This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.90
0.60
1.60
0.60
2.20
vs Stronger (24)
0.58
2.04
0.62
1.62
0.55
2.55
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.8%
Under 1.5
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.0%
@ 1.60+18.3%
Under 2.5
23.0%
@ 2.27-18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
1-1
6.1%
4-0
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
Karlsruher SC goals ↓
Regensburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
1.3%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
1
4.6%
6.1%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
2
7.8%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.7%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
4
5.8%
6.2%
3.3%
1.2%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Karlsruher SC goals (down), columns = Regensburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
Karlsruher SC is 0.84 points better than Regensburg in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
Karlsruher SC is 1.01 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
Karlsruher SC is 0.54 goals better than Regensburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Karlsruher SC
For 7.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 9.5 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
R
Regensburg
For 5.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Karlsruher SC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.6
11.1
4.0
4.3
3.8
20.6
20.8
20.3
vs Stronger (2)
13.5
14.0
13.0
5.5
8.0
3.0
17.5
16.0
19.0
vs Similar (40)
10.7
10.6
10.7
4.0
4.3
3.6
21.5
21.3
21.7
vs Weaker (8)
11.2
9.5
13.0
4.1
3.2
5.0
16.6
19.8
13.5
% over line
64%
62%
65%
54%
58%
50%
38%
46%
31%
% under line
36%
38%
35%
46%
42%
50%
62%
54%
69%
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.0
9.1
4.9
4.9
4.8
25.3
26.8
23.8
vs Stronger (39)
9.6
10.3
8.9
4.9
5.0
4.9
24.5
25.9
23.2
vs Similar (11)
9.3
8.8
9.8
4.5
4.7
4.4
27.9
29.7
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
60%
40%
78%
80%
76%
76%
88%
64%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
22%
20%
24%
24%
12%
36%
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.3
1. FC Nürnberg
11.3
Hamburger SV
11.3
SV Elversberg
11.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
11.0
Karlsruher SC
10.9
1. FC Magdeburg
10.9
Hertha BSC
10.8
Preußen Münster
10.8
SC Paderborn 07
10.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.5
Hannover 96
10.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Ulm
10.2
SSV Ulm 1846
10.2
Jahn Regensburg
10.1
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.0
Regensburg
9.5
FC Schalke 04
9.5
SV Darmstadt 98
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SSV Ulm 1846
6.7
Ulm
6.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.5
1. FC Magdeburg
5.4
Jahn Regensburg
5.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.3
Hamburger SV
5.1
FC Schalke 04
5.0
Regensburg
4.9
SV Darmstadt 98
4.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.8
1. FC Köln
4.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.8
Preußen Münster
4.7
Hertha BSC
4.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.5
SC Paderborn 07
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.3
Hannover 96
4.2
Karlsruher SC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Regensburg
25.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.1
Hannover 96
24.6
Preußen Münster
24.4
Jahn Regensburg
24.3
1. FC Magdeburg
24.1
1. FC Nürnberg
23.9
SSV Ulm 1846
23.9
Ulm
23.8
SV Darmstadt 98
23.2
1. FC Köln
22.9
FC Schalke 04
22.7
Hertha BSC
22.7
Hamburger SV
22.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
22.6
SV Elversberg
21.9
SC Paderborn 07
21.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.1
Karlsruher SC
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.9%
Under 21.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Karlsruher SC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
1.31
0.77
0.41
0.65
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.77
1.36
0.82
0.47
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.83
0.20
0.67
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.21
0.88
0.15
0.69
0.27
1.09
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Karlsruher SC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.63
1.23
0.85
1.12
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.27
0.62
1.45
0.73
1.13
0.53
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Regensburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
R
Regensburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.07
0.40
0.93
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
1.17
0.46
0.92
0.27
1.45
vs Similar (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Karlsruher SC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Karlsruher SC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Karlsruher SC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Regensburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
77.0%
1.60
-
-
-
-
-
+18.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
75.5%
1.50
-
-
-
-
-
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Karlsruher SC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Budu Zivzivadze50%
Marvin Wanitzek32%
Louey Ben Farhat25%
Fabian Schleusener21%
Leon Jensen12%
Christoph Kobald11%
Andrin Hunziker11%
Marcel Franke9%
Mikkel Kaufmann7%
Bambasé Conté7%
Lilian Egloff6%
Dženis Burnić6%
Sebastian Jung6%
Lasse Günther5%
Nicolai Rapp3%
Robin Heußer3%
Marcel Beifus3%
David Herold3%
Robin Bormuth0%
Luca Pfeiffer0%
Max Weiss0%
Ali Eren Ersungur0%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolai Rapp43%
Dženis Burnić41%
Leon Jensen34%
Budu Zivzivadze25%
Christoph Kobald21%
Marcel Beifus21%
Robin Heußer19%
Marcel Franke18%
Louey Ben Farhat17%
Andrin Hunziker16%
Fabian Schleusener12%
Robin Bormuth9%
Marvin Wanitzek8%
Max Weiss8%
Mikkel Kaufmann7%
Bambasé Conté7%
Lilian Egloff6%
Luca Pfeiffer6%
Lasse Günther5%
Sebastian Jung3%
David Herold0%
Ali Eren Ersungur0%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marvin Wanitzek27%
Budu Zivzivadze25%
Bambasé Conté17%
Luca Pfeiffer12%
Andrin Hunziker11%
Lasse Günther9%
Mikkel Kaufmann7%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa7%
Leon Jensen6%
Dženis Burnić6%
Sebastian Jung6%
Nicolai Rapp3%
Fabian Schleusener3%
David Herold3%
Marcel Franke0%
Robin Bormuth0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Robin Heußer0%
Marcel Beifus0%
Lilian Egloff0%
Max Weiss0%
Ali Eren Ersungur0%
Louey Ben Farhat0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Budu Zivzivadze40%
Marvin Wanitzek30%
Fabian Schleusener15%
Louey Ben Farhat8%
Dženis Burnić6%
Andrin Hunziker5%
Bambasé Conté3%
Leon Jensen0%
Mikkel Kaufmann0%
Nicolai Rapp0%
Marcel Franke0%
Sebastian Jung0%
Robin Bormuth0%
Christoph Kobald0%
Luca Pfeiffer0%
Lasse Günther0%
David Herold0%
Robin Heußer0%
Marcel Beifus0%
Lilian Egloff0%
Max Weiss0%
Ali Eren Ersungur0%
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
SV Darmstadt 98
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
Eintracht Braunschweig
SSV Ulm 1846
Jahn Regensburg
FC Saarbrücken