-
10KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2731
30%
1.1
5562-7
4.3
93%
85%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.3
-
11VestriVestri2729
30%
1.1
2644-18
2.6
78%
33%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
12AftureldingAfturelding2727
22%
1.0
3646-10
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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