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KA Akureyri vs IA Akranes Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 3-2
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Vs
53%
23%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KA Akureyri win✓ Hit
53.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D51W43W02L34L20W01L00D50W12LH·VES05/10H·IA 19/10A·IBV25/10H·KR 31/01A·IR 07/02H·VIK15/02A·NJA21/02H·GRI07/03A·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.531.751.191.791.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.831.501.861.211.801.90
vs Weaker (6)1.501.671.001.001.752.00
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L10W12L11D31W51W21W40W11D12LA·KA 19/10H·AFT25/10H·AFT29/01H·THO07/02A·GRO11/02A·VÖL22/02H·VAL26/02H·HAU06/04H·GRI13/05H·VIK12/06
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.501.331.332.081.75
vs Stronger (4)1.501.251.671.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.461.581.271.401.781.89
vs Weaker (2)4.001.00--4.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.2%
No
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
KA Akureyri goals ↓
IA Akranes goals →
01234
03.8%3.2%2.9%1.3%0.5%
15.4%9.6%6.1%2.8%1.0%
26.7%9.3%6.5%3.0%1.1%
34.7%6.6%4.6%2.1%0.7%
42.5%3.5%2.5%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KA Akureyri goals (down), columns = IA Akranes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
KA Akureyri is 0.62 points worse than IA Akranes in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
KA Akureyri is 0.62 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 2.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
KA Akureyri is 0.50 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W22D00D21W10W00D00D20W12LH·VES05/10H·IA 19/10A·IBV25/10H·KR 31/01A·IR 07/02H·VIK15/02A·NJA21/02H·GRI07/03A·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.690.620.790.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.710.580.710.570.700.60
vs Weaker (6)0.830.830.501.001.000.75
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W10W00D00D11D21W20W10W00DA·KA 19/10H·AFT25/10H·AFT29/01H·THO07/02A·GRO11/02A·VÖL22/02H·VAL26/02H·HAU06/04H·GRI13/05H·VIK12/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.610.390.830.75
vs Stronger (4)0.750.500.670.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.710.540.600.470.890.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W21W02L13L10W01L00D30W00DH·VES05/10H·IA 19/10A·IBV25/10H·KR 31/01A·IR 07/02H·VIK15/02A·NJA21/02H·GRI07/03A·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.901.060.561.001.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.120.921.140.641.101.30
vs Weaker (6)0.670.830.500.000.751.25
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L00D02L11D31W40W00D20W01L12LA·KA 19/10H·AFT25/10H·AFT29/01H·THO07/02A·GRO11/02A·VÖL22/02H·VAL26/02H·HAU06/04H·GRI13/05H·VIK12/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.970.720.941.251.00
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.751.040.670.930.891.22
vs Weaker (2)3.500.50--3.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
KA Akureyri and IA Akranes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
KA wins
0
Draws
3
IA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KA Akureyri vs IA Akranes · H/A from KA
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/25HKA Vs IA Akranes5-1
19/07/25HKA Vs IA Akranes2-0
04/05/25AIA Akranes Vs KA3-0
15/09/24AIA Akranes Vs KA1-0
01/06/24HKA Vs IA Akranes2-3
16/02/24HKA Vs IA Akranes2-1
14/08/22HKA Vs IA Akranes3-0
15/05/22AIA Akranes Vs KA0-3

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/26HKA Vs Ægir1-2
04/04/26AHöttur / Huginn Vs KA0-5
07/03/26HKA Vs Grindavik0-0
21/02/26ANjardvik Vs KA1-0
15/02/26HKA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-0
07/02/26AIR Reykjavik Vs KA4-3
31/01/26HKA Vs KR Reykjavik0-2
25/10/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KA3-4
19/10/25HKA Vs IA Akranes5-1
05/10/25HKA Vs Vestri1-1

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/06/26HIA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-2
13/05/26HIA Vs Grindavik1-1
06/04/26HIA Vs Haukar4-0
26/02/26HIA Vs Valur Reykjavik2-1
22/02/26AVölsungur Vs IA1-5
11/02/26AGrotta Vs IA1-3
07/02/26HIA Vs Thor Akureyri1-1
29/01/26HIA Vs Afturelding1-2
25/10/25HIA Vs Afturelding1-0
19/10/25AKA Akureyri Vs IA5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.38
HomeWLWDL1.54
AwayLWLLW1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%43%32%
AVG goals3.443.433.45
Over 1.5 %82%86%77%
Over 2.5 %58%54%64%
Over 3.5 %48%46%50%
Scored1.681.751.59
Conceded1.761.681.86
BTTS56%54%59%
Clean Sheet22%29%14%
Corners9.0010.008.00
Cards3.504.003.00
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.36
HomeDWWDL1.41
AwayWWLWW1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%41%43%
AVG goals3.542.894.30
Over 1.5 %86%78%96%
Over 2.5 %68%63%74%
Over 3.5 %44%30%61%
Scored1.701.561.87
Conceded1.841.332.43
BTTS56%52%61%
Clean Sheet22%26%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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