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KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 3-5
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Vs
40%
24%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

KA Akureyri hosts KR Reykjavik in the Icelandic top-flight. Recent form suggests a contrasting narrative, with KR Reykjavik unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 5-2 win over Fram Reykjavik, whereas KA Akureyri has struggled, suffering 2 consecutive defeats. However, the expected total goals of 3.5 and most likely total goals of 3 hint at a high-scoring encounter.

The model predicts a 40% chance of a home win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 36% chance of an away win, favouring KA Akureyri's home advantage. The most likely score is 1-1 with a 10.2% probability. KA Akureyri has averaged 2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while KR Reykjavik has averaged 2 goals scored and 2.38 conceded away against similar opponents.

The model's selection is the home win, with a 40% chance of success. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 with an 87.2% probability. KA Akureyri has a 40% chance of winning, a 24% chance of drawing, and a 36% chance of losing. The model also suggests Over 1.5 with a 87.2% probability.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, KA Akureyri, did not come through, as the away side KR Reykjavik snatched a 5-3 victory. The model had picked a home win with a 40 % probability, but that call was wrong. The final score of 3-5 confirmed the away win. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 7.5 (97.4 %) missed, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.3 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.1 %) missed, Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.2 %) hit, Under 6.5 (93.6 %) missed, Home under 3.5 goals (89.4 %) hit, Over 1.5 (87.2 %) hit, and Home under 1.5 HT goals (86.2 %) missed. KR’s unbeaten run of five games, with a 5-3 win over KA, contrasted sharply with KA’s recent defeat, underscoring the upset.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KA Akureyri win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 20.3% · @ 4.46
Edge
+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.75
1xBet
4.62
Marathonbet
4.60
Dafabet
4.60
Betano
4.60
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 18.0% · @ 5.02
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.94
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Dafabet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
KR Reykjavik win✓ Hit
36.2%
Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.47
Edge
-25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Dafabet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.49

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D50W12L32W22D00D03L01L44DA·NJA21/02H·GRI07/03A·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05H·IA 12/07A·IBV19/07H·THO27/07A·KEF05/08H·FH 09/08A·VAL17/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.771.811.192.072.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.961.711.931.212.002.40
vs Weaker (6)1.832.001.001.002.252.50
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W40W44D42W12L52W50W11D52W33DH·NJA28/02A·STJ14/03A·FYL21/03H·VAL06/04A·STJ13/05H·IBV12/07H·STJ19/07A·FH 05/08A·FRA10/08H·BRE16/08
Avg total
5.4
Avg scored
3.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.932.872.002.001.87
vs Stronger (2)0.004.000.007.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)2.611.793.071.642.141.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
@ 1.03-4.9%
Under 1.5
12.8%
@ 11.95+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.01
Under
Betfair
15.00
1xBet
13.50
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
8.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.6%
@ 1.10-15.5%
Under 2.5
32.4%
@ 5.43+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.34
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.0%
@ 1.33-22.8%
Under 3.5
54.0%
@ 2.94+22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.26
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.9%
@ 1.20-7.5%
No
31.1%
@ 3.88+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
No
1xBet
4.38
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 15.42+7.2%
2-1
8.3%@ 18.08+5.7%
1-2
7.9%@ 10.67+3.5%
2-2
7.1%@ 11.78+3.0%
3-1
4.9%@ 31.06+3.4%
2-0
4.9%@ 50.49+3.9%
1-0
4.6%@ 44.45+3.5%
1-3
4.5%@ 10.70+0.1%
KA Akureyri goals ↓
KR Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.0%4.3%4.4%2.5%1.1%
14.6%10%7.9%4.5%1.9%
24.9%8.3%7.1%4.0%1.7%
32.9%4.9%4.2%2.4%1.0%
41.3%2.2%1.9%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KA Akureyri goals (down), columns = KR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
KA Akureyri is 1.27 points worse than KR Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
KA Akureyri is 1.82 goals worse than KR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 3.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
KA Akureyri is 0.66 goals worse than KR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
KA Akureyri or Draw✗ Miss
63.8%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.45
Edge
+26.1%
40%
24%
36%
covers KA Akureyri + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.60
Betano
2.55
888Sport
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
KA Akureyri or KR Reykjavik✓ Hit
75.8%
Avg Implied 82.4% · @ 1.12
Edge
-6.6%
40%
24%
36%
covers KA Akureyri + KR Reykjavik
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw or KR Reykjavik✓ Hit
60.4%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.16
Edge
-19.5%
40%
24%
36%
covers Draw + KR Reykjavik
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.15+3.8%
Under
16.8%
@ 4.44-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
888Sport
4.40
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.2%
@ 1.76+1.1%
Under
46.8%
@ 1.92-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.91
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.5%
@ 3.38-0.7%
Under
73.5%
@ 1.26+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Betano
3.65
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
KA Akureyri over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 7.50-1.8%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.06+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.00
Betfair
7.50
Betano
7.30
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.7%
@ 1.03-10.4%
Under
18.3%
@ 12.00+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Under
1xBet
13.00
888Sport
13.00
Bet365
10.00
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.6%
@ 1.18-27.4%
Under
49.4%
@ 4.20+27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.3%
@ 1.59-33.6%
Under
75.7%
@ 2.18+33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
888Sport
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.59
Under
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
Bet365
2.20
KR Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
9.3%
@ 2.49-27.7%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.46+27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
888Sport
2.63
Superbet
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to KA Akureyri, so a minus line means KA Akureyri give that many goals of a start and KR Reykjavik receive them. At -1, KA Akureyri must win by two or more to land; a one-goal KA Akureyri win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (KA Akureyri)Actual: KR Reykjavik
KA Akureyri -2
9.2%
@ 19.00+4.3%
Draw -2
12.1%
@ 15.00+5.8%
KR Reykjavik +2
78.6%
@ 1.06-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap -1 (KA Akureyri)Actual: KR Reykjavik
KA Akureyri -1
21.4%
@ 8.00+10.3%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 7.65+6.7%
KR Reykjavik +1
60.4%
@ 1.14-17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.16
Bet365
1.12
Handicap +1 (KA Akureyri)Actual: KR Reykjavik
KA Akureyri +1
63.8%
@ 2.43+28.3%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 4.22-3.1%
KR Reykjavik -1
18.8%
@ 1.96-25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.49
Bet365
2.40
Unibet
2.23
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
3.50
Away
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betfair
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Handicap +2 (KA Akureyri)Actual: Draw
KA Akureyri +2
81.2%
@ 1.64+28.7%
Draw +2
11.0%
@ 4.54-8.0%
KR Reykjavik -2
7.8%
@ 3.04-20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Unibet
1.58
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.70
Away
Marathonbet
3.14
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Unibet
2.80

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W12L01L10W00D03L00D31WA·NJA21/02H·GRI07/03A·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05H·IA 12/07A·IBV19/07H·THO27/07A·KEF05/08H·FH 09/08A·VAL17/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.690.561.000.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.620.710.500.900.80
vs Weaker (6)1.000.830.501.001.250.75
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W32W20W12L21W20W10W31W13LH·NJA28/02A·STJ14/03A·FYL21/03H·VAL06/04A·STJ13/05H·IBV12/07H·STJ19/07A·FH 05/08A·FRA10/08H·BRE16/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.901.071.001.200.80
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.004.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.210.821.140.791.290.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.9%
@ 1.09-13.8%
Under 0.5
28.1%
@ 6.51+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.6%
@ 1.49-20.5%
Under 1.5
58.4%
@ 2.44+20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 2.54-23.0%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.46+23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.58
Superbet
2.52
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
BetVictor
1.48

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.0%
@ 1.73-7.7%
Under
54.0%
@ 2.01+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.88
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.8%
@ 4.52-6.6%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.16+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.70
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.75-6.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.2%
@ 1.31-19.7%
Under
48.8%
@ 3.20+19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.00
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.7%
@ 2.34-22.0%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.54+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.47
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
2.9%
@ 5.25-14.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.11+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W00D31W12L00D00D01L13LA·NJA21/02H·GRI07/03A·HÖT04/04H·ÆGI14/05H·IA 12/07A·IBV19/07H·THO27/07A·KEF05/08H·FH 09/08A·VAL17/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.120.621.071.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.171.081.210.711.101.60
vs Weaker (6)0.831.170.500.001.001.75
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (KR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W12L22D00D31W30W01L21W20WH·NJA28/02A·STJ14/03A·FYL21/03H·VAL06/04A·STJ13/05H·IBV12/07H·STJ19/07A·FH 05/08A·FRA10/08H·BRE16/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.031.801.000.801.07
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.390.961.930.860.861.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.1%
@ 1.04-9.3%
Under 0.5
18.9%
@ 9.85+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
11.00
William Hil
10.00
Betano
7.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.27-20.0%
Under 1.5
47.4%
@ 3.37+20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Superbet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.4%
@ 1.87-26.1%
Under 2.5
76.6%
@ 1.84+26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.2%
@ 1.50-7.7%
Under
45.8%
@ 2.43+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.35
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 3.28-10.3%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.28+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 7.90-7.9%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.04+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
KR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.18-19.2%
Under
40.3%
@ 4.40+19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.20
KR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.1%
@ 1.83-28.3%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.87+28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
KR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 3.50-20.2%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.25+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.597.4%1.09
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.08
--+11.7%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.3%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+6.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.1%1.11
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.11
---+14.6%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.2%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.03
---+7.9%✓ Hit
Under 6.593.6%1.19
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+17.1%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals89.4%1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
+1.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.587.2%1.03
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-4.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.2%1.16
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
--+6.6%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals83.2%1.15
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.2%1.28
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
--+10.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals81.7%1.03
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
---10.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals81.1%1.04
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
--9.3%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap78.6%1.06
Bet365
1.06
-----10.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away75.8%1.12
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-6.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals73.5%1.26
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+0.7%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals71.9%1.09
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-13.8%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
KA Akureyri and KR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
KA wins
3
Draws
3
KR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik · H/A from KA
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26HKA Vs KR Reykjavik0-2
21/09/25HKA Vs KR Reykjavik4-2
06/07/25AKR Reykjavik Vs KA1-2
06/04/25HKA Vs KR Reykjavik2-2
06/10/24HKA Vs KR Reykjavik0-4
29/07/24AKR Reykjavik Vs KA2-2
05/05/24HKA Vs KR Reykjavik1-1
24/06/23AKR Reykjavik Vs KA2-0

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26AValur Reykjavik Vs KA4-4
09/08/26HKA Vs FH hafnarfjordur0-1
05/08/26AKeflavik Vs KA3-0
27/07/26HKA Vs Thor Akureyri0-0
19/07/26AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KA2-2
12/07/26HKA Vs IA Akranes3-2
14/05/26HKA Vs Ægir1-2
04/04/26AHöttur / Huginn Vs KA0-5
07/03/26HKA Vs Grindavik0-0
21/02/26ANjardvik Vs KA1-0

KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HKR Vs Breidablik3-3
10/08/26AFram Reykjavik Vs KR2-5
05/08/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KR1-1
19/07/26HKR Vs Stjarnan5-0
12/07/26HKR Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar5-2
13/05/26AStjarnan Vs KR2-1
06/04/26HKR Vs Valur Reykjavik4-2
21/03/26AFylkir Vs KR4-4
14/03/26AStjarnan Vs KR0-4
28/02/26HKR Vs Njardvik5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLD1.30
HomeDLWDL1.48
AwayLWDLD1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%41%26%
AVG goals3.463.223.74
Over 1.5 %80%78%83%
Over 2.5 %58%48%70%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.661.671.65
Conceded1.801.562.09
BTTS56%52%61%
Clean Sheet22%30%13%
Corners9.0010.008.00
Cards3.504.003.00
KR Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.60
HomeWWWWD2.04
AwayWDLDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%62%29%
AVG goals4.825.274.33
Over 1.5 %94%100%88%
Over 2.5 %84%92%75%
Over 3.5 %68%73%62%
Scored2.903.502.25
Conceded1.921.772.08
BTTS78%77%79%
Clean Sheet16%19%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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