Kapaz vs Turan Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 1-0

Kapaz

20%

30%

50%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Turan

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Kapaz are set to struggle at home, having averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against stronger opponents, while Turan’s away form shows 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded against weaker teams. The model favours an away win, with a 50% chance of Turan triumphing, 30% for a draw and 20% for Kapaz. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal match; the single most likely scoreline is 0-1, a 13.9% probability. The match is predicted to be tight and low-scoring, with Turan’s recent draw-to-win run suggesting momentum. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%), Under 5.5 (97.3% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.0%) and Home under 2.5 goals (95.0%).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise as Kapaz edged Turan 1-0, extending their recent win streak. The model had given the away side a 50% chance, but the outcome was a home triumph. The model’s prediction was therefore wrong. The model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals hit, as did Home under 2.5 HT goals, Under 6.5, Home under 3.5 goals, Home under 2.5 2H goals, Under 5.5, Away under 2.5 HT goals and Home under 2.5 goals, all achieving the projected probabilities of 99.8%, 99.2%, 99.2%, 99.0%, 98.1%, 97.3%, 96.0% and 95.0% respectively. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the home win, contradicting the model’s favourite.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kapaz win✓ Hit

20.5%

Avg Implied 18.6% · @ 4.87

Edge

+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

5.75

1xBet

5.65

Pinnacle

5.47

Bet365

5.25

William Hil

5.00

Draw✗ Miss

29.7%

Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.36

Edge

+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.54

BetVictor

3.50

1xBet

3.48

Betano

3.40

Bet365

3.40

Turan win✗ Miss

49.9%

Avg Implied 54.5% · @ 1.66

Edge

-4.6%

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

1.77

Superbet

1.74

Betano

1.72

Dafabet

1.71

Betfair

1.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kapaz

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	1.53	1.00	1.50	0.64	1.57
vs Stronger (18)	0.56	1.61	0.50	1.75	0.60	1.50
vs Similar (12)	1.25	1.42	1.50	1.25	0.75	1.75
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-8pp vs league)

This opponent (Turan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turan

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	0.73	1.07	0.80	1.27	0.67
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	2.00	1.00	2.50	0.50	1.50
vs Similar (22)	1.18	0.59	1.08	0.58	1.30	0.60
vs Weaker (4)	1.50	0.25	1.00	0.00	1.67	0.33
Clean sheet %	53% (+22pp vs league)

This opponent (Kapaz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

66.6%

@ 1.37-0.6%

Under 1.5

33.4%

@ 2.81+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.40

Betano

1.38

10Bet

1.38

Unibet

1.37

Pinnacle

1.37

Under

Bet365

3.00

Pinnacle

2.91

BetVictor

2.90

Betfair

2.88

10Bet

2.85

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

38.6%

@ 2.15-4.2%

Under 2.5

61.4%

@ 1.61+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.20

Bet365

2.20

10Bet

2.20

Superbet

2.17

Pinnacle

2.17

Under

Pinnacle

1.66

Bet365

1.65

1xBet

1.63

10Bet

1.62

Betfair

1.60

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

18.7%

@ 3.92-4.8%

Under 3.5

81.3%

@ 1.20+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

4.33

BetVictor

4.10

10Bet

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.75

Under

Bet365

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Betano

1.21

Betfair

1.20

BetVictor

1.20

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

43.6%

@ 2.06-1.0%

56.4%

@ 1.66+1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.11

Superbet

2.07

William Hil

2.05

Betfair

2.05

Betfair

1.73

10Bet

1.70

William Hil

1.70

Superbet

1.67

Betano

1.65

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

0-1

13.9%@ 5.17+5.7%

1-1

13.6%@ 6.18+6.7%

0-0

11.9%@ 7.50+6.3%

0-2

10.7%@ 6.47+4.1%

1-2

8.8%@ 7.59+3.2%

1-0 ✓

7.5%@ 10.09+3.3%

2-1

5.1%@ 14.84+2.2%

0-3

5.1%@ 11.64+1.4%

Kapaz goals ↓

	Turan goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	12%	14%	11%	5.1%	1.8%
1	7.5%	14%	8.8%	4.1%	1.5%
2	3.6%	5.1%	3.6%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Kapaz goals (down), columns = Turan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Sabah FA

2.36

Qarabag

2.09

Neftchi Baku

1.79

Turan

1.79

Zira

1.61

Araz

1.39

Sumqayıt

1.19

Şamaxı FK

1.15

Safa Baku

1.09

Imisli FK

1.06

Qabala

0.88

Kapaz

0.82

Kapaz is 0.97 points worse than Turan in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 1.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Sabah FA

2.27

Qarabag

2.15

Neftchi Baku

1.73

Araz

1.33

Turan

1.33

Sumqayıt

1.31

Zira

1.30

Safa Baku

1.02

Qabala

1.00

Şamaxı FK

0.94

Kapaz

0.76

Imisli FK

0.72

Kapaz is 0.58 goals worse than Turan in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sabah FA

0.76

Qarabag

0.82

Turan

0.82

Neftchi Baku

0.97

Zira

1.09

Şamaxı FK

1.21

Imisli FK

1.25

Qabala

1.44

Sumqayıt

1.53

Safa Baku

1.57

Araz

1.76

Kapaz

1.85

Kapaz is 1.03 goals worse than Turan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Kapaz or Draw✓ Hit

50.1%

Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 2.02

Edge

+4.6%

20%

30%

50%

covers Kapaz + Draw

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

2.20

William Hil

2.15

1xBet

2.15

Betano

2.07

Betfair

2.00

Kapaz or Turan✓ Hit

70.3%

Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.26

Edge

-2.8%

20%

30%

50%

covers Kapaz + Turan

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.33

William Hil

1.30

Bet365

1.28

Betano

1.27

Superbet

1.26

Draw or Turan✗ Miss

79.5%

Avg Implied 81.2% · @ 1.13

Edge

-1.7%

20%

30%

50%

covers Draw + Turan

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.17

10Bet

1.15

Superbet

1.15

Betfair

1.14

William Hil

1.14

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Kapaz over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

55.9%

@ 1.72+2.2%

Under

44.1%

@ 1.99-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.86

1xBet

1.77

BetVictor

1.73

Bet365

1.73

Betano

1.70

Under

Betfair

2.10

10Bet

2.10

Betano

2.05

Superbet

2.05

Bet365

2.00

Kapaz over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

19.8%

@ 4.34-1.3%

Under

80.2%

@ 1.16+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.80

BetVictor

4.50

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Superbet

4.00

Under

Bet365

1.20

10Bet

1.18

Betfair

1.17

Superbet

1.16

1xBet

1.14

Kapaz over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

5.0%

@ 10.00-4.3%

Under

95.0%

@ 1.03+4.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Superbet

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

Kapaz over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.0%

@ 21.00-99.0%

Under

99.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

21.00

Under

No market prices yet.

Turan over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

75.7%

@ 1.18-1.4%

Under

24.3%

@ 4.00+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.20

10Bet

1.20

Superbet

1.18

1xBet

1.16

Under

1xBet

4.40

BetVictor

4.10

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

10Bet

3.75

Turan over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

41.4%

@ 1.96-5.8%

Under

58.6%

@ 1.75+5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.00

Betano

2.00

Superbet

2.00

10Bet

2.00

Under

Pinnacle

1.87

1xBet

1.85

BetVictor

1.75

Bet365

1.73

Betano

1.72

Turan over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

17.0%

@ 3.95-6.3%

Under

83.0%

@ 1.20+6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Superbet

3.90

1xBet

3.50

BetVictor

3.50

Under

1xBet

1.25

BetVictor

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.17

Betfair

1.17

Turan over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.6%

@ 8.37-5.6%

Under

94.4%

@ 1.05+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

9.50

Bet365

8.50

1xBet

7.10

Under

1xBet

1.06

Bet365

1.05

Betfair

1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Kapaz, so a minus line means Kapaz give that many goals of a start and Turan receive them. At -1, Kapaz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Kapaz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Kapaz)Actual: Turan

Kapaz -2

1.6%

@ 41.00-0.7%

Draw -2

5.2%

@ 17.00-0.4%

Turan +2

93.2%

@ 1.03+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

41.00

Draw

Bet365

17.00

Away

Bet365

1.03

Handicap -1 (Kapaz)Actual: Draw

Kapaz -1

6.8%

@ 15.00+0.6%

Draw -1

13.7%

@ 7.00+0.5%

Turan +1

79.5%

@ 1.14-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

15.00

Draw

Bet365

7.00

Away

Bet365

1.14

Handicap +1 (Kapaz)Actual: Kapaz

Kapaz +1

50.1%

@ 1.98+4.5%

Draw +1

24.6%

@ 3.42-1.9%

Turan -1

25.3%

@ 3.25-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

2.00

Bet365

2.00

10Bet

1.95

Draw

Bet365

3.50

Betfair

3.40

10Bet

3.35

Away

10Bet

3.30

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.20

Handicap +2 (Kapaz)Actual: Kapaz

Kapaz +2

74.7%

@ 1.34+7.6%

Draw +2

15.5%

@ 4.75-3.5%

Turan -2

9.8%

@ 6.50-4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.40

Betfair

1.29

Draw

Betfair

5.00

Bet365

4.50

Away

Betfair

7.00

Bet365

6.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kapaz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.5

Avg scored

0.1

Avg conceded

0.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.43	0.63	0.62	0.69	0.21	0.57
vs Stronger (18)	0.28	0.67	0.38	0.88	0.20	0.50
vs Similar (12)	0.67	0.58	0.88	0.50	0.25	0.75
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Turan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.7

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.27	0.60	0.20	0.33	0.33
vs Stronger (4)	0.00	0.75	0.00	1.00	0.00	0.50
vs Similar (22)	0.55	0.23	0.75	0.08	0.30	0.40
vs Weaker (4)	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.67	0.00
Clean sheet %	77% (+45pp vs league)

This opponent (Kapaz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

67.2%

@ 1.43+3.2%

Under 0.5

32.8%

@ 2.54-3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.44

William Hil

1.44

Pinnacle

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Under

Betfair

2.75

William Hil

2.62

10Bet

2.62

Bet365

2.62

Pinnacle

2.60

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

30.1%

@ 3.05-0.1%

Under 1.5

69.9%

@ 1.32+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

Betfair

3.20

William Hil

3.10

Pinnacle

3.08

1xBet

3.04

Under

William Hil

1.33

Bet365

1.33

10Bet

1.33

BetVictor

1.32

Pinnacle

1.32

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

10.4%

@ 8.00-1.2%

Under 2.5

89.6%

@ 1.05+1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

9.00

William Hil

8.50

Betfair

8.50

1xBet

7.60

Bet365

7.50

Under

Bet365

1.07

William Hil

1.06

Betfair

1.05

BetVictor

1.04

1xBet

1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Kapaz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

32.2%

@ 3.04+1.9%

Under

67.8%

@ 1.32-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.30

Betano

2.95

Superbet

2.87

Under

Betano

1.35

Superbet

1.32

1xBet

1.29

Kapaz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

6.5%

Under

93.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Kapaz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.8%

Under

99.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Turan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

51.0%

@ 1.81-0.1%

Under

49.0%

@ 1.89+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.90

Superbet

1.85

Pinnacle

1.76

1xBet

1.73

Under

Pinnacle

1.99

1xBet

1.91

Superbet

1.85

Betano

1.82

Turan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

14.9%

@ 5.00-3.3%

Under

85.1%

@ 1.11+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.00

Under

1xBet

1.11

Turan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.0%

Under

96.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kapaz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.40	0.90	0.38	0.81	0.43	1.00
vs Stronger (18)	0.28	0.94	0.12	0.88	0.40	1.00
vs Similar (12)	0.58	0.83	0.62	0.75	0.50	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Turan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.47	0.47	0.60	0.93	0.33
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	1.25	1.00	1.50	0.50	1.00
vs Similar (22)	0.64	0.36	0.33	0.50	1.00	0.20
vs Weaker (4)	1.00	0.25	1.00	0.00	1.00	0.33
Clean sheet %	63% (+32pp vs league)

This opponent (Kapaz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

73.5%

@ 1.28+1.8%

Under 0.5

26.5%

@ 3.25-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.30

William Hil

1.30

Superbet

1.28

1xBet

1.26

Under

Bet365

3.40

1xBet

3.28

William Hil

3.20

Superbet

3.10

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

41.7%

@ 2.34+2.3%

Under 1.5

58.3%

@ 1.52-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

2.40

Bet365

2.38

William Hil

2.38

Superbet

2.35

1xBet

2.27

Under

Betano

1.55

William Hil

1.53

Bet365

1.53

1xBet

1.52

Superbet

1.50

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

16.9%

@ 5.50+0.1%

Under 2.5

83.1%

@ 1.11-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

6.00

Bet365

6.00

1xBet

5.00

Superbet

5.00

Under

Bet365

1.12

William Hil

1.11

1xBet

1.10

Superbet

1.10

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Kapaz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

38.5%

@ 2.50+1.7%

Under

61.5%

@ 1.46-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.60

Superbet

2.40

Under

Superbet

1.47

1xBet

1.44

Kapaz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

9.5%

@ 10.00+0.4%

Under

90.5%

@ 1.01-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

Kapaz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.9%

Under

98.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Turan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

62.1%

@ 1.58+3.7%

Under

37.9%

@ 2.23-3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.61

1xBet

1.55

Under

1xBet

2.30

Superbet

2.15

Turan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

20.3%

@ 3.60-5.1%

Under

79.7%

@ 1.23+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.60

Under

1xBet

1.23

Turan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

6.7%

@ 10.50-2.1%

Under

93.3%

@ 1.01+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.50

Under

1xBet

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	99.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	99.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	99.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.02	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	96.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	95.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	94.4%	1.05	1xBet 1.06	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.04	-	-	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	93.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	93.3%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	93.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	92.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.07	Betfair 1.06	Superbet 1.04	BetVictor 1.04	1xBet 1.03	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	90.5%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	-0.4%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	89.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.07	William Hil 1.06	Betfair 1.05	BetVictor 1.04	1xBet 1.03	+1.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	85.1%	1.11	1xBet 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.3%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	83.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.12	William Hil 1.11	1xBet 1.10	Superbet 1.10	-	-0.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	83.0%	1.20	1xBet 1.25	BetVictor 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.17	Betfair 1.17	+6.3%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	81.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.22	Betano 1.21	Betfair 1.20	BetVictor 1.20	+4.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals	80.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.20	10Bet 1.18	Betfair 1.17	Superbet 1.16	1xBet 1.14	+1.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	79.7%	1.23	1xBet 1.23	-	-	-	-	+5.1%	✓ Hit
Draw or Away	79.5%	1.13	Betano 1.17	10Bet 1.15	Superbet 1.15	Betfair 1.14	William Hil 1.14	-1.7%	✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap	79.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-1.2%	✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals	75.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	10Bet 1.20	Superbet 1.18	1xBet 1.16	-1.4%	✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap	74.7%	1.34	Bet365 1.40	Betfair 1.29	-	-	-	+7.6%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	73.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.30	William Hil 1.30	Superbet 1.28	1xBet 1.26	-	+1.8%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	70.3%	1.26	BetVictor 1.33	William Hil 1.30	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.27	Superbet 1.26	-2.8%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (25)

€25m

SF (24)

€17m

NB (23)

€13m

ZIR (23)

€12m

TUR (23)

€10m

SUM (22)

€9m

IF (18)

€6m

ARA (19)

€6m

KAP (24)

€5m

QAB (18)

€5m

SB (15)

€4m

ŞF (15)

€4m

Kapaz's squad is €5m less valuable than Turan's (€5m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (9)

€8m

ZIR (10)

€6m

SF (7)

€5m

NB (7)

€4m

SUM (7)

€4m

TUR (7)

€3m

IF (7)

€3m

ARA (7)

€3m

SB (5)

€1m

QAB (5)

€1m

ŞF (6)

€1m

KAP (8)

€1m

Kapaz's attack is €2m less valuable than Turan's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SF (7)

€5m

QAR (3)

€3m

NB (6)

€3m

SUM (4)

€2m

TUR (4)

€2m

ARA (5)

€2m

KAP (6)

€2m

ŞF (3)

€1m

ZIR (3)

€1m

QAB (3)

€1m

IF (2)

€1m

SB (2)

€0m

Kapaz and Turan have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

QAR (13)

€14m

SF (10)

€7m

NB (10)

€6m

ZIR (10)

€6m

TUR (12)

€5m

SUM (11)

€4m

IF (9)

€3m

QAB (10)

€3m

KAP (10)

€3m

SB (8)

€3m

ARA (7)

€2m

ŞF (6)

€2m

Kapaz's defence is €2m less valuable than Turan's (€3m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

KAP wins

Draws

TUR wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Kapaz vs Turan · H/A from KAP

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/03/26	H	KAP Vs Turan	1-1
05/03/26	H	KAP Vs Turan	0-2
05/02/26	A	Turan Vs KAP	1-0
19/12/25	H	KAP Vs Turan	0-2
28/09/25	A	Turan Vs KAP	3-0
25/05/25	A	Turan Vs KAP	4-0
19/01/25	H	KAP Vs Turan	5-2
25/10/24	A	Turan Vs KAP	2-1

Kapaz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Sabah FA Vs KAP	2-0
23/05/26	H	KAP Vs Neftchi Baku	0-1
15/05/26	A	Araz Vs KAP	2-0
08/05/26	A	Sabah FA Vs KAP	0-1
02/05/26	H	KAP Vs Sumqayıt	2-1
26/04/26	A	Şamaxı FK Vs KAP	2-0
19/04/26	H	KAP Vs Imisli FK	0-1
10/04/26	A	Karvan Vs KAP	4-1
05/04/26	H	KAP Vs Qabala	0-2
20/03/26	H	KAP Vs Qarabag	1-0

Turan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	H	TUR Vs Şamaxı FK	0-0
14/08/26	H	TUR Vs Qabala	1-0
22/05/26	H	TUR Vs Sabah FA	1-2
16/05/26	A	Şamaxı FK Vs TUR	3-2
10/05/26	H	TUR Vs Karvan	1-0
04/05/26	A	Qarabag Vs TUR	2-1
27/04/26	H	TUR Vs Zira	1-1
21/04/26	A	Zira Vs TUR	0-0
17/04/26	A	Araz Vs TUR	0-3
12/04/26	H	TUR Vs Sumqayıt	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Kapaz

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLLL	0.88
Home	WLLWL	1.04
Away	LLWLL	0.73

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	24%	29%	19%
AVG goals	2.42	2.17	2.65
Over 1.5 %	68%	62%	73%
Over 2.5 %	42%	29%	54%
Over 3.5 %	22%	17%	27%
Scored	0.76	0.88	0.65
Conceded	1.66	1.29	2.00
BTTS	28%	29%	27%
Clean Sheet	24%	29%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Turan

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLWD	1.76
Home	DWLWD	1.76
Away	DWDLL	1.76

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	52%	48%
AVG goals	2.12	2.32	1.92
Over 1.5 %	64%	68%	60%
Over 2.5 %	42%	52%	32%
Over 3.5 %	12%	16%	8%
Scored	1.32	1.32	1.32
Conceded	0.80	1.00	0.60
BTTS	42%	52%	32%
Clean Sheet	50%	44%	56%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Zira	3	9	100%	3.0	6	1	+5	2.3	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	6	2.0	0.3	-
2	Neftchi Baku	3	6	67%	2.0	8	2	+6	3.3	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	13	4	3	6	2.7	0.7	-
3	Qarabag	2	6	100%	3.0	4	1	+3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	25	8	3	14	2.0	0.5	-
4	Sabah FA	2	6	100%	3.0	3	0	+3	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	17	5	5	7	1.5	0.0	-
5	Turan	3	4	33%	1.3	1	1	+0	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	3	2	5	0.3	0.3	-
6	Imisli FK	3	4	33%	1.3	2	3	-1	1.7	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	1	3	0.7	1.0	-
7	Kapaz	2	3	50%	1.5	1	2	-1	1.5	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	2	3	0.5	1.0	-
8	Safa Baku	3	3	33%	1.0	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	0	3	0.3	1.0	-
9	Şamaxı FK	3	2	0%	0.7	1	3	-2	1.3	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	0.3	1.0	-
10	Qabala	3	1	0%	0.3	0	2	-2	0.7	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	1	3	0.0	0.7	-
11	Araz	3	1	0%	0.3	0	6	-6	2.0	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	2	2	0.0	2.0	-
12	Sumqayıt	2	0	0%	0.0	1	4	-3	2.5	50%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	4	2	4	0.5	2.0	-

Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

← all matches

Kapaz vs Turan Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Kapaz

Turan

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Kapaz

Turan

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Kapaz

Turan

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Kapaz

Turan

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature