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KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 1-0
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Vs
36%
23%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KA Akureyri win✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L30W12L32W21W32W11D20W10W22DH·IA 01/06H·FRA13/06A·BRE19/06H·FRA23/06A·HK 28/06H·VAL02/07A·FH 08/07A·VES14/07H·VIK20/07A·KR 29/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.572.111.391.581.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.711.812.171.581.112.11
vs Weaker (9)2.331.002.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D51W23L23L40W22D40W00D14L14LH·VIK18/06A·VES22/06A·IA 28/06A·KA 02/07H·FYL06/07H·VLL11/07A·VLL18/07H·ST 25/07A·FRA28/07A·ST 01/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.572.710.862.312.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.241.822.141.002.302.40
vs Weaker (13)2.851.233.290.712.331.83
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.0%
Under 2.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.2%
No
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-3
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
KA Akureyri goals ↓
Valur Reykjavik goals →
01234
03.2%3.8%4.5%2.9%1.4%
13.5%9.2%8.1%5.2%2.5%
23.9%7.5%7.2%4.7%2.3%
32.3%4.5%4.3%2.8%1.4%
41.0%2.0%1.9%1.3%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = KA Akureyri goals (down), columns = Valur Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
KA Akureyri is 0.26 points worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
KA Akureyri is 0.81 goals worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 2.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
KA Akureyri is 0.22 goals worse than Valur Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L10W01L12L00D21W01L10W00D01LH·IA 01/06H·FRA13/06A·BRE19/06H·FRA23/06A·HK 28/06H·VAL02/07A·FH 08/07A·VES14/07H·VIK20/07A·KR 29/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.971.061.000.420.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.711.191.001.250.331.11
vs Weaker (9)1.000.441.170.500.670.33
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D12L12L10W11D30W00D13L01LH·VIK18/06A·VES22/06A·IA 28/06A·KA 02/07H·FYL06/07H·VLL11/07A·VLL18/07H·ST 25/07A·FRA28/07A·ST 01/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.800.930.361.191.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.180.880.710.431.501.20
vs Weaker (13)0.920.691.140.290.671.17
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W11D20W21W11D10W10W10W21WH·IA 01/06H·FRA13/06A·BRE19/06H·FRA23/06A·HK 28/06H·VAL02/07A·FH 08/07A·VES14/07H·VIK20/07A·KR 29/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.601.060.391.170.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.000.621.170.330.781.00
vs Weaker (9)1.330.560.830.502.330.67
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W11D11D30W11D10W00D01L13LH·VIK18/06A·VES22/06A·IA 28/06A·KA 02/07H·FYL06/07H·VLL11/07A·VLL18/07H·ST 25/07A·FRA28/07A·ST 01/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.771.790.501.121.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.060.941.430.570.801.20
vs Weaker (13)1.920.542.140.431.670.67
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.5%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes72.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.572.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
KA Akureyri's squad is €1m less valuable than Valur Reykjavik's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
KA Akureyri and Valur Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
KA Akureyri and Valur Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
KA Akureyri and Valur Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
KA wins
1
Draws
3
VR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

KA Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik · H/A from KA
DateH/AGameScore
02/07/24HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik3-2
11/05/24AValur Reykjavik Vs KA3-1
07/08/23AValur Reykjavik Vs KA4-2
13/05/23HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik0-4
29/10/22HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik2-0
17/09/22AValur Reykjavik Vs KA0-1
04/07/22HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik1-1

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/24AKR Reykjavik Vs KA2-2
20/07/24HKA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-0
14/07/24AVestri Vs KA0-2
08/07/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KA1-1
02/07/24HKA Vs Valur Reykjavik3-2
28/06/24AHK Kopavogur Vs KA1-2
23/06/24HKA Vs Fram Reykjavik3-2
19/06/24ABreidablik Vs KA2-1
13/06/24HKA Vs Fram Reykjavik3-0
01/06/24HKA Vs IA Akranes2-3

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/24AST Mirren Vs VR4-1
28/07/24AFram Reykjavik Vs VR4-1
25/07/24HVR Vs ST Mirren0-0
18/07/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs VR0-4
11/07/24HVR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër2-2
06/07/24HVR Vs Fylkir4-0
02/07/24AKA Akureyri Vs VR3-2
28/06/24AIA Akranes Vs VR3-2
22/06/24AVestri Vs VR1-5
18/06/24HVR Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.58
HomeLWWWW1.96
AwayLWDWD1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%59%30%
AVG goals3.543.523.57
Over 1.5 %92%89%96%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %46%48%43%
Scored1.782.001.52
Conceded1.761.522.04
BTTS70%78%61%
Clean Sheet16%15%17%
Corners10.339.6711.00
Cards4.806.004.00
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.86
HomeWDWDD2.21
AwayLLWLL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.823.504.12
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %72%67%77%
Over 3.5 %62%54%69%
Scored2.422.502.35
Conceded1.401.001.77
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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