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Karlovac 1919 vs Sesvete Result & Analysis

Date: 03/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 0-1
Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Vs
44%
32%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Karlovac 1919 win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sesvete win✓ Hit
23.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W02L41W10W31W41W20W11DH·JAR15/08A·DUB24/08H·CRO30/08H·DUG06/09A·HRV13/09H·RUD17/09A·BSK21/09H·OPA26/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.120.752.400.601.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.120.752.400.601.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W00D11D12L10W00D11D10W20WH·VUK23/05A·RUD01/06A·RUD17/08H·BSK22/08A·OPA31/08A·CRO07/09H·HNK13/09A·ORI17/09H·JAR20/09A·DUB26/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.071.141.060.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.070.831.071.141.060.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.6%
Under 1.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.3%
Under 2.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.6%
Under 3.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.5%
No
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
14.2%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
9.6%
0-1 ✓
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
Karlovac 1919 goals ↓
Sesvete goals →
01234
014%9.3%4.4%1.2%0.3%
114%14%5.5%1.5%0.3%
29.6%8.0%3.4%0.9%0.2%
33.9%3.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karlovac 1919 goals (down), columns = Sesvete goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Karlovac 1919 is 0.45 points worse than Sesvete in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.73).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Karlovac 1919 is 0.06 goals worse than Sesvete in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.27).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Karlovac 1919 is 0.52 goals worse than Sesvete in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 0.85).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L11D00D20W10W10W10WH·JAR15/08A·DUB24/08H·CRO30/08H·DUG06/09A·HRV13/09H·RUD17/09A·BSK21/09H·OPA26/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.381.000.201.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.381.000.201.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SesveteSesvete

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D01L11D00D00D10W00D10WH·VUK23/05A·RUD01/06A·RUD17/08H·BSK22/08A·OPA31/08A·CRO07/09H·HNK13/09A·ORI17/09H·JAR20/09A·DUB26/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.200.500.290.500.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.500.200.500.290.500.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D30W10W11D31W10W01LH·JAR15/08A·DUB24/08H·CRO30/08H·DUG06/09A·HRV13/09H·RUD17/09A·BSK21/09H·OPA26/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.381.400.400.670.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.120.381.400.400.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Sesvete) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SesveteSesvete

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D10W01L10W00D01L10W10WH·VUK23/05A·RUD01/06A·RUD17/08H·BSK22/08A·OPA31/08A·CRO07/09H·HNK13/09A·ORI17/09H·JAR20/09A·DUB26/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.570.860.560.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.630.570.860.560.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlovac 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlovac 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sesvete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Karlovac 1919 and Sesvete have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Karlovac 1919's attack is €1m more valuable than Sesvete's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
Karlovac 1919 and Sesvete have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Karlovac 1919 and Sesvete have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
K1 wins
0
Draws
0
SES wins

Head-to-head

Karlovac 1919 vs Sesvete · H/A from K1
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/09/25HK1 Vs Opatija1-1
21/09/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs K10-2
17/09/25HK1 Vs Rudes4-1
13/09/25AHrvace Vs K11-3
06/09/25HK1 Vs Dugopolje1-0
30/08/25HK1 Vs Croatia Zmijavci4-1
24/08/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs K12-0
15/08/25HK1 Vs Jarun2-0

SesveteSesvete

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/09/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs SES0-2
20/09/25HSES Vs Jarun1-0
17/09/25AOrijent 1919 Vs SES1-1
13/09/25HSES Vs HNK Cibalia0-0
07/09/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs SES0-1
31/08/25AOpatija Vs SES2-1
22/08/25HSES Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-1
17/08/25ARudes Vs SES0-0
01/06/25ARudes Vs SES1-3
23/05/25HSES Vs Vukovar0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Karlovac 1919
Karlovac 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.38
HomeWWWWD2.60
AwayLWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%80%67%
AVG goals2.883.002.67
Over 1.5 %88%80%100%
Over 2.5 %38%40%33%
Over 3.5 %38%40%33%
Scored2.122.401.67
Conceded0.750.601.00
BTTS50%60%33%
Clean Sheet38%40%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Sesvete
Sesvete
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.44
HomeLLDDW1.28
AwayDLWDW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.122.561.68
Over 1.5 %56%64%48%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.081.161.00
Conceded1.041.400.68
BTTS40%52%28%
Clean Sheet38%24%52%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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