This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.91
1.77
1.00
1.50
0.83
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.25
1.38
1.00
1.80
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.78+3.7%
Under 2.5
43.0%
@ 2.03-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
1-0 ✓
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
Karlsruher SC goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
5.0%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
1
8.1%
12%
6.4%
2.5%
0.8%
2
8.2%
9.7%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.9%
5.8%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.2%
2.6%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karlsruher SC goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SV Wehen
3.00
1. FC Heidenheim
2.03
Hamburger SV
2.00
SV Darmstadt 98
1.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.78
FC St. Pauli
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Karlsruher SC
1.44
Hannover 96
1.33
1. FC Magdeburg
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.31
Holstein Kiel
1.31
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.25
1. FC Nürnberg
1.19
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.03
Arminia Bielefeld
0.97
Jahn Regensburg
0.91
Regensburg
0.91
SV Sandhausen
0.86
Karlsruher SC is 0.53 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 0.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SV Wehen
3.00
Hamburger SV
2.17
1. FC Heidenheim
2.08
SC Paderborn 07
1.97
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.81
Karlsruher SC
1.75
Holstein Kiel
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.56
Hannover 96
1.44
SV Darmstadt 98
1.44
Arminia Bielefeld
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.31
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
SV Sandhausen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
1.03
Jahn Regensburg
1.00
Regensburg
1.00
1. FC Nürnberg
0.92
Karlsruher SC is 0.75 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SV Wehen
0.50
SV Darmstadt 98
0.97
FC St. Pauli
1.14
1. FC Heidenheim
1.17
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
SC Paderborn 07
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.31
Hansa Rostock
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.36
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.47
Karlsruher SC
1.47
Hannover 96
1.56
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Jahn Regensburg
1.71
Regensburg
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.72
Holstein Kiel
1.75
SV Sandhausen
1.83
Arminia Bielefeld
1.89
Karlsruher SC is 0.23 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Karlsruher SC
For 5.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karlsruher SC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
2.3
2.5
2.1
22.6
25.4
19.9
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
12.0
8.0
2.7
4.0
2.0
24.0
28.0
20.0
vs Similar (36)
9.5
9.7
9.4
2.0
2.1
2.0
21.5
24.3
19.0
vs Weaker (11)
8.5
7.8
9.2
3.2
4.0
2.5
24.8
27.2
22.2
% over line
45%
43%
47%
32%
32%
32%
66%
86%
47%
% under line
55%
57%
53%
68%
68%
68%
34%
14%
53%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.5
4.4
4.8
4.0
26.9
26.9
27.0
vs Stronger (36)
9.6
9.2
9.9
4.6
4.6
4.6
26.5
26.7
26.2
vs Similar (14)
8.4
8.6
8.2
3.9
5.1
2.3
28.1
27.2
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
42%
50%
72%
69%
75%
86%
88%
83%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
28%
31%
25%
14%
12%
17%
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.2
Hamburger SV
11.0
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Hannover 96
10.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
SV Sandhausen
10.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
9.9
Holstein Kiel
9.9
SC Paderborn 07
9.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.8
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.8
Hansa Rostock
9.5
Arminia Bielefeld
9.4
Karlsruher SC
9.4
Regensburg
9.2
SV Darmstadt 98
9.2
FC St. Pauli
9.2
1. FC Magdeburg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
4.8
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Hansa Rostock
4.5
Regensburg
4.4
SV Sandhausen
4.4
Hamburger SV
4.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.1
Karlsruher SC
3.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.9
Hannover 96
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
Arminia Bielefeld
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
1. FC Kaiserslautern
28.2
Regensburg
26.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
26.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.0
1. FC Magdeburg
25.9
SV Darmstadt 98
25.1
Hansa Rostock
24.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.5
SV Sandhausen
23.5
Hamburger SV
23.4
Karlsruher SC
23.4
Hannover 96
23.3
FC St. Pauli
23.2
1. FC Nürnberg
23.2
Arminia Bielefeld
22.6
SC Paderborn 07
22.3
Holstein Kiel
21.8
1. FC Heidenheim
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.9%
Under 9.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.6%
Under 3.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.9%
Under 21.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karlsruher SC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.64
1.14
0.62
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.91
0.67
1.17
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.33
0.50
1.00
1.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
0.64
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.88
0.60
1.20
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karlsruher SC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
1.07
0.64
0.94
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.91
0.92
0.58
0.40
1.30
vs Weaker (6)
2.50
0.33
2.00
1.00
2.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.47
0.87
0.53
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.41
1.14
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.25
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.50
0.40
0.60
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Karlsruher SC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikkel Kaufmann33%
Fabian Schleusener30%
Marvin Wanitzek26%
Leon Jensen21%
Paul Nebel12%
Simone Rapp11%
Budu Zivzivadze10%
Malik Batmaz10%
Philip Heise9%
Jérôme Gondorf6%
Lucas Cueto5%
Tim Breithaupt5%
Sebastian Jung4%
Marcel Franke3%
Kelvin Arase0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Florian Ballas0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Daniel Brosinski0%
Daniel Gordon0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Marco Thiede0%
Kyoung-Rok Choi0%
Kilian Jakob0%
Tim Rossmann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Franke37%
Stephan Ambrosius33%
Leon Jensen26%
Paul Nebel22%
Jérôme Gondorf19%
Christoph Kobald18%
Mikkel Kaufmann17%
Sebastian Jung16%
Philip Heise12%
Marvin Wanitzek12%
Lucas Cueto10%
Kyoung-Rok Choi9%
Tim Breithaupt9%
Fabian Schleusener6%
Malik Batmaz5%
Marco Thiede4%
Kelvin Arase0%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Florian Ballas0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Daniel Brosinski0%
Daniel Gordon0%
Simone Rapp0%
Kilian Jakob0%
Tim Rossmann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marvin Wanitzek24%
Paul Nebel19%
Mikkel Kaufmann17%
Fabian Schleusener15%
Kelvin Arase14%
Simone Rapp11%
Leon Jensen11%
Daniel Brosinski10%
Jérôme Gondorf9%
Philip Heise6%
Lucas Cueto5%
Tim Breithaupt5%
Sebastian Jung4%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Marcel Franke0%
Florian Ballas0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Daniel Gordon0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Marco Thiede0%
Kyoung-Rok Choi0%
Malik Batmaz0%
Kilian Jakob0%
Tim Rossmann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fabian Schleusener30%
Marvin Wanitzek26%
Mikkel Kaufmann13%
Philip Heise12%
Paul Nebel6%
Lucas Cueto5%
Marcel Franke3%
Jérôme Gondorf3%
Leon Jensen0%
Kelvin Arase0%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Stephan Ambrosius0%
Florian Ballas0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Sebastian Jung0%
Daniel Brosinski0%
Daniel Gordon0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Marco Thiede0%
Kyoung-Rok Choi0%
Malik Batmaz0%
Simone Rapp0%
Kilian Jakob0%
Tim Breithaupt0%
Tim Rossmann0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC St. Pauli
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg
Hansa Rostock
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1. FC Nürnberg
Arminia Bielefeld
Eintracht Braunschweig
Jahn Regensburg
SV Sandhausen
SV Wehen