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Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Acre Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kafr Qasim win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W12L10W01L31W01L11D02L11DH·HAP04/02A·HAP07/02H·HAP14/02H·HAP21/02A·HAP03/03H·MAC10/03A·HAP17/03H·MAC24/03A·HAP28/03H·MAC04/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.871.190.810.640.93
vs Stronger (7)0.571.000.751.250.330.67
vs Similar (23)1.040.831.330.670.731.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W14L10W03L10W00D20W11D23L21WH·HAP04/02A·HAP10/02H·HAP17/02A·HAP21/02H·KAF03/03H·HAP07/03A·MAC17/03H·HAP24/03A·MAC28/03H·HAP04/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.330.930.871.071.80
vs Stronger (4)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.151.231.080.851.231.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
Kafr Qasim goals ↓
Hapoel Acre goals →
01234
09.3%7.3%4.6%1.6%0.4%
110%14%6.7%2.4%0.6%
28.5%9.1%4.8%1.7%0.5%
34.1%4.4%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kafr Qasim goals (down), columns = Hapoel Acre goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.38
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Acre
1.49
Maccabi Herzliya
1.38
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.35
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.30
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.24
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.16
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.11
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0.92
Hapoel Afula
0.70
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.62
Nordia Jerusalem
0.00
Kafr Qasim is 0.14 points worse than Hapoel Acre in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.49).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.11
Nordia Jerusalem
2.00
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.76
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.68
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.32
Maccabi Herzliya
1.24
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.19
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.16
Hapoel Acre
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.08
Kafr Qasim
0.95
Hapoel Afula
0.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.78
Kafr Qasim is 0.19 goals worse than Hapoel Acre in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.54
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.68
Kafr Qasim
0.89
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0.95
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.22
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.32
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.43
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.43
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.53
Hapoel Afula
1.65
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.92
Nordia Jerusalem
5.00
Kafr Qasim is 0.43 goals better than Hapoel Acre in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W11D00D00D00D01L11D01L11DH·HAP04/02A·HAP07/02H·HAP14/02H·HAP21/02A·HAP03/03H·MAC10/03A·HAP17/03H·MAC24/03A·HAP28/03H·MAC04/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.330.440.310.430.36
vs Stronger (7)0.290.570.500.750.000.33
vs Similar (23)0.480.260.420.170.550.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D00D00D00D01L01L10WH·HAP04/02A·HAP10/02H·HAP17/02A·HAP21/02H·KAF03/03H·HAP07/03A·MAC17/03H·HAP24/03A·MAC28/03H·HAP04/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.430.270.270.330.60
vs Stronger (4)0.000.250.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.350.460.310.230.380.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L10W01L31W00D00D01L00DH·HAP04/02A·HAP07/02H·HAP14/02H·HAP21/02A·HAP03/03H·MAC10/03A·HAP17/03H·MAC24/03A·HAP28/03H·MAC04/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.750.500.210.57
vs Stronger (7)0.290.430.250.500.330.33
vs Similar (23)0.570.570.920.500.180.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L00D03L10W00D20W10W22D11DH·HAP04/02A·HAP10/02H·HAP17/02A·HAP21/02H·KAF03/03H·HAP07/03A·MAC17/03H·HAP24/03A·MAC28/03H·HAP04/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.670.600.731.20
vs Stronger (4)0.001.750.000.500.003.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.770.770.620.850.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (27)
€18m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Kafr Qasim and Hapoel Acre have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (13)
€11m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Kafr Qasim and Hapoel Acre have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (4)
€2m
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Kafr Qasim and Hapoel Acre have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (10)
€5m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
Kafr Qasim and Hapoel Acre have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
KQ wins
2
Draws
4
HA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Acre · H/A from KQ
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/25AHapoel Acre Vs KQ1-0
29/10/24HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre4-0
26/04/24AHapoel Acre Vs KQ5-2
12/04/24HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre1-2
29/12/23AHapoel Acre Vs KQ3-1
13/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre0-0
08/09/22AHapoel Acre Vs KQ1-1

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/25HKQ Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-1
28/03/25AHapoel Afula Vs KQ2-0
24/03/25HKQ Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-1
17/03/25AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs KQ1-0
10/03/25HKQ Vs Maccabi Herzliya3-1
03/03/25AHapoel Acre Vs KQ1-0
21/02/25HKQ Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan1-0
14/02/25HKQ Vs Hapoel Tel Aviv1-2
07/02/25AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs KQ0-2
04/02/25HKQ Vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-1

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/25HHA Vs Hapoel Afula2-1
28/03/25AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HA3-2
24/03/25HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba1-1
17/03/25AMaccabi Herzliya Vs HA0-2
07/03/25HHA Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan0-0
03/03/25HHA Vs Kafr Qasim1-0
21/02/25AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs HA3-0
17/02/25HHA Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-0
10/02/25AHapoel Kfar Shalem Vs HA4-1
04/02/25HHA Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.24
HomeLWWDD1.23
AwayWWLLL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals2.242.581.88
Over 1.5 %64%77%50%
Over 2.5 %30%35%25%
Over 3.5 %12%15%8%
Scored1.101.380.79
Conceded1.141.191.08
BTTS44%54%33%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.42
HomeWWDDW1.42
AwayLLLWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.562.192.96
Over 1.5 %74%62%88%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %20%12%29%
Scored1.221.121.33
Conceded1.341.081.62
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3788
73%
2.4
7825+53
2.8
78%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
11252.10.7
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3788
73%
2.4
6420+44
2.3
59%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.5
-
3Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3771
59%
1.9
7135+36
2.9
76%
51%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.9
-
4Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3763
51%
1.7
6553+12
3.2
86%
57%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.81.4
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3755
46%
1.5
4249-7
2.5
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.3
-
6Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3751
41%
1.4
4664-18
3.0
84%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.7
-
7Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3750
35%
1.4
3533+2
1.8
62%
19%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.90.9
-
8Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3750
41%
1.4
4951-2
2.7
73%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
9Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3748
38%
1.3
6271-9
3.6
86%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
10Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3747
32%
1.3
4349-6
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
11Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3746
35%
1.2
5055-5
2.8
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.5
-
12Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3743
27%
1.2
4045-5
2.3
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
13Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3741
24%
1.1
4453-9
2.6
78%
49%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
14Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3835
24%
0.9
4158-17
2.6
71%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
15Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3726
11%
0.7
3061-31
2.5
73%
43%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.6
-
16Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3723
14%
0.6
2964-35
2.5
70%
51%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
17Nordia JerusalemNordia Jerusalem10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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