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Kafr Qasim vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Result & Analysis

Date: 27/02/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 4-0
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Vs
41%
32%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kafr Qasim win✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D00D20W01L35L41W00D11D01LA·HAP30/12H·HAP06/01H·HAP13/01A·MAC17/01H·HAP20/01A·BNE27/01H·AGU03/02A·MAC10/02H·IRO14/02A·HAP17/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.041.351.151.310.921.38
vs Stronger (9)0.671.670.601.400.752.00
vs Similar (17)1.241.181.501.251.001.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Ahi Nazareth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L20W20W11D33D10W03L03L02LH·MAC30/12A·IRO09/01H·HAP13/01A·HAP17/01A·HAP20/01H·HAP30/01A·HAP03/02H·HAP10/02A·HAP14/02H·HAP20/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.231.311.150.691.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.001.231.311.150.691.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.3%
Under 1.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.0%
Under 2.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.9%
No
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.1%
Kafr Qasim goals ↓
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth goals →
01234
014%9.9%5.1%1.6%0.4%
113%15%6.1%1.8%0.4%
28.6%7.9%3.6%1.1%0.2%
33.4%3.1%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kafr Qasim goals (down), columns = Maccabi Ahi Nazareth goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.62
Hapoel Acre
1.51
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.41
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.30
Hapoel Afula
1.24
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.19
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.18
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.14
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Kafr Qasim and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth are level in average points per game (both 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.97
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.68
Ironi Tiberias
1.54
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.30
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.22
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.19
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.16
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.16
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.70
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Kafr Qasim is 0.16 goals better than Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.84
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.86
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.03
Hapoel Acre
1.05
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.27
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.32
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.55
Bnei Yehuda
1.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2.11
Kafr Qasim is 0.22 goals better than Maccabi Ahi Nazareth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.49).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D00D20W01L13L21W00D11D00DA·HAP30/12H·HAP06/01H·HAP13/01A·MAC17/01H·HAP20/01A·BNE27/01H·AGU03/02A·MAC10/02H·IRO14/02A·HAP17/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.650.540.620.310.69
vs Stronger (9)0.220.780.200.600.251.00
vs Similar (17)0.530.590.750.620.330.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Ahi Nazareth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D20W01L12L10W02L00D01LH·MAC30/12A·IRO09/01H·HAP13/01A·HAP17/01A·HAP20/01H·HAP30/01A·HAP03/02H·HAP10/02A·HAP14/02H·HAP20/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.730.310.770.230.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.270.730.310.770.230.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D22D20W00D00D01LA·HAP30/12H·HAP06/01H·HAP13/01A·MAC17/01H·HAP20/01A·BNE27/01H·AGU03/02A·MAC10/02H·IRO14/02A·HAP17/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.690.620.690.620.69
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.400.800.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.590.750.620.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Ahi Nazareth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D20W00D10W21W00D01L03L01LH·MAC30/12A·IRO09/01H·HAP13/01A·HAP17/01A·HAP20/01H·HAP30/01A·HAP03/02H·HAP10/02A·HAP14/02H·HAP20/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.501.000.380.460.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.730.501.000.380.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
KQ wins
0
Draws
1
MAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kafr Qasim vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth · H/A from KQ
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/22AMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Vs KQ1-0

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/23AHapoel Nazareth Illit Vs KQ1-0
14/02/23HKQ Vs Ironi Tiberias1-1
10/02/23AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs KQ0-0
03/02/23HKQ Vs Agudat Sport Ashdod4-1
27/01/23ABnei Yehuda Vs KQ5-3
20/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1
17/01/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs KQ0-2
13/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre0-0
06/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-1
30/12/22AHapoel Afula Vs KQ1-0

Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/23HMAN Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0-2
14/02/23AHapoel Afula Vs MAN3-0
10/02/23HMAN Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-3
03/02/23AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs MAN0-1
30/01/23HMAN Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion3-3
20/01/23AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs MAN1-1
17/01/23AHapoel Acre Vs MAN0-2
13/01/23HMAN Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit2-0
09/01/23AIroni Tiberias Vs MAN1-0
30/12/22HMAN Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL0.96
HomeDDLWD1.08
AwayLWLDL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%15%23%
AVG goals2.382.462.31
Over 1.5 %58%62%54%
Over 2.5 %31%38%23%
Over 3.5 %31%38%23%
Scored1.041.150.92
Conceded1.351.311.38
BTTS38%46%31%
Clean Sheet27%31%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.23
HomeWWDLL1.54
AwayLWDWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%46%23%
AVG goals2.232.462.00
Over 1.5 %73%77%69%
Over 2.5 %31%38%23%
Over 3.5 %12%15%8%
Scored1.001.310.69
Conceded1.231.151.31
BTTS23%23%23%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3775
62%
2.0
7334+39
2.9
78%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.00.9
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3771
57%
1.9
6231+31
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.8
-
3Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3767
51%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
73%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.0
-
4Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3760
46%
1.6
4432+12
2.1
70%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3756
41%
1.5
5039+11
2.4
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.1
-
6Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3752
41%
1.4
4750-3
2.6
70%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.4
-
7Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3751
41%
1.4
4852-4
2.7
78%
49%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.4
-
8Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3750
35%
1.4
5049+1
2.7
73%
46%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.3
-
9Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3748
35%
1.3
5159-8
3.0
78%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.6
-
10Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3746
32%
1.2
4951-2
2.7
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3746
32%
1.2
4447-3
2.5
76%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3845
34%
1.2
4459-15
2.7
82%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3744
30%
1.2
4547-2
2.5
65%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3742
24%
1.1
4347-4
2.4
65%
32%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
15Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth3742
30%
1.1
3755-18
2.5
78%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16Agudat Sport AshdodAgudat Sport Ashdod3722
11%
0.6
2678-52
2.8
89%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
17Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.02.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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