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KA Akureyri vs IA Akranes Result & Analysis

Date: 01/06/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 2-3
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Vs
45%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KA Akureyri win✗ Miss
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes win✓ Hit
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D23L01L11D24L11D13L31W42W05LH·HK 07/04H·FH 13/04H·VES21/04H·IR 25/04A·VIK28/04H·KR 05/05A·VAL11/05H·VES15/05H·FYL20/05A·STJ26/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.871.821.531.622.31
vs Stronger (2)1.005.001.005.001.005.00
vs Similar (18)1.612.001.891.561.332.44
vs Weaker (10)2.101.001.861.002.671.00
Clean sheet %10% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L40W51W30W12L14L30W13L11D01LA·VAL07/04A·HK 14/04H·FYL21/04H·TIN25/04H·FH 28/04A·STJ05/05H·VES11/05A·KEF16/05A·FRA21/05H·VIK25/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.372.641.071.941.62
vs Stronger (3)1.330.671.330.67--
vs Similar (21)2.101.482.571.001.861.71
vs Weaker (6)3.331.333.751.502.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.6%
No
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
KA Akureyri goals ↓
IA Akranes goals →
01234
05.0%4.7%4.1%2.0%0.7%
16.1%11%7.3%3.5%1.3%
26.3%9.1%6.6%3.2%1.1%
33.8%5.4%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.7%2.4%1.8%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KA Akureyri goals (down), columns = IA Akranes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes are level in average points per game (both 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
KA Akureyri is 0.19 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.81).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
KA Akureyri is 0.04 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L00D00D13L01L11D01L30W02LH·HK 07/04H·FH 13/04H·VES21/04H·IR 25/04A·VIK28/04H·KR 05/05A·VAL11/05H·VES15/05H·FYL20/05A·STJ26/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.100.940.940.621.31
vs Stronger (2)0.003.000.002.000.004.00
vs Similar (18)0.721.280.891.220.561.33
vs Weaker (10)1.100.401.140.431.000.33
Clean sheet %30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W20W11D11D10W12L00D00DA·VAL07/04A·HK 14/04H·FYL21/04H·TIN25/04H·FH 28/04A·STJ05/05H·VES11/05A·KEF16/05A·FRA21/05H·VIK25/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.471.360.210.880.69
vs Stronger (3)0.670.000.670.00--
vs Similar (21)0.860.521.000.140.790.71
vs Weaker (6)2.170.502.500.501.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L11D11D10W02L30W12L03LH·HK 07/04H·FH 13/04H·VES21/04H·IR 25/04A·VIK28/04H·KR 05/05A·VAL11/05H·VES15/05H·FYL20/05A·STJ26/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.770.880.591.001.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.890.721.000.330.781.11
vs Weaker (10)1.000.600.710.571.670.67
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W41W10W01L03L20W01L11D01LA·VAL07/04A·HK 14/04H·FYL21/04H·TIN25/04H·FH 28/04A·STJ05/05H·VES11/05A·KEF16/05A·FRA21/05H·VIK25/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.901.290.861.060.94
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.670.67--
vs Similar (21)1.240.951.570.861.071.00
vs Weaker (6)1.170.831.251.001.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
KA wins
0
Draws
0
IA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KA Akureyri vs IA Akranes · H/A from KA
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/24HKA Vs IA Akranes2-1
14/08/22HKA Vs IA Akranes3-0
15/05/22AIA Akranes Vs KA0-3

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/24AStjarnan Vs KA5-0
20/05/24HKA Vs Fylkir4-2
15/05/24HKA Vs Vestri3-1
11/05/24AValur Reykjavik Vs KA3-1
05/05/24HKA Vs KR Reykjavik1-1
28/04/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KA4-2
25/04/24HKA Vs IR Reykjavik1-1
21/04/24HKA Vs Vestri0-1
13/04/24HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-3
07/04/24HKA Vs HK Kopavogur1-1

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/24HIA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-1
21/05/24AFram Reykjavik Vs IA1-1
16/05/24AKeflavik Vs IA3-1
11/05/24HIA Vs Vestri3-0
05/05/24AStjarnan Vs IA4-1
28/04/24HIA Vs FH hafnarfjordur1-2
25/04/24HIA Vs Tindastóll3-0
21/04/24HIA Vs Fylkir5-1
14/04/24AHK Kopavogur Vs IA0-4
07/04/24AValur Reykjavik Vs IA2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.52
HomeLDDWW1.86
AwayDWLLL1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%32%
AVG goals3.403.323.50
Over 1.5 %90%89%91%
Over 2.5 %62%61%64%
Over 3.5 %42%43%41%
Scored1.681.861.45
Conceded1.721.462.05
BTTS62%71%50%
Clean Sheet18%18%18%
Corners10.339.6711.00
Cards4.806.004.00
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.80
HomeWWLWL1.92
AwayLWLLD1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%58%50%
AVG goals3.864.003.73
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %72%75%69%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored2.222.581.88
Conceded1.641.421.85
BTTS70%67%73%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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