Pythia gives Kampaniakos Chalastra a 30% win probability against PAOK II in the Greece: Super League 2 on 2026-04-22, with 30% for the draw and 40% for PAOK II. The model estimates around 2.5 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (27%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.1%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (72%).
Results analysis
Kampaniakos Chalastra finished 1-2 against PAOK II (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 30% home win, 30% draw and 40% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (77%), Over 1.5 (72%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Kampaniakos Chalastra win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK II win✓ Hit
39.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Kampaniakos Chalastra
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.80
1.07
1.20
0.60
2.40
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
2.20
0.43
1.43
0.38
2.88
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.40
1.62
1.00
0.86
1.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.00
1.47
1.00
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
2.14
0.67
3.00
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.61
0.65
1.67
0.50
1.55
0.82
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kampaniakos Chalastra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.3%
Under 3.5
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2 ✓
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
Kampaniakos Chalastra goals ↓
PAOK II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
10%
7.5%
3.3%
1.1%
1
8.4%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.5%
7.3%
4.8%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.1%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kampaniakos Chalastra goals (down), columns = PAOK II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kalamata
2.64
Iraklis 1908
2.40
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Egaleo
1.32
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Kavala
1.25
Kissamikos
0.89
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.82
PAS Giannina
0.75
Ilioupoli
0.71
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Panargiakos
0.36
Kampaniakos Chalastra is 0.82 points worse than PAOK II in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kalamata
2.08
Niki Volos
1.92
Iraklis 1908
1.72
PAOK II
1.57
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Kavala
1.07
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Egaleo
0.96
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.89
PAS Giannina
0.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.68
Kissamikos
0.64
Ilioupoli
0.64
Panargiakos
0.50
Kampaniakos Chalastra is 0.68 goals worse than PAOK II in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kalamata
0.48
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Egaleo
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Kissamikos
1.29
Kavala
1.32
PAS Giannina
1.46
Ilioupoli
1.54
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panargiakos
1.86
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.86
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.14
Kampaniakos Chalastra is 0.75 goals worse than PAOK II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Kampaniakos Chalastra
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.97
0.53
0.67
0.07
1.27
vs Stronger (15)
0.13
1.20
0.14
0.86
0.12
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.73
0.88
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.47
0.53
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.14
1.00
0.00
1.67
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.70
0.30
0.58
0.25
0.82
0.36
Clean sheet %
63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kampaniakos Chalastra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Kampaniakos Chalastra
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.53
0.53
0.53
1.13
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
1.00
0.29
0.57
0.25
1.38
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.67
0.75
0.50
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.00
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
1.14
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.91
0.35
1.08
0.25
0.73
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kampaniakos Chalastra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kampaniakos Chalastra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Greece: Super League 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →