Kapaz vs Turan Result & Analysis

Kapaz’s recent form has been shaky, with three straight defeats before a win, while Turan has only one draw in five outings and a clean sheet away. The model sees Turan as the favourite, giving an 43% chance of an away win, 33% for a home win and 24% for a draw. The expected total of 3.5 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10% probability. Kapaz averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes 2.0 at home against stronger opposition, whereas Turan, playing away against weaker opponents, averages 2.33 goals scored and 0.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.2%), Under 6.5 (93.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.3%), Over 1.5 (87.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (87.7%), Under 5.5 (85.2%), Away over 0.5 goals (84.8%) and Away +2 handicap (83.1%).

The final score was 0-2, confirming the away win that the model had predicted with a 43% probability. The Pythia model’s favourite, Away win, proved correct. The match saw the model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5, Under 6.5, Home under 3.5 goals, Over 1.5, Away under 3.5 goals, Under 5.5, Away over 0.5 goals and Away +2 handicap all came through. Each hit was noted with its probability - 97.2%, 93.2%, 91.3%, 87.7%, 87.7%, 85.2%, 84.8% and 83.1% respectively. Kapaz’s recent form, after three straight defeats, was unable to stop Turan’s away dominance, which continued their run of wins and draws.