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Kampaniakos Chalastra vs Kavala Result & Analysis

Date: 13/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Kampaniakos Chalastra
Kampaniakos Chalastra
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kavala
Kavala
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kampaniakos Chalastra win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kavala win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L32W14L03L14L11D12L03L22D01LA·IRA01/02H·MAK23/02A·LAR01/03H·IRA09/03A·PAS23/03A·MAK29/03H·LAR06/04A·IRA12/04H·PAS03/05H·KAL20/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.701.531.471.071.93
vs Stronger (11)0.822.730.832.330.803.20
vs Similar (18)1.561.172.000.891.111.44
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Kavala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KavalaKavala

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W20W21W00D00D10W22D11DH·DIA01/02A·NIK23/02H·PAO01/03A·ETH15/03H·DIA23/03H·NIK29/03A·PAO06/04H·ETH27/04A·DIA03/05H·PAN19/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.230.601.001.201.47
vs Stronger (10)0.501.300.201.200.801.40
vs Similar (19)0.951.160.800.901.111.44
vs Weaker (1)4.002.00--4.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kampaniakos Chalastra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.8%
Under 2.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0 ✓
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Kampaniakos Chalastra goals ↓
Kavala goals →
01234
08.5%7.7%5.5%2.3%0.7%
18.8%14%7.7%3.2%1.0%
27.0%8.6%5.3%2.2%0.7%
33.2%4.0%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kampaniakos Chalastra goals (down), columns = Kavala goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kalamata
2.64
Iraklis 1908
2.40
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Egaleo
1.32
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Kavala
1.25
Kissamikos
0.89
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.82
PAS Giannina
0.75
Ilioupoli
0.71
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Panargiakos
0.36
Kampaniakos Chalastra is 0.43 points worse than Kavala in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kalamata
2.08
Niki Volos
1.92
Iraklis 1908
1.72
PAOK II
1.57
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Kavala
1.07
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Egaleo
0.96
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.89
PAS Giannina
0.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.68
Kissamikos
0.64
Ilioupoli
0.64
Panargiakos
0.50
Kampaniakos Chalastra is 0.18 goals worse than Kavala in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalamata
0.48
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Egaleo
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Kissamikos
1.29
Kavala
1.32
PAS Giannina
1.46
Ilioupoli
1.54
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panargiakos
1.86
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.14
Kampaniakos Chalastra is 0.54 goals worse than Kavala in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W01L01L11D00D01L03L01L01LA·IRA01/02H·MAK23/02A·LAR01/03H·IRA09/03A·PAS23/03A·MAK29/03H·LAR06/04A·IRA12/04H·PAS03/05H·KAL20/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.400.600.600.80
vs Stronger (11)0.271.360.171.170.401.60
vs Similar (18)0.560.330.560.220.560.44
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kavala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KavalaKavala

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D00D00D10W00D00D00D00D00DH·DIA01/02A·NIK23/02H·PAO01/03A·ETH15/03H·DIA23/03H·NIK29/03A·PAO06/04H·ETH27/04A·DIA03/05H·PAN19/08
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.530.130.470.330.60
vs Stronger (10)0.200.400.000.600.400.20
vs Similar (19)0.210.530.200.400.220.67
vs Weaker (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kampaniakos Chalastra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kavala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kavala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kavala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D13L02L03L11D11D00D21W00DA·IRA01/02H·MAK23/02A·LAR01/03H·IRA09/03A·PAS23/03A·MAK29/03H·LAR06/04A·IRA12/04H·PAS03/05H·KAL20/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.001.130.870.471.13
vs Stronger (11)0.551.360.671.170.401.60
vs Similar (18)1.000.831.440.670.561.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kavala) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KavalaKavala

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W20W11D00D00D10W22D11DH·DIA01/02A·NIK23/02H·PAO01/03A·ETH15/03H·DIA23/03H·NIK29/03A·PAO06/04H·ETH27/04A·DIA03/05H·PAN19/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.470.530.870.87
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.200.600.401.20
vs Similar (19)0.740.630.600.500.890.78
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Kampaniakos Chalastra) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kavala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kavala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kavala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (28)
€11m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
KAV (28)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
Kampaniakos Chalastra and Kavala have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (8)
€4m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Kampaniakos Chalastra and Kavala have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Kampaniakos Chalastra and Kavala have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
KAL (14)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
Kampaniakos Chalastra and Kavala have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
KC wins
0
Draws
0
KAV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kampaniakos Chalastra vs Kavala · H/A from KC
DateH/AGameScore
12/01/25AKavala Vs KC0-2
28/10/24HKC Vs Kavala3-1

Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/25HKC Vs Kallithea0-1
03/05/25HKC Vs PAS Giannina2-2
12/04/25AIraklis 1908 Vs KC3-0
06/04/25HKC Vs Larisa1-2
29/03/25AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs KC1-1
23/03/25APAS Giannina Vs KC4-1
09/03/25HKC Vs Iraklis 19080-3
01/03/25ALarisa Vs KC4-1
23/02/25HKC Vs Makedonikos Neapolis3-2
01/02/25AIraklis 1908 Vs KC5-0

KavalaKavala

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/25HKAV Vs Panserraikos1-1
03/05/25ADiagoras Vs KAV2-2
27/04/25HKAV Vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou1-0
06/04/25APAOK II Vs KAV0-0
29/03/25HKAV Vs Niki Volos0-0
23/03/25HKAV Vs Diagoras2-1
15/03/25AEthnikos Neou Keramidiou Vs KAV0-2
01/03/25HKAV Vs PAOK II1-0
23/02/25ANiki Volos Vs KAV1-1
01/02/25HKAV Vs Diagoras0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kampaniakos Chalastra
Kampaniakos Chalastra
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.36
HomeWLLDL1.44
AwayLLLDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.602.482.72
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %48%40%56%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.181.281.08
Conceded1.421.201.64
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners10.0010.00-
Cards5.005.00-
Kavala
Kavala
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.17
HomeWWDWD1.13
AwayDDWDD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%27%27%
AVG goals2.131.602.67
Over 1.5 %60%40%80%
Over 2.5 %33%20%47%
Over 3.5 %17%7%27%
Scored0.900.601.20
Conceded1.231.001.47
BTTS43%27%60%
Clean Sheet33%40%27%
Corners2.002.00-
Cards8.008.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KalamataKalamata2566
84%
2.6
5212+40
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4252.10.5
-
2Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082560
72%
2.4
4315+28
2.3
64%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.70.6
-
3PanioniosPanionios2450
62%
2.1
3513+22
2.0
62%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.50.5
-
4Niki VolosNiki Volos2448
54%
2.0
4612+34
2.4
58%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.90.5
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II2846
50%
1.6
4431+13
2.7
75%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
6Ellas SyrosEllas Syros2845
43%
1.6
4024+16
2.3
75%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
7KallitheaKallithea2845
43%
1.6
3222+10
1.9
64%
21%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.10.8
-
8Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas2441
50%
1.7
2818+10
1.9
50%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.8
-
9MarkoMarko2440
46%
1.7
2717+10
1.8
62%
21%
4%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2021.10.7
-
10Nestos ChrisoupolisNestos Chrisoupolis2840
39%
1.4
3026+4
2.0
57%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.9
-
11Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II2437
42%
1.5
2927+2
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.1
-
12EgaleoEgaleo2837
36%
1.3
2731-4
2.1
64%
39%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.01.1
-
13KavalaKavala2835
32%
1.2
3037-7
2.4
64%
43%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.3
-
14Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II2431
38%
1.3
2638-12
2.7
71%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.11.6
-
15KissamikosKissamikos2825
25%
0.9
1836-18
1.9
61%
25%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
16Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra2823
21%
0.8
2552-27
2.8
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.9
-
17PAS GianninaPAS Giannina2821
18%
0.8
2441-17
2.3
57%
43%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.5
-
18IlioupoliIlioupoli2820
18%
0.7
1843-25
2.2
71%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.61.5
-
19Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2814
11%
0.5
1960-41
2.8
64%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.72.1
-
20PanargiakosPanargiakos2810
4%
0.4
1452-38
2.4
68%
36%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.51.9
-
Greece: Super League 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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