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Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Vs
36%
31%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kafr Qasim win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D11D11D10W31W00D00D01L15LA·BNE04/09H·HAP07/09A·HAP18/09H·HAP21/09A·MAC02/10H·IHU05/10A·HAP17/11H·HAP24/11H·IRO01/12A·IRO08/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.171.130.931.131.40
vs Stronger (9)1.001.890.751.501.202.20
vs Similar (21)1.190.861.270.731.101.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D11D12L11D11D25L11D12L11DA·SEK04/09H·HAP07/09A·HAP14/09H·BNE21/09A·HAP28/09H·HAP05/10A·HAP20/11H·MAC27/11A·IHU01/12H·HAP08/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.031.120.751.141.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.141.001.120.751.171.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.50--1.001.50
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
Under 2.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-0 ✓
10.5%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
Kafr Qasim goals ↓
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm goals →
01234
011%9.8%6.2%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.0%7.9%4.4%1.6%0.5%
32.8%3.1%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.8%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kafr Qasim goals (down), columns = Hapoel Umm al-Fahm goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2.05
Ironi Tiberias
1.95
Bnei Yehuda
1.95
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.70
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Maccabi Herzliya
1.35
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.24
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.16
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.13
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.08
Tira
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
0.54
Kafr Qasim is 0.03 points better than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bnei Yehuda
1.92
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.84
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.78
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ironi Tiberias
1.68
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.68
Hapoel Acre
1.46
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.27
Kafr Qasim
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.19
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
1.00
Hapoel Kfar Saba
0.95
Tira
0.00
Kafr Qasim is 0.08 goals worse than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tira
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.62
Ironi Tiberias
0.92
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.05
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.22
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.30
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.38
Hapoel Afula
1.46
Maccabi Herzliya
1.65
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.68
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
2.51
Kafr Qasim is 0.03 goals better than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D11D00D01L00D00D00D03LA·BNE04/09H·HAP07/09A·HAP18/09H·HAP21/09A·MAC02/10H·IHU05/10A·HAP17/11H·HAP24/11H·IRO01/12A·IRO08/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.530.600.470.53
vs Stronger (9)0.561.220.501.000.601.40
vs Similar (21)0.480.290.550.450.400.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D01L00D01L13L00D10W01LA·SEK04/09H·HAP07/09A·HAP14/09H·BNE21/09A·HAP28/09H·HAP05/10A·HAP20/11H·MAC27/11A·IHU01/12H·HAP08/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.430.250.380.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.430.250.380.500.50
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D00D10W30W00D00D01L12LA·BNE04/09H·HAP07/09A·HAP18/09H·HAP21/09A·MAC02/10H·IHU05/10A·HAP17/11H·HAP24/11H·IRO01/12A·IRO08/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.600.330.670.87
vs Stronger (9)0.440.670.250.500.600.80
vs Similar (21)0.710.570.730.270.700.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D11D11D10W12L11D02L10WA·SEK04/09H·HAP07/09A·HAP14/09H·BNE21/09A·HAP28/09H·HAP05/10A·HAP20/11H·MAC27/11A·IHU01/12H·HAP08/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.880.380.640.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.790.570.880.380.670.83
vs Weaker (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (22)
€7m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (3)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (11)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
KQ wins
1
Draws
1
HUA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kafr Qasim vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm · H/A from KQ
DateH/AGameScore
06/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-1
01/09/22AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs KQ2-0

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/23AIroni Tiberias Vs KQ5-1
01/12/23HKQ Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona0-1
24/11/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan0-0
17/11/23AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs KQ0-0
05/10/23HKQ Vs Ihud Bnei Shfaram3-1
02/10/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs KQ0-1
21/09/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1-1
18/09/23AHapoel Afula Vs KQ1-1
07/09/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion1-1
04/09/23ABnei Yehuda Vs KQ1-0

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/23HHUA Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba1-1
01/12/23AIhud Bnei Shfaram Vs HUA2-1
27/11/23HHUA Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-1
20/11/23AHapoel Nazareth Illit Vs HUA5-2
05/10/23HHUA Vs Hapoel Afula1-1
28/09/23AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HUA1-1
21/09/23HHUA Vs Bnei Yehuda1-2
14/09/23AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs HUA1-1
07/09/23HHUA Vs Hapoel Acre0-0
04/09/23ASektzia Nes Tziona Vs HUA0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.10
HomeDDWDL1.17
AwayLDWDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%21%25%
AVG goals2.332.292.38
Over 1.5 %62%67%58%
Over 2.5 %31%38%25%
Over 3.5 %27%29%25%
Scored1.061.121.00
Conceded1.271.171.38
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet31%29%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.50
HomeDLDDD1.76
AwayWDDLL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%30%
AVG goals2.152.002.30
Over 1.5 %75%72%78%
Over 2.5 %27%24%30%
Over 3.5 %8%8%9%
Scored1.191.241.13
Conceded0.960.761.17
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet38%44%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3776
65%
2.1
6623+43
2.4
68%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.80.6
-
2Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3772
54%
1.9
6234+28
2.6
78%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.9
-
3Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3772
59%
1.9
7145+26
3.1
78%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
4Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3763
49%
1.7
6239+23
2.7
76%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
5Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6862+6
3.5
89%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.7
-
6Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3750
32%
1.4
5449+5
2.8
70%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
7Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3750
35%
1.4
6464+0
3.5
86%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3750
35%
1.4
4361-18
2.8
81%
54%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.6
-
9Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3747
32%
1.3
4450-6
2.5
65%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
10Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3746
30%
1.2
4751-4
2.6
84%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3744
30%
1.2
4743+4
2.4
59%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
12Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3743
30%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
76%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3743
30%
1.2
3748-11
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.3
-
14Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3843
26%
1.1
3647-11
2.2
55%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.91.2
-
15Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona3740
27%
1.1
4463-19
2.9
81%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
16Ihud Bnei ShfaramIhud Bnei Shfaram3720
14%
0.5
3793-56
3.5
81%
70%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
17TiraTira11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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